Season: 13-11 - and no plays in Week 17 using my standard strategy.
That said, there's a late-season angle that I like but I'm really not sure about the lines I'm seeing. The angle is this: during the last two weeks of the regular season, teams that will be eliminated with a loss are 68-101-5 ATS against teams that have already been eliminated.
Four games this week fit this angle, and two others are borderline:
NYG +6 v LAR WAS +13.5 v SF CAR +7 @ JAX TEN +3.5 @ HOU
The borderline games are:
CHI -3 v ATL LV +3 @ IND
Bears and Raiders theoretically need to win also, but they need half a dozen results to go their way while they win out.
I'm inclined toward the home dogs, and NYG stands out. Maybe Washington because of the line, but who am I kidding. Chicago are favored, and I guess if the line fell under 3 I'd be inclined there, too. Among the away teams, Tennessee is probably the best, followed by the Raiders, although they've lost me some money this season. Carolina I'd imagine would get slaughtered, although I try not to believe what I think.
Season: 13-11 - and no plays in Week 17 using my standard strategy.
That said, there's a late-season angle that I like but I'm really not sure about the lines I'm seeing. The angle is this: during the last two weeks of the regular season, teams that will be eliminated with a loss are 68-101-5 ATS against teams that have already been eliminated.
Four games this week fit this angle, and two others are borderline:
NYG +6 v LAR WAS +13.5 v SF CAR +7 @ JAX TEN +3.5 @ HOU
The borderline games are:
CHI -3 v ATL LV +3 @ IND
Bears and Raiders theoretically need to win also, but they need half a dozen results to go their way while they win out.
I'm inclined toward the home dogs, and NYG stands out. Maybe Washington because of the line, but who am I kidding. Chicago are favored, and I guess if the line fell under 3 I'd be inclined there, too. Among the away teams, Tennessee is probably the best, followed by the Raiders, although they've lost me some money this season. Carolina I'd imagine would get slaughtered, although I try not to believe what I think.
Anyway there's another late-season angle that covers the SF game and the Jax game too. Anyway, the point is that late-season lines are typically highly inflated because people tend to think that because teams can make the playoffs, or get the bye, or solidify their playoff position, they will.
Anyway there's another late-season angle that covers the SF game and the Jax game too. Anyway, the point is that late-season lines are typically highly inflated because people tend to think that because teams can make the playoffs, or get the bye, or solidify their playoff position, they will.
As your title suggested regression.They are losers of 4 straight SU and ATS.
Its already at-6.5 will probably hit -7 and considering its the Panthers will probably hit 7.5 or 8 by gametime. Panthers have been playing well lately. Looks like an easy cover
Jags need a get right game. Seems like a blowout in order!
As your title suggested regression.They are losers of 4 straight SU and ATS.
Its already at-6.5 will probably hit -7 and considering its the Panthers will probably hit 7.5 or 8 by gametime. Panthers have been playing well lately. Looks like an easy cover
Jags need a get right game. Seems like a blowout in order!
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