If you had to pick one... which would you choose? That is the question. Obviously debating it myself & curious of other thoughts on the matter. I've made my four picks & have whittled it down to these for the fifth.
JAC +2.5
MIA +4.0
DAL -2.5
ATL -3.0
I've got the Jags winning by 2 or losing by 1 so that looks kinda safe but how we do really know who the Jags are just yet? They're both hungry & it would be huge if the Jags win SU because if they win they are 2-0 in div games & TEN goes 0-2. Both aren't great covering or winning SU (hm/vis) less than 30% each SU/ATS. Either way advantage home team.
Pick: JAC +2.5
The fins will be full of energy & will be ready to play. San Diego is, I mean Los Angeles is, coming off of a short week & even though the Bolts are 4-0 L4 Sun after Mon scenarios the MIA energy levels will be far higher & they are very equal on paper. Plus LAC is 48.8% SU & 33.3% ATS at home L3Y & the Fins are 41.7% SU & 45.8% ATS on the road L3Y.
Pick: MIA +4.0
Now we have Boys & the Broncs. Currently they each carry a rank index value of 41. This is going to be a very equal game but in the end the running game for Dallas takes over & they win it in the end. Pick: DAL -2.5
Finally there is ATL. After the performance the Pack put up LW its difficult to give them the whole "revenge" angle with a lot of confidence. The Falcons on the other hand still performed well for battling the hangover blues & playing on grass wk 1. Coming home and carrying a rank index value of 53 they will easily have more control against a GB team barely pulling it together LW vs the Bears. They currently sit with a RIV of 32. A 7-10 point victory for the home team isn't out of the question. Pick: ATL -3.0
All comments are welcome. For me making the final pick is always the biggest gamble in making picks. On many occasions more than 1 other final elimination goes well while my selection goes down the tubes. Regardless, GL to all & MTSBWY
If you had to pick one... which would you choose? That is the question. Obviously debating it myself & curious of other thoughts on the matter. I've made my four picks & have whittled it down to these for the fifth.
JAC +2.5
MIA +4.0
DAL -2.5
ATL -3.0
I've got the Jags winning by 2 or losing by 1 so that looks kinda safe but how we do really know who the Jags are just yet? They're both hungry & it would be huge if the Jags win SU because if they win they are 2-0 in div games & TEN goes 0-2. Both aren't great covering or winning SU (hm/vis) less than 30% each SU/ATS. Either way advantage home team.
Pick: JAC +2.5
The fins will be full of energy & will be ready to play. San Diego is, I mean Los Angeles is, coming off of a short week & even though the Bolts are 4-0 L4 Sun after Mon scenarios the MIA energy levels will be far higher & they are very equal on paper. Plus LAC is 48.8% SU & 33.3% ATS at home L3Y & the Fins are 41.7% SU & 45.8% ATS on the road L3Y.
Pick: MIA +4.0
Now we have Boys & the Broncs. Currently they each carry a rank index value of 41. This is going to be a very equal game but in the end the running game for Dallas takes over & they win it in the end. Pick: DAL -2.5
Finally there is ATL. After the performance the Pack put up LW its difficult to give them the whole "revenge" angle with a lot of confidence. The Falcons on the other hand still performed well for battling the hangover blues & playing on grass wk 1. Coming home and carrying a rank index value of 53 they will easily have more control against a GB team barely pulling it together LW vs the Bears. They currently sit with a RIV of 32. A 7-10 point victory for the home team isn't out of the question. Pick: ATL -3.0
All comments are welcome. For me making the final pick is always the biggest gamble in making picks. On many occasions more than 1 other final elimination goes well while my selection goes down the tubes. Regardless, GL to all & MTSBWY
Very appreciative of the quick comments. Even though I have until tomorrow morning with my proxy I'd like to finalize these picks & send them off. If it gets too late I may have too many more than the 4 beers already & may make a bad choice.
Very appreciative of the quick comments. Even though I have until tomorrow morning with my proxy I'd like to finalize these picks & send them off. If it gets too late I may have too many more than the 4 beers already & may make a bad choice.
I don't love any of the 4 honestly. Jags seem like a decent pick, beat em at home last year, and have a defense that should keep it close, but there are better people to trust than bortels. Falcons should be fine but no shanahan seems to hurt and packers want that double revenge from last year. Coin flip game, giving away 3 points is huge. Cowboys pick is just plain bad in my opinion. Broncos run D is improved. Yes, cowboys will still have success on the ground but how much? I'm not laying points on the road in Denver no matter who the team is. Miami is a weird game. Yes, they had more time to prepare and are more rested, but is that a good thing? This isn't like having a bye week. The chargers have one game of experience under their belts now and are probably more in the feel of the game than dolphins are. I kind of think the team playing their second game has a bigger advantage than the team playing their first with extra rest. Dolphins were not good last year, had an easy schedule and stole wins they shouldn't had. Watching film, tannehill was actually legit. I'm not trusting cutler with bosa and Ingram in his face all day and good corners on the outside. Maybe look elsewhere? Out of the 4, I'd probably say Atlanta is the best pick, but honestly I'd probably be on the other side of all 4 of those
I don't love any of the 4 honestly. Jags seem like a decent pick, beat em at home last year, and have a defense that should keep it close, but there are better people to trust than bortels. Falcons should be fine but no shanahan seems to hurt and packers want that double revenge from last year. Coin flip game, giving away 3 points is huge. Cowboys pick is just plain bad in my opinion. Broncos run D is improved. Yes, cowboys will still have success on the ground but how much? I'm not laying points on the road in Denver no matter who the team is. Miami is a weird game. Yes, they had more time to prepare and are more rested, but is that a good thing? This isn't like having a bye week. The chargers have one game of experience under their belts now and are probably more in the feel of the game than dolphins are. I kind of think the team playing their second game has a bigger advantage than the team playing their first with extra rest. Dolphins were not good last year, had an easy schedule and stole wins they shouldn't had. Watching film, tannehill was actually legit. I'm not trusting cutler with bosa and Ingram in his face all day and good corners on the outside. Maybe look elsewhere? Out of the 4, I'd probably say Atlanta is the best pick, but honestly I'd probably be on the other side of all 4 of those
I don't love any of the 4 honestly. Jags seem like a decent pick, beat em at home last year, and have a defense that should keep it close, but there are better people to trust than bortels. Falcons should be fine but no shanahan seems to hurt and packers want that double revenge from last year. Coin flip game, giving away 3 points is huge. Cowboys pick is just plain bad in my opinion. Broncos run D is improved. Yes, cowboys will still have success on the ground but how much? I'm not laying points on the road in Denver no matter who the team is. Miami is a weird game. Yes, they had more time to prepare and are more rested, but is that a good thing? This isn't like having a bye week. The chargers have one game of experience under their belts now and are probably more in the feel of the game than dolphins are. I kind of think the team playing their second game has a bigger advantage than the team playing their first with extra rest. Dolphins were not good last year, had an easy schedule and stole wins they shouldn't had. Watching film, tannehill was actually legit. I'm not trusting cutler with bosa and Ingram in his face all day and good corners on the outside. Maybe look elsewhere? Out of the 4, I'd probably say Atlanta is the best pick, but honestly I'd probably be on the other side of all 4 of those
I don't love any of the 4 honestly. Jags seem like a decent pick, beat em at home last year, and have a defense that should keep it close, but there are better people to trust than bortels. Falcons should be fine but no shanahan seems to hurt and packers want that double revenge from last year. Coin flip game, giving away 3 points is huge. Cowboys pick is just plain bad in my opinion. Broncos run D is improved. Yes, cowboys will still have success on the ground but how much? I'm not laying points on the road in Denver no matter who the team is. Miami is a weird game. Yes, they had more time to prepare and are more rested, but is that a good thing? This isn't like having a bye week. The chargers have one game of experience under their belts now and are probably more in the feel of the game than dolphins are. I kind of think the team playing their second game has a bigger advantage than the team playing their first with extra rest. Dolphins were not good last year, had an easy schedule and stole wins they shouldn't had. Watching film, tannehill was actually legit. I'm not trusting cutler with bosa and Ingram in his face all day and good corners on the outside. Maybe look elsewhere? Out of the 4, I'd probably say Atlanta is the best pick, but honestly I'd probably be on the other side of all 4 of those
Atlanta......Revenge Angle is over-rated outside of Divisional Match-ups. Falcon's will not want to disappoint their home crowd with the inauguration game in their new stadium. Winning on the road in the NFL is tough against talented teams and Atlanta has lots of talent and should be able to cover the 3.
Atlanta......Revenge Angle is over-rated outside of Divisional Match-ups. Falcon's will not want to disappoint their home crowd with the inauguration game in their new stadium. Winning on the road in the NFL is tough against talented teams and Atlanta has lots of talent and should be able to cover the 3.
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