Again puzzling week losing all the units in the early slate of games and then picking back units later. Same as last week and I'm confident the same trend continues here tonight with these first couple. Short on time, so here is what I am on:
HOUSTON ML (-140)...BIG PLAY!!!: TB has gone 1-5 SU over the last 6 games played between these two and I would be doing myself a disservice if I didn't just jump on this short line in the Texans home opener. I think both teams will find it tough to score and that's why I prefer to not drop any points and just cheer on the Texans to get their first win of the year, albeit in their home opener on MNF. Lot of juice but I'm ok with it even while doubling my units here.
I'm going to post this first one now since it's a big play for me and then turn around and script the next writeup. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
1
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD (NFL): 9-10 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 2-4 ATS)
Again puzzling week losing all the units in the early slate of games and then picking back units later. Same as last week and I'm confident the same trend continues here tonight with these first couple. Short on time, so here is what I am on:
HOUSTON ML (-140)...BIG PLAY!!!: TB has gone 1-5 SU over the last 6 games played between these two and I would be doing myself a disservice if I didn't just jump on this short line in the Texans home opener. I think both teams will find it tough to score and that's why I prefer to not drop any points and just cheer on the Texans to get their first win of the year, albeit in their home opener on MNF. Lot of juice but I'm ok with it even while doubling my units here.
I'm going to post this first one now since it's a big play for me and then turn around and script the next writeup. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
Next play, also one I really do love and another FH where I have done incredibly well (except for the Ravens total yesterday in the FH):
OVER 23 FH (LAC/LV)...BIG PLAY!!!: I've eyed this all week and I think the first half is a really solid way to go here. I truly believe that the Las Vegas offense is far better than they have been in years and sure, we might mock Geno Smith, but he's an extremely capable NFL QB much different than the guys they have called QB over the past handful of years. I also believe the LV defense is NOT very good and that will mean the Chargers should put some points up. These games typically go over in LV (5 of the past 6 have gone over the number in the Raiders home stadium) and if it's a close game, it could get tight towards the end of it. I don't want to praying for points at that point when, imo, there will be a plethora of them scored in the first half.
Would be great to get the sweep, anything less will be treading water and I'm trying my best to get away from that. Again, not to sound repetitive, but, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
2
Next play, also one I really do love and another FH where I have done incredibly well (except for the Ravens total yesterday in the FH):
OVER 23 FH (LAC/LV)...BIG PLAY!!!: I've eyed this all week and I think the first half is a really solid way to go here. I truly believe that the Las Vegas offense is far better than they have been in years and sure, we might mock Geno Smith, but he's an extremely capable NFL QB much different than the guys they have called QB over the past handful of years. I also believe the LV defense is NOT very good and that will mean the Chargers should put some points up. These games typically go over in LV (5 of the past 6 have gone over the number in the Raiders home stadium) and if it's a close game, it could get tight towards the end of it. I don't want to praying for points at that point when, imo, there will be a plethora of them scored in the first half.
Would be great to get the sweep, anything less will be treading water and I'm trying my best to get away from that. Again, not to sound repetitive, but, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
Next play, also one I really do love and another FH where I have done incredibly well (except for the Ravens total yesterday in the FH): OVER 23 FH (LAC/LV)...BIG PLAY!!!: I've eyed this all week and I think the first half is a really solid way to go here. I truly believe that the Las Vegas offense is far better than they have been in years and sure, we might mock Geno Smith, but he's an extremely capable NFL QB much different than the guys they have called QB over the past handful of years. I also believe the LV defense is NOT very good and that will mean the Chargers should put some points up. These games typically go over in LV (5 of the past 6 have gone over the number in the Raiders home stadium) and if it's a close game, it could get tight towards the end of it. I don't want to praying for points at that point when, imo, there will be a plethora of them scored in the first half. Would be great to get the sweep, anything less will be treading water and I'm trying my best to get away from that. Again, not to sound repetitive, but, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
The Raiders will be starting Alex Cappa in place of JPJ at RG tonight.
"Cappa allowed the most total pressures of any guard in the league last season and had the worst pass blocking efficiency rating of any starting guard.:
The Raiders might have to run the ball. Chargers could be down 2 LBers (Denzel Perryman for sure, as he went on IR, and quite possibly Daiyan Henley, their best ILBer.) It would make sense for the Raiders to run the ball repeatedly to wear down the Chargers D and mix in some Geno play action.
I think the Chargers win this, and I think they'll be able to put up points. I just can't tell if the Chargers hurting at the 2nd level on Defense will allow the Raiders to score more too, or will the lack of Brock Bowers and a worse Oline than last week spell doom for them on offense.
1
Quote Originally Posted by LAGameofInches:
Next play, also one I really do love and another FH where I have done incredibly well (except for the Ravens total yesterday in the FH): OVER 23 FH (LAC/LV)...BIG PLAY!!!: I've eyed this all week and I think the first half is a really solid way to go here. I truly believe that the Las Vegas offense is far better than they have been in years and sure, we might mock Geno Smith, but he's an extremely capable NFL QB much different than the guys they have called QB over the past handful of years. I also believe the LV defense is NOT very good and that will mean the Chargers should put some points up. These games typically go over in LV (5 of the past 6 have gone over the number in the Raiders home stadium) and if it's a close game, it could get tight towards the end of it. I don't want to praying for points at that point when, imo, there will be a plethora of them scored in the first half. Would be great to get the sweep, anything less will be treading water and I'm trying my best to get away from that. Again, not to sound repetitive, but, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
The Raiders will be starting Alex Cappa in place of JPJ at RG tonight.
"Cappa allowed the most total pressures of any guard in the league last season and had the worst pass blocking efficiency rating of any starting guard.:
The Raiders might have to run the ball. Chargers could be down 2 LBers (Denzel Perryman for sure, as he went on IR, and quite possibly Daiyan Henley, their best ILBer.) It would make sense for the Raiders to run the ball repeatedly to wear down the Chargers D and mix in some Geno play action.
I think the Chargers win this, and I think they'll be able to put up points. I just can't tell if the Chargers hurting at the 2nd level on Defense will allow the Raiders to score more too, or will the lack of Brock Bowers and a worse Oline than last week spell doom for them on offense.
Quote Originally Posted by LAGameofInches: Next play, also one I really do love and another FH where I have done incredibly well (except for the Ravens total yesterday in the FH): OVER 23 FH (LAC/LV)...BIG PLAY!!!: I've eyed this all week and I think the first half is a really solid way to go here. I truly believe that the Las Vegas offense is far better than they have been in years and sure, we might mock Geno Smith, but he's an extremely capable NFL QB much different than the guys they have called QB over the past handful of years. I also believe the LV defense is NOT very good and that will mean the Chargers should put some points up. These games typically go over in LV (5 of the past 6 have gone over the number in the Raiders home stadium) and if it's a close game, it could get tight towards the end of it. I don't want to praying for points at that point when, imo, there will be a plethora of them scored in the first half. Would be great to get the sweep, anything less will be treading water and I'm trying my best to get away from that. Again, not to sound repetitive, but, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all... The Raiders will be starting Alex Cappa in place of JPJ at RG tonight. "Cappa allowed the most total pressures of any guard in the league last season and had the worst pass blocking efficiency rating of any starting guard.:The Raiders might have to run the ball. Chargers could be down 2 LBers (Denzel Perryman for sure, as he went on IR, and quite possibly Daiyan Henley, their best ILBer.) It would make sense for the Raiders to run the ball repeatedly to wear down the Chargers D and mix in some Geno play action.I think the Chargers win this, and I think they'll be able to put up points. I just can't tell if the Chargers hurting at the 2nd level on Defense will allow the Raiders to score more too, or will the lack of Brock Bowers and a worse Oline than last week spell doom for them on offense.
We will know soon enough
0
Quote Originally Posted by iConsciousness:
Quote Originally Posted by LAGameofInches: Next play, also one I really do love and another FH where I have done incredibly well (except for the Ravens total yesterday in the FH): OVER 23 FH (LAC/LV)...BIG PLAY!!!: I've eyed this all week and I think the first half is a really solid way to go here. I truly believe that the Las Vegas offense is far better than they have been in years and sure, we might mock Geno Smith, but he's an extremely capable NFL QB much different than the guys they have called QB over the past handful of years. I also believe the LV defense is NOT very good and that will mean the Chargers should put some points up. These games typically go over in LV (5 of the past 6 have gone over the number in the Raiders home stadium) and if it's a close game, it could get tight towards the end of it. I don't want to praying for points at that point when, imo, there will be a plethora of them scored in the first half. Would be great to get the sweep, anything less will be treading water and I'm trying my best to get away from that. Again, not to sound repetitive, but, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all... The Raiders will be starting Alex Cappa in place of JPJ at RG tonight. "Cappa allowed the most total pressures of any guard in the league last season and had the worst pass blocking efficiency rating of any starting guard.:The Raiders might have to run the ball. Chargers could be down 2 LBers (Denzel Perryman for sure, as he went on IR, and quite possibly Daiyan Henley, their best ILBer.) It would make sense for the Raiders to run the ball repeatedly to wear down the Chargers D and mix in some Geno play action.I think the Chargers win this, and I think they'll be able to put up points. I just can't tell if the Chargers hurting at the 2nd level on Defense will allow the Raiders to score more too, or will the lack of Brock Bowers and a worse Oline than last week spell doom for them on offense.
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