Tuesday Plays

65-52 Playoffs (+13.16u)

Wolves +7.5 -107  (1.5x)

Series: SGA lead scorer in series 4.2u to win 2u (-210) mgm

analysis below 

Wolves with extra rest and OKC off an emotional game 7 win. Like what I saw in the H2H matchups this year. Randle playing his best basketball. OKC tough to go against at home but -7.5 feels a bit much imo. 

Antman vs SGA for the scoring crown here. Shai scored 30+ the last 9 of 10 times vs Wolves. Antman scored 30+ 1 of last 10 tries vs Thunder. Antman always due  for a couple stinkers in tough games whereas SGA can consistently score 25-30 every game. I only justify laying bigger juice if I feel strongly about the play. 

I think 7.5 is a bit too much as well, something isnt right with this spread.

Updated:
Wolves +7.5 -107  (2x)   
Wolves TT o103.5 (2x)

Played o211.5 when the line first opened but it’s moved a bit. Wolves team total looks a bit low too. 

Add:

o215 (2x)

Digesting the VSIN data trends guide and sippin on some dranks. Drinking and gambling mix well. jk

Totals in the 209-216 range have gone over 24 of the last 33 (72.7%) in the Conference Finals. 9 of the last 10 game one’s have gone over. Those 10 games produced 233 PPG going over by almost 18 PPG.

@MrFreedo

 GL

OKC lost first game of the previous series. Not sure if we see that again……

Interesting stats:

Teams that played fewer games in the first two rounds, or essentially  lost  fewer games in those series, are on a 19-1 conference finals series run. Play on Indy and Wolves. 

Teams that played a game 7 matchup in either of the first 2 rounds are 2-15 in the series. When not matched up vs an opponent that went to 7 games. Play against OKC.

Bottom line the rest advantage is beneficial this deep in. 

@masterkush

Question is does OKC win but not cover?

Minnesota was built to take down Denver, which they have. OKC struggled with Denver, does it carry over? 

Antman R/A o11.5 (1x)

Good luck Mr. F.  

FREEDO 

gl brother  love the over TT also  its up to 105.5 now but I think I am still going to play it at 105

BOL  on your play @MrFreedo 

@MrFreedo

 Bol MrFreedo 

 BOLD: Ya that’s what I’m predicting tonight, given it’s a Game 1 and the intensity will be up, and likely a tight game.

Taking +7 is easy an easier call.

Taking Minny ML as well, there is some value in that.

Or maybe the Wolves slumber with their recent vacation?

GLTA!

NBA 1-3 (-5.54u)
MLB 2-0   
WBNA 1-0

Everything good except NBA

SGA future good start though