-- The Dodgers have been on FIRE. They look to win their franchise-record 13th straight road win against against a struggling Cubs team and I cannot pass up on the value. LAD has won 26 of their last 33 games and have been proved to be road warriors winning their past 12 away from home. Although Chris Capuano has been inconsistent at times this year, he has been pretty reliable lately, winning his past 3 starts (3-0, 2.60 ERA, 0.98 WHIP). He has also had very much success in 13 career starts against the Cubs (9-3, 3.35 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, .235 BAA) and with the help of the hot Dodgers' bats, I can see him limiting the damage enough to help the Dodgers reach a new franchise mark of 13 consecutive road wins. While the Dodgers have been arguably the best team in the league of late, the Cubs have been headed in the opposite direction. They have absolutely no chance at the post-season this year, unlike the 1st-place surging Dodgers, and have they have lost 5 of their past 6 games, as well as 5 straight losses in this match-up. While Samardzija has pitched solid this year, he has not fared well in his 3 career appearances against the Dodgers (5.19 ERA) and LAD won 6-1 last year against him (without Puig, Crawford, the recently-hot Uribe or the new look bullpen) and I look for a similar result in this game. Samardzija has given up 4+ Runs in 6 of his last 10 games (including 9 Runs in 4 innings at Home vs. Angels) and I can see the red-hot Dodgers' bats doing enough damage against him to place a mark in the history books.
*CHC hits Left-handers (Capuano) WORSE than Right-handers:
--- (3.58 R/9, .230 avg vs. Lefties) < (4.16 R/9, .243 avg vs. Rights)
*LAD is 5-0 in last 5 games in this series.
*LAD is 12-0 in last 12 road games.
*LAD is 11-1 in Capuano's last 12 starts as favorite of -110 to -150.
*CHC is 7-21 in last 28 games after losing first 2 games of a series.
*CHC is 31-64 in last 95 vs. team with a winning record.
*CHC is 5-12 in Samardzija's last 17 vs. team with winning record.
-- The Dodgers have been on FIRE. They look to win their franchise-record 13th straight road win against against a struggling Cubs team and I cannot pass up on the value. LAD has won 26 of their last 33 games and have been proved to be road warriors winning their past 12 away from home. Although Chris Capuano has been inconsistent at times this year, he has been pretty reliable lately, winning his past 3 starts (3-0, 2.60 ERA, 0.98 WHIP). He has also had very much success in 13 career starts against the Cubs (9-3, 3.35 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, .235 BAA) and with the help of the hot Dodgers' bats, I can see him limiting the damage enough to help the Dodgers reach a new franchise mark of 13 consecutive road wins. While the Dodgers have been arguably the best team in the league of late, the Cubs have been headed in the opposite direction. They have absolutely no chance at the post-season this year, unlike the 1st-place surging Dodgers, and have they have lost 5 of their past 6 games, as well as 5 straight losses in this match-up. While Samardzija has pitched solid this year, he has not fared well in his 3 career appearances against the Dodgers (5.19 ERA) and LAD won 6-1 last year against him (without Puig, Crawford, the recently-hot Uribe or the new look bullpen) and I look for a similar result in this game. Samardzija has given up 4+ Runs in 6 of his last 10 games (including 9 Runs in 4 innings at Home vs. Angels) and I can see the red-hot Dodgers' bats doing enough damage against him to place a mark in the history books.
*CHC hits Left-handers (Capuano) WORSE than Right-handers:
--- (3.58 R/9, .230 avg vs. Lefties) < (4.16 R/9, .243 avg vs. Rights)
*LAD is 5-0 in last 5 games in this series.
*LAD is 12-0 in last 12 road games.
*LAD is 11-1 in Capuano's last 12 starts as favorite of -110 to -150.
*CHC is 7-21 in last 28 games after losing first 2 games of a series.
*CHC is 31-64 in last 95 vs. team with a winning record.
*CHC is 5-12 in Samardzija's last 17 vs. team with winning record.
-- Garza has pitched lights out this year (7-1, 2.95 ERA, 1.10 WHIP) and was an excellent addition to a Texas team that needed some sort of boost. He has also pitched very well in his 5 career starts against Oakland (2.70 ERA, 1.25 ERA, .225 BAA) but has went 2-3 due to lack of run support. I highly doubt that he will have that problem occur as much with his new Rangers' squad backing him with their powerful bats (who have score 15 Runs in their last 2 games combined, and 31 Runs in their last 4 games). He has been more than what TEX could've hoped for in his first 2 starts as a Ranger (2-0, 1.88 ERA, 0.91 WHIP) and I cannot ignore his value as a dog in this one. While Texas comes into this one riding a 5-game winning streak, Oakland has lost 3 in a row, while being outscored 5-18 in their slump. And it is hard for me to see these slumping bats put up runs against a red-hot Garza and his Texas squad who are making a strong push to catch up to OAK (1st-place in AL West), only 2.5 GB from taking the lead. Jarrod Parker is on the mound for the A's, and he has been mediocre at best this year (6-6, 4.07 ERA). He has also struggled at Home (3-3, 4.81 ERA) and his last outing was a disaster as he only lasted 5 innings while giving up 6 ER on 5 Hits and 7 BB's to the Angels (without Pujols) @Home and I strongly believe that the Rangers will put enough on the board to continue their streak.
*TEX is 23-9 in last 32 games vs. AL West.
*TEX is 9-4 in last 13 after scoring 5+ runs in previous game.
*TEX is 2-0 in Garza's only 2 starts as a Ranger.
*OAK is 2-6 in last 8 Saturday games.
*OAK is 1-5 in Parker's last 6 starts.
*OAK is 1-5 in last 5 meetings vs. Texas.
BOL everyone (Will be adding 1-3 more plays tomorrow based on starting line-ups and line changes.)
-- Garza has pitched lights out this year (7-1, 2.95 ERA, 1.10 WHIP) and was an excellent addition to a Texas team that needed some sort of boost. He has also pitched very well in his 5 career starts against Oakland (2.70 ERA, 1.25 ERA, .225 BAA) but has went 2-3 due to lack of run support. I highly doubt that he will have that problem occur as much with his new Rangers' squad backing him with their powerful bats (who have score 15 Runs in their last 2 games combined, and 31 Runs in their last 4 games). He has been more than what TEX could've hoped for in his first 2 starts as a Ranger (2-0, 1.88 ERA, 0.91 WHIP) and I cannot ignore his value as a dog in this one. While Texas comes into this one riding a 5-game winning streak, Oakland has lost 3 in a row, while being outscored 5-18 in their slump. And it is hard for me to see these slumping bats put up runs against a red-hot Garza and his Texas squad who are making a strong push to catch up to OAK (1st-place in AL West), only 2.5 GB from taking the lead. Jarrod Parker is on the mound for the A's, and he has been mediocre at best this year (6-6, 4.07 ERA). He has also struggled at Home (3-3, 4.81 ERA) and his last outing was a disaster as he only lasted 5 innings while giving up 6 ER on 5 Hits and 7 BB's to the Angels (without Pujols) @Home and I strongly believe that the Rangers will put enough on the board to continue their streak.
*TEX is 23-9 in last 32 games vs. AL West.
*TEX is 9-4 in last 13 after scoring 5+ runs in previous game.
*TEX is 2-0 in Garza's only 2 starts as a Ranger.
*OAK is 2-6 in last 8 Saturday games.
*OAK is 1-5 in Parker's last 6 starts.
*OAK is 1-5 in last 5 meetings vs. Texas.
BOL everyone (Will be adding 1-3 more plays tomorrow based on starting line-ups and line changes.)
-- Chen has been everything the Royals could have asked for plus more since being called back up to the starting rotation (4-0, 2.09 ERA, 1.14 WHIP), and he has pitched even better so far away from home (2-0, 0.89 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, .148 BAA). The Royals had their 9-game winning streak snapped yesterday against a solid Dillon Gee, but I cannot see Hefner doing the same. Hefner has struggled this year (4-8, 4.21 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) and he has been even worse at his home ballpark (1-5, 4.56 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, .268 BAA). The Mets won the game largely in part to David Wright's 2-run bomb (and Gee's excellent pitching), but they could be without their most consistent hitter (leads team with .309 average) as he strained his hamstring in the 10th inning. The loss dropped the Royals to 9-1 in their last 10 games, and I look for them to bounce back strong tomorrow with Chen against a struggling Mets team with Hefner on the mound (and most likely without their star David Wright). The Mets have struggled to put runs on the board lately, averaging only 2.4 runs per game while hitting a HORRIBLE .147 (10-for-68) with RISP during their last 8 games. With David Wright possibly out for an extended period of time, the future looks dim for the Mets as opponents are hitting .115 in Chen's 3 starts. KC has the edge in Starter, Bullpen, and Bats in this match-up and I can see them pulling to .500 on the road after this one (27-28) while the Mets have NOT been a good home team this year (22-30) so I cannot give them too much of an edge in that regard.
*KC is 9-1 in their last 10 overall.
*KC is 17-5 in last 22 games as a favorite.
*KC is 7-3 in last 10 interleague games vs. team w/ losing record.
*KC is 7-3 in Chen's last 10 starts vs. team w/ losing record.
*KC is 7-0 in Chen's last 7 starts as a favorite.
*NYM is 16-35 in last 51 games as home underdog.
*NYM is 12-27 in last 39 vs. pitcher with less than 1.15 WHIP.
*NYM is 2-12 in last 14 Saturday games.
*NYM is 2-9 in Hefner's last 11 starts vs. team w/ winning record.
*NYM is 1-9 in Hefner's last 10 starts as home underdog.
-- Chen has been everything the Royals could have asked for plus more since being called back up to the starting rotation (4-0, 2.09 ERA, 1.14 WHIP), and he has pitched even better so far away from home (2-0, 0.89 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, .148 BAA). The Royals had their 9-game winning streak snapped yesterday against a solid Dillon Gee, but I cannot see Hefner doing the same. Hefner has struggled this year (4-8, 4.21 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) and he has been even worse at his home ballpark (1-5, 4.56 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, .268 BAA). The Mets won the game largely in part to David Wright's 2-run bomb (and Gee's excellent pitching), but they could be without their most consistent hitter (leads team with .309 average) as he strained his hamstring in the 10th inning. The loss dropped the Royals to 9-1 in their last 10 games, and I look for them to bounce back strong tomorrow with Chen against a struggling Mets team with Hefner on the mound (and most likely without their star David Wright). The Mets have struggled to put runs on the board lately, averaging only 2.4 runs per game while hitting a HORRIBLE .147 (10-for-68) with RISP during their last 8 games. With David Wright possibly out for an extended period of time, the future looks dim for the Mets as opponents are hitting .115 in Chen's 3 starts. KC has the edge in Starter, Bullpen, and Bats in this match-up and I can see them pulling to .500 on the road after this one (27-28) while the Mets have NOT been a good home team this year (22-30) so I cannot give them too much of an edge in that regard.
*KC is 9-1 in their last 10 overall.
*KC is 17-5 in last 22 games as a favorite.
*KC is 7-3 in last 10 interleague games vs. team w/ losing record.
*KC is 7-3 in Chen's last 10 starts vs. team w/ losing record.
*KC is 7-0 in Chen's last 7 starts as a favorite.
*NYM is 16-35 in last 51 games as home underdog.
*NYM is 12-27 in last 39 vs. pitcher with less than 1.15 WHIP.
*NYM is 2-12 in last 14 Saturday games.
*NYM is 2-9 in Hefner's last 11 starts vs. team w/ winning record.
*NYM is 1-9 in Hefner's last 10 starts as home underdog.
MoneyMaker - That's good news for us! Let's get it BOL bro
Icemunger - I really like them to keep it rolling tomorrow, although it is Capuano, the value is good and he has great career numbers against the Cubs + they don't hit well vs. Lefties. GL man
MoneyMaker - That's good news for us! Let's get it BOL bro
Icemunger - I really like them to keep it rolling tomorrow, although it is Capuano, the value is good and he has great career numbers against the Cubs + they don't hit well vs. Lefties. GL man
-- The Dodgers have been on FIRE. They look to win their franchise-record 13th straight road win against against a struggling Cubs team and I cannot pass up on the value. LAD has won 26 of their last 33 games and have been proved to be road warriors winning their past 12 away from home. Although Chris Capuano has been inconsistent at times this year, he has been pretty reliable lately, winning his past 3 starts (3-0, 2.60 ERA, 0.98 WHIP). He has also had very much success in 13 career starts against the Cubs (9-3, 3.35 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, .235 BAA) and with the help of the hot Dodgers' bats, I can see him limiting the damage enough to help the Dodgers reach a new franchise mark of 13 consecutive road wins. While the Dodgers have been arguably the best team in the league of late, the Cubs have been headed in the opposite direction. They have absolutely no chance at the post-season this year, unlike the 1st-place surging Dodgers, and have they have lost 5 of their past 6 games, as well as 5 straight losses in this match-up. While Samardzija has pitched solid this year, he has not fared well in his 3 career appearances against the Dodgers (5.19 ERA) and LAD won 6-1 last year against him (without Puig, Crawford, the recently-hot Uribe or the new look bullpen) and I look for a similar result in this game. Samardzija has given up 4+ Runs in 6 of his last 10 games (including 9 Runs in 4 innings at Home vs. Angels) and I can see the red-hot Dodgers' bats doing enough damage against him to place a mark in the history books.
*CHC hits Left-handers (Capuano) WORSE than Right-handers:
--- (3.58 R/9, .230 avg vs. Lefties) < (4.16 R/9, .243 avg vs. Rights)
*LAD is 5-0 in last 5 games in this series.
*LAD is 12-0 in last 12 road games.
*LAD is 11-1 in Capuano's last 12 starts as favorite of -110 to -150.
*CHC is 7-21 in last 28 games after losing first 2 games of a series.
*CHC is 31-64 in last 95 vs. team with a winning record.
*CHC is 5-12 in Samardzija's last 17 vs. team with winning record.
he has been pretty reliable lately, winning his past 3 starts (3-0....
Capuano is only 1-0 with 2 no decisions in his last 3 starts....Not 3-0
-- The Dodgers have been on FIRE. They look to win their franchise-record 13th straight road win against against a struggling Cubs team and I cannot pass up on the value. LAD has won 26 of their last 33 games and have been proved to be road warriors winning their past 12 away from home. Although Chris Capuano has been inconsistent at times this year, he has been pretty reliable lately, winning his past 3 starts (3-0, 2.60 ERA, 0.98 WHIP). He has also had very much success in 13 career starts against the Cubs (9-3, 3.35 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, .235 BAA) and with the help of the hot Dodgers' bats, I can see him limiting the damage enough to help the Dodgers reach a new franchise mark of 13 consecutive road wins. While the Dodgers have been arguably the best team in the league of late, the Cubs have been headed in the opposite direction. They have absolutely no chance at the post-season this year, unlike the 1st-place surging Dodgers, and have they have lost 5 of their past 6 games, as well as 5 straight losses in this match-up. While Samardzija has pitched solid this year, he has not fared well in his 3 career appearances against the Dodgers (5.19 ERA) and LAD won 6-1 last year against him (without Puig, Crawford, the recently-hot Uribe or the new look bullpen) and I look for a similar result in this game. Samardzija has given up 4+ Runs in 6 of his last 10 games (including 9 Runs in 4 innings at Home vs. Angels) and I can see the red-hot Dodgers' bats doing enough damage against him to place a mark in the history books.
*CHC hits Left-handers (Capuano) WORSE than Right-handers:
--- (3.58 R/9, .230 avg vs. Lefties) < (4.16 R/9, .243 avg vs. Rights)
*LAD is 5-0 in last 5 games in this series.
*LAD is 12-0 in last 12 road games.
*LAD is 11-1 in Capuano's last 12 starts as favorite of -110 to -150.
*CHC is 7-21 in last 28 games after losing first 2 games of a series.
*CHC is 31-64 in last 95 vs. team with a winning record.
*CHC is 5-12 in Samardzija's last 17 vs. team with winning record.
he has been pretty reliable lately, winning his past 3 starts (3-0....
Capuano is only 1-0 with 2 no decisions in his last 3 starts....Not 3-0
slick15 - You are right about that Capuano stat. Sorry about the typo, I meant to state, "The Dodgers are 3-0 in his last 3 starts." Which is a true statement as his last 3 games (W 1-0, W 10-9, W 6-1) were all team-wins, but not decision Wins. BOL
capuchaboy - Even with Wright in the line-up, KC is the play. As I mentioned, WITH David Wright playing, "The Mets have struggled to put runs on the board lately, averaging only 2.4 runs per game while hitting a HORRIBLE .147 (10-for-68) with RISP during their last 8 games."
slick15 - You are right about that Capuano stat. Sorry about the typo, I meant to state, "The Dodgers are 3-0 in his last 3 starts." Which is a true statement as his last 3 games (W 1-0, W 10-9, W 6-1) were all team-wins, but not decision Wins. BOL
capuchaboy - Even with Wright in the line-up, KC is the play. As I mentioned, WITH David Wright playing, "The Mets have struggled to put runs on the board lately, averaging only 2.4 runs per game while hitting a HORRIBLE .147 (10-for-68) with RISP during their last 8 games."
-- Patrick Corbin has been an absolute monster this year (12-2, 2.24 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 123 K's to 36 BB's) and he has pitched 18 Quality Starts in 21 tries. The Dbacks are 18-3 when Corbin takes the mound, and they were 8-0 with him on the road, until he Lost his first away game against the Mets. Boston will be sending their new acquisition, Jake Peavy, to the mound for the first time and he has been inconsistent this year (8-4, 4.28 ERA, 1.14 WHIP). He has given up 4+ Runs in his last 4 straight starts, and in his stats are horrible in his last 3 starts (7.04 ERA, 1.30 WHIP). In contrast, Corbin's last 3 starts have been much like his terrific year (1.31 ERA, 1.06 WHIP). I hope Corbin can continue his terrific stretch and that Peavy can continue giving up his 4+ Runs so that ARI can win this one with terrific value as underdog. I have nothing but respect for Boston and I know why they are still favored to win this one, but I think it will be closer than the line is set at, and I really like the value of the Dbacks.
*ARI hits Right-hander's (Peavy) BETTER than Left-hander's:
--- (4.25 R/9, .250 avg) > (3.80 R/9, .257 avg)
*BOS hits Left-hander's (Corbin) WORSE than Right-hander's:
--- (4.26 R/9, .249 avg) < (5.47 R/9, .279 avg)
*ARI is 17-7 in last 24 vs. starter with WHIP less than 1.15
*ARI is 20-3 in Corbin's last 23 starts following a Quality Start.
*ARI is 11-1 in Corbin's last 12 starts after scoring 5+ in previous.
*BOS is 16-5 in last 21 at home vs. team w/ losing road record.
*BOS is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
*BOS is 7-3 in last 10 games vs. left-handed starter.
-- Patrick Corbin has been an absolute monster this year (12-2, 2.24 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 123 K's to 36 BB's) and he has pitched 18 Quality Starts in 21 tries. The Dbacks are 18-3 when Corbin takes the mound, and they were 8-0 with him on the road, until he Lost his first away game against the Mets. Boston will be sending their new acquisition, Jake Peavy, to the mound for the first time and he has been inconsistent this year (8-4, 4.28 ERA, 1.14 WHIP). He has given up 4+ Runs in his last 4 straight starts, and in his stats are horrible in his last 3 starts (7.04 ERA, 1.30 WHIP). In contrast, Corbin's last 3 starts have been much like his terrific year (1.31 ERA, 1.06 WHIP). I hope Corbin can continue his terrific stretch and that Peavy can continue giving up his 4+ Runs so that ARI can win this one with terrific value as underdog. I have nothing but respect for Boston and I know why they are still favored to win this one, but I think it will be closer than the line is set at, and I really like the value of the Dbacks.
*ARI hits Right-hander's (Peavy) BETTER than Left-hander's:
--- (4.25 R/9, .250 avg) > (3.80 R/9, .257 avg)
*BOS hits Left-hander's (Corbin) WORSE than Right-hander's:
--- (4.26 R/9, .249 avg) < (5.47 R/9, .279 avg)
*ARI is 17-7 in last 24 vs. starter with WHIP less than 1.15
*ARI is 20-3 in Corbin's last 23 starts following a Quality Start.
*ARI is 11-1 in Corbin's last 12 starts after scoring 5+ in previous.
*BOS is 16-5 in last 21 at home vs. team w/ losing road record.
*BOS is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
*BOS is 7-3 in last 10 games vs. left-handed starter.
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