Teams down 0-2 on the road in Game 3 are 9-12 SU and 10-11 ATS in Game 3 since 2003.
Road underdogs down 0-2 are 4-10 SU and 6-8 ATS.
After the opening round, road 'dogs down 0-2 are 2-7 SU and 4-5 ATS.
Tom Thibodeau's Knicks teams coming off a loss on the road are 4-2 SU and 4-2 ATS.
Teams that were favored by more than a possession at home and lost outright, and then were road 'dogs in the next game have gone 36-45 SU and 49-32 (65%).
Teams with back-to-back games to open a series where they had more turnovers than the opponent and are listed as road 'dogs in Game 3 are 13-18 SU and 17–14 ATS.
So, a lot of those stats suggest that the Knicks cover the spread but lose Game 3 outright.
Except, here’s my issue: the line is too short.
I made the spread for the first two games of this series Knicks -0.7, so I was on the Pacers.
That’s not a victory lap, that’s to set up where I think these next two games should be.
Now, Game 3 opened at just Pacers -1.5 because the power rating for those teams cannot shift far enough, even after two losses, especially with one of them having a miraculous comeback.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Teams down 0-2 on the road in Game 3 are 9-12 SU and 10-11 ATS in Game 3 since 2003.
Road underdogs down 0-2 are 4-10 SU and 6-8 ATS.
After the opening round, road 'dogs down 0-2 are 2-7 SU and 4-5 ATS.
Tom Thibodeau's Knicks teams coming off a loss on the road are 4-2 SU and 4-2 ATS.
Teams that were favored by more than a possession at home and lost outright, and then were road 'dogs in the next game have gone 36-45 SU and 49-32 (65%).
Teams with back-to-back games to open a series where they had more turnovers than the opponent and are listed as road 'dogs in Game 3 are 13-18 SU and 17–14 ATS.
So, a lot of those stats suggest that the Knicks cover the spread but lose Game 3 outright.
Except, here’s my issue: the line is too short.
I made the spread for the first two games of this series Knicks -0.7, so I was on the Pacers.
That’s not a victory lap, that’s to set up where I think these next two games should be.
Now, Game 3 opened at just Pacers -1.5 because the power rating for those teams cannot shift far enough, even after two losses, especially with one of them having a miraculous comeback.
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