Brad Allen is officiating this game and since 2022 underdogs have covered 30-24 (56%) when he is officiating and if the spread is set at a touchdown or more >7.5 pts the underdog team has covered 11-3 ats. Also when Brad Allen is officiating the Chiefs game, Kansas is 0-4 when the spread is >7.5pts.
I have been following this line since last week and it opened at 11.5 up to 12.5 to some books, now I can see it at 10.0 on DraftKings and might probably close at 9.5 despite the public taking the Chiefs spread. Double digit underdogs on MNF has covered 29-9 too. Week 7 when Chargers lost Jayden Daniels and they are expected to regress for the next games until their bye week and Kansas just dominated the Raiders and Lions showing their supremacy on defense. It seems that the books are begging you to take the Chiefs spread here so thread lightly.
So our best bet for tonight, Commanders +10.5 -105 on DK
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Brad Allen is officiating this game and since 2022 underdogs have covered 30-24 (56%) when he is officiating and if the spread is set at a touchdown or more >7.5 pts the underdog team has covered 11-3 ats. Also when Brad Allen is officiating the Chiefs game, Kansas is 0-4 when the spread is >7.5pts.
I have been following this line since last week and it opened at 11.5 up to 12.5 to some books, now I can see it at 10.0 on DraftKings and might probably close at 9.5 despite the public taking the Chiefs spread. Double digit underdogs on MNF has covered 29-9 too. Week 7 when Chargers lost Jayden Daniels and they are expected to regress for the next games until their bye week and Kansas just dominated the Raiders and Lions showing their supremacy on defense. It seems that the books are begging you to take the Chiefs spread here so thread lightly.
So our best bet for tonight, Commanders +10.5 -105 on DK
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