Let’s be honest, taking the Titans today won’t win you any popularity contests. They’re 1–5, missing key pieces, and the public has already buried them. But that’s exactly why they’re the right side. This is a bet rooted in market psychology, trench disruption, and undervalued upside. The Patriots come in at 4–2, but that record is inflated by wins over soft or injured opponents. Their offense remains inconsistent, and they’re traveling to Nashville with defensive concerns—CB Charles Woods (knee) didn’t practice, and S Jaylinn Hawkins (hamstring) was limited. That secondary is vulnerable, and Tennessee has just enough firepower to exploit it.
Despite injuries to Calvin Ridley (hamstring) and Bryce Oliver (knee), the Titans still have Van Jefferson (ankle) and Tyler Lockett (rest) active. It’s not flashy, but it’s functional. More importantly, DT Jeffery Simmons is fully healthy and producing at an elite level—4.5 sacks, 8 tackles for loss, 28 total tackles. He anchors a front that can pressure Mac Jones and force mistakes, especially with Dre’Mont Jones (knee) questionable. This is a 1 p.m. ET kickoff in Nashville, and the Titans have historically played tougher at home. They’re desperate to salvage their season, and that urgency matters. You’re buying low on a team that’s undervalued due to optics, not substance.
This play isnt sexy. But it’s sharp. Take the Titans. Hold your nose. And smile when the line closes tighter than anyone expected.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
NFL POD 9-3.
TITANS +7 (-115)
Let’s be honest, taking the Titans today won’t win you any popularity contests. They’re 1–5, missing key pieces, and the public has already buried them. But that’s exactly why they’re the right side. This is a bet rooted in market psychology, trench disruption, and undervalued upside. The Patriots come in at 4–2, but that record is inflated by wins over soft or injured opponents. Their offense remains inconsistent, and they’re traveling to Nashville with defensive concerns—CB Charles Woods (knee) didn’t practice, and S Jaylinn Hawkins (hamstring) was limited. That secondary is vulnerable, and Tennessee has just enough firepower to exploit it.
Despite injuries to Calvin Ridley (hamstring) and Bryce Oliver (knee), the Titans still have Van Jefferson (ankle) and Tyler Lockett (rest) active. It’s not flashy, but it’s functional. More importantly, DT Jeffery Simmons is fully healthy and producing at an elite level—4.5 sacks, 8 tackles for loss, 28 total tackles. He anchors a front that can pressure Mac Jones and force mistakes, especially with Dre’Mont Jones (knee) questionable. This is a 1 p.m. ET kickoff in Nashville, and the Titans have historically played tougher at home. They’re desperate to salvage their season, and that urgency matters. You’re buying low on a team that’s undervalued due to optics, not substance.
This play isnt sexy. But it’s sharp. Take the Titans. Hold your nose. And smile when the line closes tighter than anyone expected.
NE 3rd road game, honeymoon game for TEN with a new coach. The science side of the art: Since 2010, teams that make an in-season coaching change have gone 17-16 SU and 20-13 ATS in the next game. The key seems to be making the coaching change early in the season. Interim coaches that took over prior to Week 13 are a shockingly good 11-4 SU and ATS since 2010. Teams playing their third consecutive road game are just 46-72 SU since 2003, regardless of the outcome of the first two games. When the team has won the first two games of a three-game trip, like the Patriots have here, they are just 15-27 SU and 16-24-2 ATS in the third game. On the flip side, home dogs of 7 or more in the first half of the season (Week 9 or earlier) have been on an insane 20-2-2 ATS run the L3+ years (including the Giants’ outright win last week).
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NE 3rd road game, honeymoon game for TEN with a new coach. The science side of the art: Since 2010, teams that make an in-season coaching change have gone 17-16 SU and 20-13 ATS in the next game. The key seems to be making the coaching change early in the season. Interim coaches that took over prior to Week 13 are a shockingly good 11-4 SU and ATS since 2010. Teams playing their third consecutive road game are just 46-72 SU since 2003, regardless of the outcome of the first two games. When the team has won the first two games of a three-game trip, like the Patriots have here, they are just 15-27 SU and 16-24-2 ATS in the third game. On the flip side, home dogs of 7 or more in the first half of the season (Week 9 or earlier) have been on an insane 20-2-2 ATS run the L3+ years (including the Giants’ outright win last week).
Drake May is feeling it right now. They need to get to him and Titans offense needs to detain Simmons …hopefully nose tackle Sweat plays. Patriots run defense is #4 and Cam may be force to throw a lot w/o Ridley.
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Drake May is feeling it right now. They need to get to him and Titans offense needs to detain Simmons …hopefully nose tackle Sweat plays. Patriots run defense is #4 and Cam may be force to throw a lot w/o Ridley.
Drake May is feeling it right now. They need to get to him and Titans offense needs to stop Patriots rush def…hopefully nose tackle Sweat plays. Patriots run defense is #4 and Cam may be force to throw a lot w/o Ridley.
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Quote Originally Posted by winoNV:
Drake May is feeling it right now. They need to get to him and Titans offense needs to stop Patriots rush def…hopefully nose tackle Sweat plays. Patriots run defense is #4 and Cam may be force to throw a lot w/o Ridley.
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