NFL TODAY MNF PLAY (10/6)

YTD (NFL):  26-30-1 (BIG PLAY!!!:  7-11-1)

Once more, not good on Sunday early games going 3-4 which includes 1-2 on the BIG PLAYS!!!  First halves have been really solid for me throughout but just stuck in the mud unless it's these night games, of which I didn't even play last nights and good thing b/c I had liked the over.  So just dont' blindly tail, I can maybe be the tie breaker for now.  I will get back rolling eventually though so definitely keep tabs ;).

As for tonight, I just don't get this love for Jacksonville.  Well, I do, I just don't get it for tonight.  I'm impressed with the way the Jags have won their games of late, playing very sound defensive football, and I don't expect much of that to change tonight.  The difference here is that they have not played a Steve Spagnuolo led defense and I think he will have his defensive unit VERY ready for this one.  Add to that Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS over the past 6 played at home and I just don't see the Jags winning this game.  As if you needed any reassuring, Patrick Mahomes is also 4-1 on the road in MNF so...there's that too.  I think this is a really solid spot for Mahomes and the Chiefs with a big game next week in Arrowhead upcoming.  

KANSAS CITY (-3)...bought the half point...BIG PLAY!!!:  I'm paying a bt extra here because I think the 3 is a very critical spot to be on.  I took a glance at KC on the ML and they were -200 which means that the oddsmakers are challenging you to drop that coin probably b/c they know KC will win.  But the 3.5 is EVEN which is a far departure from the ML.  and it only cost me -125 to sit on that more comfortable number.  I'm also going against the public and will hope that maybe I get the -3 without having to even pay extra for it.  Maybe I'm a fool here but I wouldn't be surprised if this ended something like 24-20 to KC.

Happy to hear everyone's thoughts, I'm going to also play UNDER 46 (KC/JAX) as 6 of the last 7 these teams played have gone UNDER and I think that's the type of game we will have tonight with the defenses playing the way they have been so far this season.  Let's see how they all pan out.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

Under 

KC