Man, its tough. A break is really helpful in such situations. Perfect time to hit the mountains and forests and regenerate mentally but thats me. Good luck brother. All the energies of positiveness with you my friend for Friday and weekend. I wanna see that on the black by the time I return from the mountain trip on Monday.
GL BC and the rest of you bangers!
1
@Brooklyncapper
Man, its tough. A break is really helpful in such situations. Perfect time to hit the mountains and forests and regenerate mentally but thats me. Good luck brother. All the energies of positiveness with you my friend for Friday and weekend. I wanna see that on the black by the time I return from the mountain trip on Monday.
I wanted to chime in with this earlier but after the Royals/Cardinals bullpen meltdown, decided to say it now. I loved the pick but chose to play under F5 instead.
You have a good sense for finding unders. I’ve been playing mlb unders for a while as well and often cross reference with your picks. When we overlap on a play it’s been over 80% success this season. However in these instances I actually slam the first 5 inning line instead of full game since the play is always based on the starting pitchers.
As it was mentioned by a couple others a few days ago, I also believe you are overlooking the First 5 inning O/U lines.
Many of your losses would actually be F5 winners. Maybe consider balancing your approach. These bullpens have been devastating the past couple years. Especially with the extra inning ghost runner implications shattering several big plays last season.
2
@Brooklyncapper
I wanted to chime in with this earlier but after the Royals/Cardinals bullpen meltdown, decided to say it now. I loved the pick but chose to play under F5 instead.
You have a good sense for finding unders. I’ve been playing mlb unders for a while as well and often cross reference with your picks. When we overlap on a play it’s been over 80% success this season. However in these instances I actually slam the first 5 inning line instead of full game since the play is always based on the starting pitchers.
As it was mentioned by a couple others a few days ago, I also believe you are overlooking the First 5 inning O/U lines.
Many of your losses would actually be F5 winners. Maybe consider balancing your approach. These bullpens have been devastating the past couple years. Especially with the extra inning ghost runner implications shattering several big plays last season.
Bullpens across mlb are Horrible past 3 seasons now..and starters get pulled way too early fuck a pitch count if they doing their job and not losing velocity or way too many pitches i can see
1
Bullpens across mlb are Horrible past 3 seasons now..and starters get pulled way too early fuck a pitch count if they doing their job and not losing velocity or way too many pitches i can see
I've seen the same thing with the F5 unders vs FG. Clearly in FG you are incorporating bullpens and late inning meltdowns. Todays bullpens are NOT like bullpens of old. Guys throw a day or two and then are "down" for the next game, perfect example was Diaz not pitching a few days back and then first batter in bottom of ninth is Muncy who takes him deep to ruin a Mets victory. Just happens way too often.
What ever became of guys labeled "rubber arms"? It all comes down to pay these days, the guys don't even want to take a chance because they know how much money is on the line for them, so they complain of injury and obviously the front office who also has a lot on the line is made to listen.
It used to be the relief corps was made up of a lot of aging starters who wanted to continue to throw. These days, those aging starters, such as Kershaw, continue to start even when their velocity is a shell of what it used to be or spin rate nothing similar. They subsequently get hit by guys who are MUCH more adept at hitting these days and, with analytics, launch angles they can capture on iPads midgame. But the bullpen is now comprised of guys being paid $$$ so they are, in a sense, valued in those roles and, the aging starter, keeps being fools gold.
Just a different game when it comes to late innings and that is why we will continue to see many more OVERS. Add to that the extra inning rule with a guy on 2nd base which also needs to be mentioned. Unlike the game of soccer, the TOTAL does not end after 9, but after the full game. And some of those extra innings these days see many more runs generously provided by the new rules.
Anyways, wanted to also share what I think b/c BC is a solid handicapper but as he's stated he's very streaky. I don't disagree with "a few days off to recalibrate" being a good idea. I don't think anybody would blame him. Other solid handicappers in this forum have also faltered and taken some time off before again posting given that they know people blindly tail. I also dont' think LIVE betting helps many followers since you need to be refreshing the site, the thread, and then hoping you can grab the same line. Either way, always wishing you best of luck
2
@cbbanalysts
I've seen the same thing with the F5 unders vs FG. Clearly in FG you are incorporating bullpens and late inning meltdowns. Todays bullpens are NOT like bullpens of old. Guys throw a day or two and then are "down" for the next game, perfect example was Diaz not pitching a few days back and then first batter in bottom of ninth is Muncy who takes him deep to ruin a Mets victory. Just happens way too often.
What ever became of guys labeled "rubber arms"? It all comes down to pay these days, the guys don't even want to take a chance because they know how much money is on the line for them, so they complain of injury and obviously the front office who also has a lot on the line is made to listen.
It used to be the relief corps was made up of a lot of aging starters who wanted to continue to throw. These days, those aging starters, such as Kershaw, continue to start even when their velocity is a shell of what it used to be or spin rate nothing similar. They subsequently get hit by guys who are MUCH more adept at hitting these days and, with analytics, launch angles they can capture on iPads midgame. But the bullpen is now comprised of guys being paid $$$ so they are, in a sense, valued in those roles and, the aging starter, keeps being fools gold.
Just a different game when it comes to late innings and that is why we will continue to see many more OVERS. Add to that the extra inning rule with a guy on 2nd base which also needs to be mentioned. Unlike the game of soccer, the TOTAL does not end after 9, but after the full game. And some of those extra innings these days see many more runs generously provided by the new rules.
Anyways, wanted to also share what I think b/c BC is a solid handicapper but as he's stated he's very streaky. I don't disagree with "a few days off to recalibrate" being a good idea. I don't think anybody would blame him. Other solid handicappers in this forum have also faltered and taken some time off before again posting given that they know people blindly tail. I also dont' think LIVE betting helps many followers since you need to be refreshing the site, the thread, and then hoping you can grab the same line. Either way, always wishing you best of luck
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