Liking the under in OKC/MIN game tonight

Mind fuck game here so I'm going to play the under 221

Last game goes to a total of 254 points scored

Game before that total of 244 points scored

I liked the pacers and the over last night for the same mind fuck reason previous tight games and Knicks covering but I didn't play it and I didn't post it but today I will and I'm posting the under 221

Good luck to all whatever you decide to play tonight and a special kind of luck to all that Justliketoplay.

@justliketoplay

Good luck JLTP.  

GL buddy 

How is it different than a roulette hitting Black 7 times in a row, so now it's due to hit Red for sure? or vice versa...

Don't get me wrong, I definitely like the under, I really do, but what if it goes under, goes to 205.5 in live and then bam ... they start scoring like nuts again and it ends with 230 pts?

Do you have any guarantees this will end under?

do you like to win though? or just like to play?? 

@NBAAddiction18

Do you have any guarantees this will end under?

 Nope!  

No guarantees at all as the line is set low for a reason and and for that reason and that reason alone I respect the line and believe this particular game as well to be tight and more defensive and that's why my posted play is and continues to be the under.

Good luck to you tonight NBA 

@justliketoplay

 I had the under in the previous game and got burned / smoked ... I respected that low line ... what difference is it today than the last one? Being played in OKC? Rigging in place?

@NBAAddiction18

 So if it goes well give games total given on both of the previous games, wouldn't you think the line would be adjusted to be at least slightly higher than 221 and let's say For all practical purposes 226?

But it's not! leading me to believe that this could very well go under that low number and that's why I'm willing to gamble that it does.

Enjoy the game bud 

@justliketoplay

Sometimes, the line staying “low” despite high previous totals is strategic — they want to balance the bets on both sides to minimize their risk. It’s not always about reflecting what happened but managing the betting action.

So while your reasoning about the line being set “low” suggests an under could be possible, it’s also a reminder that these lines are designed to keep bettors guessing and to keep the sportsbook protected.

At the end of the day, it’s a tough call — and any bet is still a gamble. Enjoy the game and bet only what you’re comfortable losing!

@NBAAddiction18

 Well said and thank you for your posts and most definitely yes this thing called gambling is NOT an easy thing to successfully accomplish daily but with wise money management and self control it could have its good days no doubt and when you do have your losing days they can be kept to a minimal loss if you allow yourself to play it that way and I'd advise all to play cautiously and within the means of what your weekly bankroll amount allows you to play most definitely. 

This total set 221 is the highest of all Wolves / Thunder games in this series. I remember the rest of the games are not higher than 220. So tread carefully.

My initial thought was UNDER but I am not going to fight the OVER trend.

All previous lines were within two baskets of the line set for today and all went over.

My point is, is that the line hasn't deviated from previous over/under line totals much at all this whole series which to myself is an indicator that these two teams playing could go very well go under this total and my hard earned cash says it does.

Tread carefully you say? Absolutely! always do and always will and that's what keeps me fighting another day if my play does go south in which like all/most.....it could and it has but for tonight I feel the under is the right play

... we'll see....good luck g-d 

No timberwolves road game has gone over 222 points yet this postseason so I’m taking the under as well

@NBAAddiction18

 And what if it ties Under  (there's a 5% or 6% chance)?

Then the game goes to overtime with a higher  probability the overtime period will work against your under bet with the final score ending Over.

Unders are for the birds!

Big Blowouts get loosey goosey on D. Middled out with o 212 , U 221.5, I can't trust an under if it gets out of hand early. If wolves capitulate to Cancun , it means shoot at will and play no D, Dunk and 3s party for Thunder. If it gets closer this is wrong. Also Twolves might miss every shot and score 70

Great angle...

Mind fk games.  EXACTLY.

bol

Thanks for the continued well wishes and acknowledgement fellas much appreciated 

The line was read perfectly as mentioned above close in the end no doubt but as the old saying goes....alls well that ends well...