Nice hits last night, 20-10, + 11.59 units ytd.
Looking at a few for today, have two definites on the card and one or two more that I'm interested in pending line moves. Waiting on the two I like, I think the lines will move in my favor.
Nice hits last night, 20-10, + 11.59 units ytd.
Looking at a few for today, have two definites on the card and one or two more that I'm interested in pending line moves. Waiting on the two I like, I think the lines will move in my favor.
Nice hits last night, 20-10, + 11.59 units ytd.
Looking at a few for today, have two definites on the card and one or two more that I'm interested in pending line moves. Waiting on the two I like, I think the lines will move in my favor.
SA is in a bad let down spot emotionally.
Nice value with the Kings.
Agreed on the Spurs game, but I don't feel as good about it as I should. I'll be staying away from that game, may add a Houston 2h play if SA is up a few buckets but no play going in.
One of my plays is in Sacramento tonight, looking it over for now.
SA is in a bad let down spot emotionally.
Nice value with the Kings.
Agreed on the Spurs game, but I don't feel as good about it as I should. I'll be staying away from that game, may add a Houston 2h play if SA is up a few buckets but no play going in.
One of my plays is in Sacramento tonight, looking it over for now.
Bulls -7 (1.5 unit play).
I said I will be fading the Bulls a lot this year and I plan on following through on it, but tonight is not that night. Chicago has been extremely sluggish in the early going, and allowed 47% shooting/committed 20+ turnovers in an ugly loss in Oakland the other night. 2 nights off to get refocused on this west coast swing, I expect them to come out very strong tonight. Defense will be suffocating which will lead to easy baskets, and Rose will assert himself in the early going which he hasn't done in the first two games. Also from a line perspective, a 7.5 opener is a VERY strong Bulls # considering how ugly they've looked as a road fave in the first two games, along with Sacto beating the Lakers still lingering in the public's mind. Bulls by dd here. May add a 1h too but not yet. Love the drop from 7.5 to 7, for all I know it could go below 7 but I don't care to wait, I like it where it stands right now and don't want to risk it hitting 8+ which I think it may.
Knicks/Lakers Over 194.5, 1 unit play. Melo/Amare with BRUTAL offensive performances last night, pace was slow and the team just couldn't get going in its first road game. The fact that the Knicks played to 170 on a 208 total last night, and the Lakers are 0-3 to the Under so far including 2 games in the low-mid 180's, sets it up wonderfully. What # would Vegas have opened if they wanted over money? 192, 190, something like that, right? This opened at a high-looking 198ish for a reason, and one ugly game isn't enough to change what I believe will happen tonight. Knicks will focus on getting easy baskets in transition, it's either that or taking their chances with Melo/Amare one on one. Lakers don't have a Melo or Amare stopper, Knicks don't have a Kobe stopper. People whose input on an under play is the scheduling spot for both teams need to give it a rest, the season started a few days ago these teams are 5% as gassed as they will be come March and April.
Okc -5.5, 1 unit play. Liked it at 6.5, waited for the early head fake line move when I saw the entire forum likes Dallas for some reason. People here are dwelling on all the wrong things. "Dallas is the defending champ, they just got embarassed at home two straight nights, they'll be up for this game, OKC is tired 4th in 5 nights for them..." blah, blah, blah. First off, look at the minutes last night for OKC. Westbrook had 31 mins and Durant 39, nobody else came close to Westbrook's 31. This team is 24 years old across the board, they won't be nearly as tired as you like to imagine, especially not Durant who only plays basketball on one end of the floor. This is an enormous revenge game for the Thunder, which is a part of the reason why they looked so sluggish beating a Grizzlies team playing without Conley the entire night. Westbrook off an 0/13 performance will rebound, and there is no better opponent for him to do it against. Dallas doesn't have a rim protector, a ball stopper on the perimeter, and is introducing new pieces all around the floor who are unprepared defensively with the short training camp. Huge statement game for OKC tonight, they win by 20.
Bulls -7 (1.5 unit play).
I said I will be fading the Bulls a lot this year and I plan on following through on it, but tonight is not that night. Chicago has been extremely sluggish in the early going, and allowed 47% shooting/committed 20+ turnovers in an ugly loss in Oakland the other night. 2 nights off to get refocused on this west coast swing, I expect them to come out very strong tonight. Defense will be suffocating which will lead to easy baskets, and Rose will assert himself in the early going which he hasn't done in the first two games. Also from a line perspective, a 7.5 opener is a VERY strong Bulls # considering how ugly they've looked as a road fave in the first two games, along with Sacto beating the Lakers still lingering in the public's mind. Bulls by dd here. May add a 1h too but not yet. Love the drop from 7.5 to 7, for all I know it could go below 7 but I don't care to wait, I like it where it stands right now and don't want to risk it hitting 8+ which I think it may.
Knicks/Lakers Over 194.5, 1 unit play. Melo/Amare with BRUTAL offensive performances last night, pace was slow and the team just couldn't get going in its first road game. The fact that the Knicks played to 170 on a 208 total last night, and the Lakers are 0-3 to the Under so far including 2 games in the low-mid 180's, sets it up wonderfully. What # would Vegas have opened if they wanted over money? 192, 190, something like that, right? This opened at a high-looking 198ish for a reason, and one ugly game isn't enough to change what I believe will happen tonight. Knicks will focus on getting easy baskets in transition, it's either that or taking their chances with Melo/Amare one on one. Lakers don't have a Melo or Amare stopper, Knicks don't have a Kobe stopper. People whose input on an under play is the scheduling spot for both teams need to give it a rest, the season started a few days ago these teams are 5% as gassed as they will be come March and April.
Okc -5.5, 1 unit play. Liked it at 6.5, waited for the early head fake line move when I saw the entire forum likes Dallas for some reason. People here are dwelling on all the wrong things. "Dallas is the defending champ, they just got embarassed at home two straight nights, they'll be up for this game, OKC is tired 4th in 5 nights for them..." blah, blah, blah. First off, look at the minutes last night for OKC. Westbrook had 31 mins and Durant 39, nobody else came close to Westbrook's 31. This team is 24 years old across the board, they won't be nearly as tired as you like to imagine, especially not Durant who only plays basketball on one end of the floor. This is an enormous revenge game for the Thunder, which is a part of the reason why they looked so sluggish beating a Grizzlies team playing without Conley the entire night. Westbrook off an 0/13 performance will rebound, and there is no better opponent for him to do it against. Dallas doesn't have a rim protector, a ball stopper on the perimeter, and is introducing new pieces all around the floor who are unprepared defensively with the short training camp. Huge statement game for OKC tonight, they win by 20.
Agreed on the Spurs game, but I don't feel as good about it as I should. I'll be staying away from that game, may add a Houston 2h play if SA is up a few buckets but no play going in.
One of my plays is in Sacramento tonight, looking it over for now.
Agreed on the Spurs game, but I don't feel as good about it as I should. I'll be staying away from that game, may add a Houston 2h play if SA is up a few buckets but no play going in.
One of my plays is in Sacramento tonight, looking it over for now.
Thanks for the gl. Here's the way I see it. This Bulls team starts the trip as a road favorite in two consecutive games. The first one they're anywhere from 3.5-5.5 depending on where you got them, they win by a point miraculously, no cover. Next night, 6.5 road chalk, they lose outright by a ton. Off those two games, playing another road game, as a favorite, on the west coast, against a team that is not perceived to be better than the GS team they opened at 6.5 with, off two non covers the last of which was a blowout loss, Vegas could've opened this # much shorter if they wanted to bait Bulls money. With how the Bulls have played in their first two games, this line could not have possibly been any higher than the 7.5 open. That's just my opinion though, and it's just another play, nothing nuts. Thanks for your input, always appreciate it.
Thanks for the gl. Here's the way I see it. This Bulls team starts the trip as a road favorite in two consecutive games. The first one they're anywhere from 3.5-5.5 depending on where you got them, they win by a point miraculously, no cover. Next night, 6.5 road chalk, they lose outright by a ton. Off those two games, playing another road game, as a favorite, on the west coast, against a team that is not perceived to be better than the GS team they opened at 6.5 with, off two non covers the last of which was a blowout loss, Vegas could've opened this # much shorter if they wanted to bait Bulls money. With how the Bulls have played in their first two games, this line could not have possibly been any higher than the 7.5 open. That's just my opinion though, and it's just another play, nothing nuts. Thanks for your input, always appreciate it.
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