YTD (NFL): 0-0 ATS
Excited that football is back and hoping this season will be just as good. I had a great season up until late and didn't fare well in the final weeks so hoping to keep more consistency. As a reminder, all BIG PLAYS are 2 unit plays (or more, you obviously control your own bankroll) and thus count as 2 units, both for wins and losses, on the overall record. To help substantiate the total record, I separate them in case people want to only follow one or the other.
Big game to kick things off and I'm shocked at how much love the Cowboys are getting. Their offense will be sound but I think they once again have missed the mark in the offseason trading away Micah Parsons, who I believe was a much larger part of their defense, when it was good, then they directly credit him for. With Dak Prescott back, I expect the offense to be much more efficient but there are certainly questions in the running game that persist.
For Philadelphia, it's more of the same and a big boost with no banning of the "tush push". I believe they too will be scoring aplenty and they have controlled the series against the Cowboys, going OVER in 5 of the past 7 played in Philly and covering 5 of the past 6 against the Cowboys on home turf. I don't see any way that doesn't continue but it's a completely new season so I'm going to be a bit cautious.
I believe both teams will come out firing and the Cowboys are good enough to get some points on the board, but I personally think their defense hasn't improved to the point of where it was a few years ago. I love this angle and will put all my faith in this one play, as much as I think the Eagles will stymie the Cowboys. I prefer the FH since once the Eagles get the lead, they might want to just milk the clock as they have done so many times at home in the 2nd halves of games they were winning:
OVER FH 23.5 (-120) DALLAS/PHILADELPHIA...BIG PLAY!!!
OVER 13.5 FH TT (PHILADELPHIA): I realize this is pretty expensive but I just think the Eagles offense is too good and with all their healthy weapons I see them getting to 17+ in the FH
I'm definitely going to be backing my Ravens this weekend, think revenge is on their minds and I believe they will be locked in for the opener. Let's start this off on the right foot. Wishing everyone a really great and profitable year. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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