Series not over yet

sports_Network

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Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 5:29 AM ET #26

Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

Who do you like for game 5? I am just trying to get a public consensus here. I am speaking in terms of ML (not ats)

It's a bit early, I have to read the'official' injury report first, my wager is based on team regression for game #5 however, my lean is towards the dog..

mgmprofits

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Posts: 6659

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 5:31 AM ET #27

Quote Originally Posted by donix:

Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

888 posts...Nice

You were led here by a higher power....

[/Quote

is this a post contest? i rarely post coz its pointless... like all of your post... you just keep on posting for what? to reach the highest post here? cool...

Not at all. I could never hope to do that. People on here have over 100,000 posts. I am only here until NBA is done. I did post 760 posts in one day on a board I first joined back in 2000, but they banned me after 1 day. I didn't know there was a rule that you had to limit your posts. They should of integrated that in so it wouldn't let me post. lol

But they were all meaningful posts, no spam

As for covers and me posting, well...I blame covers. I'll tell you why. It's that green bar meter. I have an OCD thing to get another green bar on the meter. But it takes forever. I think bum also has this as well. So blame covers, they put that bar their to try and control the posters into turbo tweak posting

mjm1012

Legend

Joined: Feb, 2005

Posts: 40305

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 5:33 AM ET #28

Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81:

You pretty much nailed the analysis right on the money

Guy is predicting injuries, saying Cavs won't lose 2 in a row at home when we haven't even played game 5 yet.

EVEN IF THEY LOSE GAME 5 AND 6, I CAN PROMISE YOU THE WARRIORS WILL NOT LOSE GAME 7 MEANING LOSING TWO GAMES IN A ROW.....................I CAN ASSURE YOU THAT MUCH SMH

HOW ABOUT THAT FOR A SCRIPT GAME

mgmprofits

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Posts: 6659

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 5:33 AM ET #29

And it worked on me...

You guys gotta complain to covers for me and get that green bar removed

mjm1012

Legend

Joined: Feb, 2005

Posts: 40305

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 5:36 AM ET #30

SORRY,

I MEANT SAYING LOSING TWO GAMES IN A ROW AT HOME...............

mgmprofits

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Joined: Sep, 2012

Posts: 6659

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 5:37 AM ET #31

Quote Originally Posted by mjm1012:

EVEN IF THEY LOSE GAME 5 AND 6, I CAN PROMISE YOU THE WARRIORS WILL NOT LOSE GAME 7 MEANING LOSING TWO GAMES IN A ROW.....................I CAN ASSURE YOU THAT MUCH SMH

HOW ABOUT THAT FOR A SCRIPT GAME

Even without curry? What if James gets 50 and curry doesn't play, who do you think would win game 7?

mgmprofits

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Posts: 6659

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 5:38 AM ET #32

You have to admit both scenarios are highly possible. James due for a monster game and curry has already been injured in these playoffs so its far more likely for him to tweak the injury, than if he were 100% healthy

mgmprofits

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Posts: 6659

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 5:57 AM ET #33

No response? I was being serious with my questions...

Duderonomy

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Posts: 2468

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 7:00 AM ET #34

But wasn't the whole script about letting Lebron win in 6 games on 6/6/16? And how they let GS go up 2-0 because nobody would believe they could win the next 4?

Let's just cut to the chase already... after game 5 you will make a post saying something like... "The NBA had to let GS win it because everyone was going to bet the Cavs and everyone had figured out the script"... or some other such nonsense! And you can't believe you didn't realize it before...

The curious thing is... before this series started, I predicted the outcome of each of these first 4 games... INEXPLICABLY... because I was only capping the actual basketball games and the teams and analyzing the psychological situations, and I was completely disregarding any fix or script theories!

How is it possible that I have been more accurate than you while not buying into any script BS? Shouldn't the guy who knows what the NBA wants be more accurate than the guy who is making predictions strictly based on basketball?

The Dude imbibes

mgmprofits

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Posts: 6659

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 7:01 AM ET #35

Quote Originally Posted by Duderonomy:

But wasn't the whole script about letting Lebron win in 6 games on 6/6/16? And how they let GS go up 2-0 because nobody would believe they could win the next 4?

Nope, you are wrong. I won't say anything like that.

mgmprofits

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Posts: 6659

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 7:03 AM ET #36

As for the other half of your question,

You got lucky every game in this series has went to the squares pretty much. That is why you're winning without even thinking about it. You took the better team and won. Congrats. But I guarantee you do that long term you will lose. I don't lose finals picks and I haven't lost yet so if I do it will be one of the rare times, I certainly will not change the way I cap the playoffs.

I might adjust as they do but that is normal anyway, just as I do with the patterns

Duderonomy

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Posts: 2468

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 7:15 AM ET #37

Post #3:

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=102282819

Post #9:

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=102283660

Both before the series started... no need for any script theories! You asked me 100 times what I would say after the Cavs came back to win in game 6... now I'm asking you:

What will you say when this series is over after 5 games?

The Dude imbibes

oneluvcurry30

Prospect

Joined: May, 2016

Posts: 133

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 7:18 AM ET #38

Can someone ban MGM? This guy comes up with excuse after excuse after he loses

Duderonomy

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Joined: Aug, 2015

Posts: 2468

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 7:20 AM ET #39

Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

Long term? We have already been over this... I have been betting on sports for more years than you have been alive... I have already done it long term!

Stop talking about what I WILL DO... I have already DONE IT!

You are the most massive BULLSHlT artist in the history of this website, and this website is a haven for BULLSHlT artists!

It may not be clear to you, but it is clear to everyone else... I am the master, you are the student! STFU and start learning from me... and stop thinking you have a single valuable lesson to teach me... I assure you, you do not!

The people who constantly talk about sharps and squares... ARE THE SQUARES! That is what defines them... their simple-minded mentality... that is who the casinos target!

The Dude imbibes

DWeezySF

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2016

Posts: 86

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 9:34 AM ET #40

Do you even realize that majority of the public was on the Cavs before game 1? You might want to check out the ESPN poll. Around 53-55% ish thought the Cavs would win. (Don't remember exact number). People who aren't gamblers are a good sign towards which side the public is on. I'm sure some were gamblers but most probably aren't and even if some were, you get a general idea of what the public thinks.

I don't know where you get this notion that everyone was on the Warriors. The 'experts' are right sometimes and they are wrong sometimes. Public wins sometimes as well. But I have literally no idea why you think the Warriors were the "public" team when every poll I've seen picked the Cavs. Experts picked Warriors because they understand baskbetball. "Public" picked Cavs because LeBron took Warriors to 6 last year with Love and Irving, now they think they can win with them. But in reality, Cavs are a worse team than they were last year. 2015 Cavs would beat 2016 Cavs in 5. Defense wins championships.

Next time, read the script. Script is Warriors in 5. I told you this already. It's scripted but you are reading the wrong one. If Draymond gets suspended, it will only add to the script. The books already put out -8.5, they either think Draymond won't get suspended or it simply won't matter. But if he does, it adds to the script of making Curry Finals' MVP. Draymond is an extremely important piece, but Warriors will win game 5 with Draymond or without by 15+. I have not lied to you yet. I told you exactly how game 3 would play out. Cavs leading into half, Warriors winning the 2nd half by 15+ (they won 2nd half by 16), Curry dropping 30+. I called Warriors not winning game 3 (but I didn't sign up on covers yet, only tweeted that). The reason Draymond playing or not will not matter is because Warriors are at home. Role players play better at home. A 10 point run will seem like a 20 point run. Oracle is going to set record for volume on Monday.

Draymond is probably the leading candidate for Finals' MVP but I guarantee you that the NBA doesn't want to give it to him and want to give it to Curry. That said, they also don't want to change the outcome of the series because LeBron was just frustrated the finals few minutes of the game. Stepping over people is seen as the most disrespectful thing you can do in the NBA, it's an unwritten rule where you just don't do that.

Two ways how it will play out.

Draymond will not get suspended. He will get in foul trouble. Curry will go off.

Draymond gets suspended, Curry goes off.

End of the day, Curry goes off for another 35+ and takes Finals' MVP. This is the game where he goes human torch mode, either 1Q or 3Q. Warriors will break the Finals' record of 17 3s that they made in game 4 and make 20+ 3s. It's gonna be lit.

#DubNation

Two ways how it will play out.

Draymond will not get suspended. He will get in foul trouble. Curry will go off.

Draymond gets suspended, Curry goes off.

#DubNation

DWeezySF

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2016

Posts: 86

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 9:36 AM ET #41

*without Love and Irving

kevinkim

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2005

Posts: 5358

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 10:06 AM ET #42

yeah its not over yet, its 3-1

tonyrome

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Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 3140

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 10:09 AM ET #43

Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

Scripted- Take Cavs

Not Scripted- Take Warriors

You are too much, and at least you and all the other conspiracy theorists will end up being proven wrong and have already a few times.

But you, you are alright, I think you are doing it more for fun, all the others have some issues.

Guy_2U

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Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 1263

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 12:01 PM ET #44

Playing What IF's is not a good percentage, the same what IF's could be used on the other team too to justify the outcome.

SCROG

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Joined: Jul, 2009

Posts: 3347

Posted: Jun. 11, 2016 - 1:19 PM ET #45

Wonder how much a ticket to Oracle Arena will be for the celebatory back to back in game 5 in Cleveland for fans? kind of like all Degrees will be earned online instead of physically in a class pretty soon thanks to dumb phones while driving keeping all of us too busy? just a thought......