Great spot for week 2, using expected wins. The best team is Pats at +2.4, these teams off a ATS loss week 1 are solid plays week 2. And the 3rd worse team is Steelers at -2.5 off a ATS win week 1 are solid fades, the worst team Raiders -3.1 and 2cd worst Packers -2.6 both lost ATS week one.
The 2cd best team Seahawks +2.3 and 3rd best Bills +2.1 both won ATS week 1.
Just the luck-of-the-draw Pats happen to play the Steelers which gives us a mismatch of 4.9, in week 1 we had 4 games with a mismatch of 2.9 or better going 3-1 ATS.
Since 2010 a team won in week 1 playing a team lost in week 1 the winning team is 40-57-1 ATS, (41%) in week 2. Pats
Last 3 seasons teams opened the season with back-to-back road games are 8-0 ATS week 2. Pats
Steelers won TO battle 5-0 while Pats lost TO battle 3-0, difference of 8 TO's which is very unlikely to happen week 2 but because of this we are seeing Steelers a big public team week 2 with over-reacting by the public.
How does a team win the TO battle 5-0 and go to OT ? How bad is this team ? Are you for real ?
Pats -3 over Steelers --- 1.1 units
Bonus Play...................................Sun +1 over Aces game 4
Great spot for week 2, using expected wins. The best team is Pats at +2.4, these teams off a ATS loss week 1 are solid plays week 2. And the 3rd worse team is Steelers at -2.5 off a ATS win week 1 are solid fades, the worst team Raiders -3.1 and 2cd worst Packers -2.6 both lost ATS week one.
The 2cd best team Seahawks +2.3 and 3rd best Bills +2.1 both won ATS week 1.
Just the luck-of-the-draw Pats happen to play the Steelers which gives us a mismatch of 4.9, in week 1 we had 4 games with a mismatch of 2.9 or better going 3-1 ATS.
Since 2010 a team won in week 1 playing a team lost in week 1 the winning team is 40-57-1 ATS, (41%) in week 2. Pats
Last 3 seasons teams opened the season with back-to-back road games are 8-0 ATS week 2. Pats
Steelers won TO battle 5-0 while Pats lost TO battle 3-0, difference of 8 TO's which is very unlikely to happen week 2 but because of this we are seeing Steelers a big public team week 2 with over-reacting by the public.
How does a team win the TO battle 5-0 and go to OT ? How bad is this team ? Are you for real ?
Pats -3 over Steelers --- 1.1 units
Bonus Play...................................Sun +1 over Aces game 4
could of gone with Packers but decided on Broncos.
Broncos very unlucky week 1 with 3 trips down close and only 1 FG to show. Broncos crushed Seahawks in most parts of the game but those 2 fumbles down close cost them.
And teams off a loss week 1 as a -6 fav or more are 67% ATS week 2, could be an easy win here for Broncos.
could of gone with Packers but decided on Broncos.
Broncos very unlucky week 1 with 3 trips down close and only 1 FG to show. Broncos crushed Seahawks in most parts of the game but those 2 fumbles down close cost them.
And teams off a loss week 1 as a -6 fav or more are 67% ATS week 2, could be an easy win here for Broncos.
The Pats are one of my bounceback picks (GB is the other), but something you said doesn't make sense to me: "we are seeing Steelers a big public team week 2 with over-reacting by the public." If the Steelers are the big public team, then why has the line moved from NE -1.5 to -3 -120?
The Pats are one of my bounceback picks (GB is the other), but something you said doesn't make sense to me: "we are seeing Steelers a big public team week 2 with over-reacting by the public." If the Steelers are the big public team, then why has the line moved from NE -1.5 to -3 -120?
The Pats are one of my bounceback picks (GB is the other), but something you said doesn't make sense to me: "we are seeing Steelers a big public team week 2 with over-reacting by the public." If the Steelers are the big public team, then why has the line moved from NE -1.5 to -3 -120?
Sharp Money. It doesn't matter if a million people are putting $20 on the steelers if the big players are putting 100 million on other side.
The Pats are one of my bounceback picks (GB is the other), but something you said doesn't make sense to me: "we are seeing Steelers a big public team week 2 with over-reacting by the public." If the Steelers are the big public team, then why has the line moved from NE -1.5 to -3 -120?
Sharp Money. It doesn't matter if a million people are putting $20 on the steelers if the big players are putting 100 million on other side.
Quote Originally Posted by garbagetime: The Pats are one of my bounceback picks (GB is the other), but something you said doesn't make sense to me: "we are seeing Steelers a big public team week 2 with over-reacting by the public." If the Steelers are the big public team, then why has the line moved from NE -1.5 to -3 -120? Sharp Money. It doesn't matter if a million people are putting $20 on the steelers if the big players are putting 100 million on other side.
Except sharp money is theoretically down last Monday.Squares are supposedly the ones betting up the Patriots late.
In this case the immediate reaction happened due to the Watt injury, to -2.5. But it went up even after that.
Quote Originally Posted by garbagetime: The Pats are one of my bounceback picks (GB is the other), but something you said doesn't make sense to me: "we are seeing Steelers a big public team week 2 with over-reacting by the public." If the Steelers are the big public team, then why has the line moved from NE -1.5 to -3 -120? Sharp Money. It doesn't matter if a million people are putting $20 on the steelers if the big players are putting 100 million on other side.
Except sharp money is theoretically down last Monday.Squares are supposedly the ones betting up the Patriots late.
In this case the immediate reaction happened due to the Watt injury, to -2.5. But it went up even after that.
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