This method has a very good history of calling big surprise teams, last season we had Eagles, Vikings and I don't recall the 3 rd team which didn't do well.
But Eagles turned out to be a big surprise and Vikings did as well to a lesser degree.
Not every team will do well, generally at least one team will beat expectations and sometimes 2 teams.
The method has called many times the biggest surprise stories of the year based only on a big performance in week 1
The best bets are teams off 10 win season or better last year.
Boys and 9ers fit this. These teams win division a high probability of time and make it to at least the championship game a good amount of time.
The beauty is they have rarely finished the season with a losing record ATS in weeks 2 the end of season
We'll back them every week, but will pick spots to either not back them or fade them, but this can be tricky as these teams have beaten regression indicators in the past so we need to tread carefully.
Boys off a monster blowout 40-0 looks more of a fade but I would be careful fading them in this spot.
Powerhouse teams can string together ATS wins off this big win.
This method has a very good history of calling big surprise teams, last season we had Eagles, Vikings and I don't recall the 3 rd team which didn't do well.
But Eagles turned out to be a big surprise and Vikings did as well to a lesser degree.
Not every team will do well, generally at least one team will beat expectations and sometimes 2 teams.
The method has called many times the biggest surprise stories of the year based only on a big performance in week 1
The best bets are teams off 10 win season or better last year.
Boys and 9ers fit this. These teams win division a high probability of time and make it to at least the championship game a good amount of time.
The beauty is they have rarely finished the season with a losing record ATS in weeks 2 the end of season
We'll back them every week, but will pick spots to either not back them or fade them, but this can be tricky as these teams have beaten regression indicators in the past so we need to tread carefully.
Boys off a monster blowout 40-0 looks more of a fade but I would be careful fading them in this spot.
Powerhouse teams can string together ATS wins off this big win.
week = 2 and p:W and p:margin>21 and F and op:W In week 2 after an opening week win of more than 21 points and then favored over an opponent who also won their opening game ,since 1989 this team has gone 6-12 ATS and 7-12 O/U. Maybe the UNDER has the value.........................gl claw
week = 2 and p:W and p:margin>21 and F and op:W In week 2 after an opening week win of more than 21 points and then favored over an opponent who also won their opening game ,since 1989 this team has gone 6-12 ATS and 7-12 O/U. Maybe the UNDER has the value.........................gl claw
Road team , may have been road Favorite , wins week 1 then week 2 is 62% ATS.
It fits both Boys and 9ers this week. Should get at least 1ATS win.
Another one, if team lost to division opp week 1 then plays a division opp week 2 this has a very high probability of the team not losing back to back division games.
Fits Bengals but I think couple other games as well.
Road team , may have been road Favorite , wins week 1 then week 2 is 62% ATS.
It fits both Boys and 9ers this week. Should get at least 1ATS win.
Another one, if team lost to division opp week 1 then plays a division opp week 2 this has a very high probability of the team not losing back to back division games.
Fits Bengals but I think couple other games as well.
week = 2 and p:W and p:margin>21 and F and op:W In week 2 after an opening week win of more than 21 points and then favored over an opponent who also won their opening game ,since 1989 this team has gone 6-12 ATS and 7-12 O/U. Maybe the UNDER has the value.........................gl claw
I agree on the surface doesn't seem like the best of spots.
But both teams have no regression indicators coming off strong seasons and produced a top 3 performance week one based not on final score but play on the field.
We don't know how those other 18 teams did in these other metrics.
Thanks you the information, going to be interesting for sure.
week = 2 and p:W and p:margin>21 and F and op:W In week 2 after an opening week win of more than 21 points and then favored over an opponent who also won their opening game ,since 1989 this team has gone 6-12 ATS and 7-12 O/U. Maybe the UNDER has the value.........................gl claw
I agree on the surface doesn't seem like the best of spots.
But both teams have no regression indicators coming off strong seasons and produced a top 3 performance week one based not on final score but play on the field.
We don't know how those other 18 teams did in these other metrics.
Thanks you the information, going to be interesting for sure.
Does not apply. I don’t think. It’s 2 games in a row with a 30+point win and holding the opponents under 10 points. The 3rd game the dog covers at a 90%+ Clip. I could be wrong but it think that’s the Bator Rule and it’s money. BLIND BET!!
Does not apply. I don’t think. It’s 2 games in a row with a 30+point win and holding the opponents under 10 points. The 3rd game the dog covers at a 90%+ Clip. I could be wrong but it think that’s the Bator Rule and it’s money. BLIND BET!!
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