Digging into the numbers on Denver-Jazz. In the 3 Jazz wins, Utah shot 47% from 3 (52-110) while Denver shot just 35% (42-119). Essentially, Jazz are +10 points per game from deep.
BUT, do you know who the best 3 point shooting team is in the NBA? Denver, @ 43%. I see some regression to the mean coming here for both teams, Utah to shoot worse, Denver to shoot much better.
Secondly, Donovan has been the best player on the floor but I honestly don’t see him co to using to average 40 points. Those are LBJ or Kobe numbers, so I see him leveling off a little as well.
Lastly, Jordan Clarkson has averaged 20 PPG off the bench the last 3 games, all Jazz victories. Jordan Clarkson. I’m not seeing him continue to play at that type of level.
In summary, the 3 point shooting is fact based & there is some regression coming. It may not be enough if Mitchell stays dominant & Clarkson continues his stellar play. However, I believe all 3 continuing won’t happen & that is why my belief is Denver will win straight up tonight.
Digging into the numbers on Denver-Jazz. In the 3 Jazz wins, Utah shot 47% from 3 (52-110) while Denver shot just 35% (42-119). Essentially, Jazz are +10 points per game from deep.
BUT, do you know who the best 3 point shooting team is in the NBA? Denver, @ 43%. I see some regression to the mean coming here for both teams, Utah to shoot worse, Denver to shoot much better.
Secondly, Donovan has been the best player on the floor but I honestly don’t see him co to using to average 40 points. Those are LBJ or Kobe numbers, so I see him leveling off a little as well.
Lastly, Jordan Clarkson has averaged 20 PPG off the bench the last 3 games, all Jazz victories. Jordan Clarkson. I’m not seeing him continue to play at that type of level.
In summary, the 3 point shooting is fact based & there is some regression coming. It may not be enough if Mitchell stays dominant & Clarkson continues his stellar play. However, I believe all 3 continuing won’t happen & that is why my belief is Denver will win straight up tonight.
The numbers don’t like & a combination of Mitchell & Clarkson coming down to earth as well as the 3 point shooting regressing both ways yielded a Nuggets win.
As for today, I keep diving into the stats with OKC vs Houston & only one thing jumps out to me. This is the NBA, it’s not about systems as much as individual players playing like Superstars. In games 3 & 4, Schroeder has averaged 29.5 PPG while Harden has totaled 3 FT attempts in the 4th quarter. Also, OKC went to OT & won by 3 in those games. I believe Harden is the better player today &, despite Dorts solid D on him, gets to the line instead of living from the perimeter. The line continues to climb but I’ll take Rockets on the ML to win today as I’m comfortable backing the team with the best player. Wouldn’t be surprised given how he’s shot to see him get 50 tonight.
The numbers don’t like & a combination of Mitchell & Clarkson coming down to earth as well as the 3 point shooting regressing both ways yielded a Nuggets win.
As for today, I keep diving into the stats with OKC vs Houston & only one thing jumps out to me. This is the NBA, it’s not about systems as much as individual players playing like Superstars. In games 3 & 4, Schroeder has averaged 29.5 PPG while Harden has totaled 3 FT attempts in the 4th quarter. Also, OKC went to OT & won by 3 in those games. I believe Harden is the better player today &, despite Dorts solid D on him, gets to the line instead of living from the perimeter. The line continues to climb but I’ll take Rockets on the ML to win today as I’m comfortable backing the team with the best player. Wouldn’t be surprised given how he’s shot to see him get 50 tonight.
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