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All Forums | MLB Betting

07/07 Play the Ump System Options/Recommendations:

«First Previous 1234 Next Last»
Last2thirst
CatchAFade
m0rtgageguy
newps
cmo1037
...
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Views: 6212
Posts: 92
«First Previous 1234 Next Last»
 
Last2thirst
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 7, 2016 - 11:41 PM ET #51

Man....we are going to get Shaved by a 1/2 run to get the over with 22 LOB combined by both teams and believe it or not, Texas let the golfer pitcher for 125 ptiches and Duffey had a miraculous 9+ strikeouts so chalk this one up to the ............well well well ......late run by Texas as I am writing my obituary.....lol....boo yah!!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Man....we are going to get Shaved by a 1/2 run to get the over with 22 LOB combined by both teams and believe it or not, Texas let the golfer pitcher for 125 ptiches and Duffey had a miraculous 9+ strikeouts so chalk this one up to the ............well well well ......late run by Texas as I am writing my obituary.....lol....boo yah!!
 
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 7, 2016 - 11:42 PM ET #52

Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:

For 7-8-16
I got Toby Basner 18.8 Ks/g  6.2 BB/g   RPG 8.3
WAS @ NYM

Where are you getting this? Can start my research tonight.....
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:

For 7-8-16
I got Toby Basner 18.8 Ks/g  6.2 BB/g   RPG 8.3
WAS @ NYM

Where are you getting this? Can start my research tonight.....
 
Last2thirst
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 7, 2016 - 11:45 PM ET #53

Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:


Where are you getting this? Can start my research tonight.....

Also, would need to have avg. era per game for the umpire to complete the equation and mull over the pitching matchups, wind, etc....
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:


Where are you getting this? Can start my research tonight.....

Also, would need to have avg. era per game for the umpire to complete the equation and mull over the pitching matchups, wind, etc....
 
Last2thirst
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 7, 2016 - 11:51 PM ET #54

Good day today.....lots of new insight being bantered about...the thread is about to switch into overdrive. Nice work today people!  Its a beautiful thing!

System Suggestions ytd=  6-2-2     (2-0 today)

Personal Recommendations=  5-1   (2-0 today  )


Hope to have some more umpy angles tomorrow! That Texas Over was quite the rollercoaster....wheeee! 
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Good day today.....lots of new insight being bantered about...the thread is about to switch into overdrive. Nice work today people!  Its a beautiful thing!

System Suggestions ytd=  6-2-2     (2-0 today)

Personal Recommendations=  5-1   (2-0 today  )


Hope to have some more umpy angles tomorrow! That Texas Over was quite the rollercoaster....wheeee! 
 
CatchAFade
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Posted: Jul. 7, 2016 - 11:58 PM ET #55

Gunna have a look tomorrow, missed out today. Damn.
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Gunna have a look tomorrow, missed out today. Damn.
 
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 12:21 AM ET #56

Quote Originally Posted by CatchAFade:

Gunna have a look tomorrow, missed out today. Damn.

That's fine...but be selective. It has to make sense to you. I see what I am doing as a profitable angle but not perfect. Let see what tomorrow brings.
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Quote Originally Posted by CatchAFade:

Gunna have a look tomorrow, missed out today. Damn.

That's fine...but be selective. It has to make sense to you. I see what I am doing as a profitable angle but not perfect. Let see what tomorrow brings.
 
m0rtgageguy
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 1:24 AM ET #57

Post more plays OP. You didn't post your 3 strongest plays. Mine would've been Texas OV, COLO OV, and Dodgers UN. Parlayed to win $11K :D (I have proof of ticket).

It took 3 miracles but I'll take it.
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Post more plays OP. You didn't post your 3 strongest plays. Mine would've been Texas OV, COLO OV, and Dodgers UN. Parlayed to win $11K :D (I have proof of ticket).

It took 3 miracles but I'll take it.
 
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 1:46 AM ET #58

Quote Originally Posted by m0rtgageguy:

Post more plays OP. You didn't post your 3 strongest plays. Mine would've been Texas OV, COLO OV, and Dodgers UN. Parlayed to win $11K :D (I have proof of ticket).

It took 3 miracles but I'll take it.

No proof needed.....we go by trust. Nice day for ya...
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Quote Originally Posted by m0rtgageguy:

Post more plays OP. You didn't post your 3 strongest plays. Mine would've been Texas OV, COLO OV, and Dodgers UN. Parlayed to win $11K :D (I have proof of ticket).

It took 3 miracles but I'll take it.

No proof needed.....we go by trust. Nice day for ya...
 
m0rtgageguy
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 3:41 AM ET #59

Folded out the Houston UN (it was good) and the WASH OV was good too after the line went from 7.5 to 8.5.

But I don't see much for tomorrow (Jul/08). Do you?
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Folded out the Houston UN (it was good) and the WASH OV was good too after the line went from 7.5 to 8.5.

But I don't see much for tomorrow (Jul/08). Do you?
 
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 11:00 AM ET #60

Mortgage....conditions are ripe to exploit some Umpires, but I agree, there are some tough pitching matchups and Vegas has set some interesting lines....

CMO...sorry about your large parlay...like Mortgage, you are a killer capper and will hit a nice one again soon! 

I know many of you like playing sides, so if you are inclined to play either Tex/Minn, Clev/NYY or Oak/Hou, there are a few notable umpire biases in those games to consider:

Welke...umping the Hou/ Oak game favours home scoring side by a 2 run margin........Home scoring avg. = 5.8 runs (13-3 win record)
Visitor scoring avg. = 3.8 runs

Hallion...umpiring NYY/Clev favours visitors by almost 2 runs!
                                Home scoring avg= 3.2 runs
                                Visitor scoring avg= 4.9 runs  (12-4 win record)

Hamari...umping Minn/Tex favours visitors by almost 2 runs
         Home scoring avg= 3.9
Visitor scoring avg= 5.8 (12-4 win record)

I won't post sides, just totals influence.....but there is some obvious biases here to consider when you place your bets for your side!

GL today

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Mortgage....conditions are ripe to exploit some Umpires, but I agree, there are some tough pitching matchups and Vegas has set some interesting lines....

CMO...sorry about your large parlay...like Mortgage, you are a killer capper and will hit a nice one again soon! 

I know many of you like playing sides, so if you are inclined to play either Tex/Minn, Clev/NYY or Oak/Hou, there are a few notable umpire biases in those games to consider:

Welke...umping the Hou/ Oak game favours home scoring side by a 2 run margin........Home scoring avg. = 5.8 runs (13-3 win record)
Visitor scoring avg. = 3.8 runs

Hallion...umpiring NYY/Clev favours visitors by almost 2 runs!
                                Home scoring avg= 3.2 runs
                                Visitor scoring avg= 4.9 runs  (12-4 win record)

Hamari...umping Minn/Tex favours visitors by almost 2 runs
         Home scoring avg= 3.9
Visitor scoring avg= 5.8 (12-4 win record)

I won't post sides, just totals influence.....but there is some obvious biases here to consider when you place your bets for your side!

GL today

 
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 11:52 AM ET #61

Good day today.....lots of new insight being bantered about...the thread is about to switch into overdrive.  Its a beautiful thing!

System Suggestions ytd=  6-2-2   

Personal Recommendations=  5-1   

The best Umpy/totals-situational games today are : 

      Umpy factor#     Pitch: (v) / (h) era      Wind (IN/OUT/N)/Heat>80

U7.O Was/Nym= 8.5    2.1 / 2.05         OUT- 10 mph left pole!
**wait for 7.0 (-125 now or buy 1/2 run!)**

O8.0 SD/LAD = 3.1       5.3 / 3.5           OUT- 6 mph right-centre
**wait for 7.5 (+100 @ 8.0 or buy down to 7.5)

O10 Det/Tor = 3.5        3.8 / 4.02         OUT- 7 mph- left- centre
(umpire has 11.4 per game scoring avg.!)

O8.5 Sea/KC = 3.3     4.0 / 4.8      Neutral -4 mph  83 F


4 SUGGESTIONS!
2 Recommendations...O8,5 Sea/KC...ump with high scoring
                                     avg. and 85F heat

      ...O10 Tor/Det....same as above- ump
                                     but also expecting to close dome
                                     usually equates to fireworks!!

Don't love today, but going to stick my neck out on 2 plays! 
Let see what happens.....


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Good day today.....lots of new insight being bantered about...the thread is about to switch into overdrive.  Its a beautiful thing!

System Suggestions ytd=  6-2-2   

Personal Recommendations=  5-1   

The best Umpy/totals-situational games today are : 

      Umpy factor#     Pitch: (v) / (h) era      Wind (IN/OUT/N)/Heat>80

U7.O Was/Nym= 8.5    2.1 / 2.05         OUT- 10 mph left pole!
**wait for 7.0 (-125 now or buy 1/2 run!)**

O8.0 SD/LAD = 3.1       5.3 / 3.5           OUT- 6 mph right-centre
**wait for 7.5 (+100 @ 8.0 or buy down to 7.5)

O10 Det/Tor = 3.5        3.8 / 4.02         OUT- 7 mph- left- centre
(umpire has 11.4 per game scoring avg.!)

O8.5 Sea/KC = 3.3     4.0 / 4.8      Neutral -4 mph  83 F


4 SUGGESTIONS!
2 Recommendations...O8,5 Sea/KC...ump with high scoring
                                     avg. and 85F heat

      ...O10 Tor/Det....same as above- ump
                                     but also expecting to close dome
                                     usually equates to fireworks!!

Don't love today, but going to stick my neck out on 2 plays! 
Let see what happens.....


 
newps
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 1:37 PM ET #62

Hi L2T,  what an amazing formula !!!  MUCHO GRACIAS for sharing such valuable insights. 

You're sending out some great positive energy and this is one thread that doesn't have these covers users at each others throat. 

Best of luck to you and all your followers !!! 

Last2thirst for presidente 

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Hi L2T,  what an amazing formula !!!  MUCHO GRACIAS for sharing such valuable insights. 

You're sending out some great positive energy and this is one thread that doesn't have these covers users at each others throat. 

Best of luck to you and all your followers !!! 

Last2thirst for presidente 

 
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 1:59 PM ET #63

Quote Originally Posted by newps:

Hi L2T,  what an amazing formula !!!  MUCHO GRACIAS for sharing such valuable insights. 

You're sending out some great positive energy and this is one thread that doesn't have these covers users at each others throat. 

Best of luck to you and all your followers !!! 

Last2thirst for presidente 


WHOA!!.... I'm not worthy of such praise....you read the info and made the bets....I only provide the angle....I am sure there will be plenty of blood spilled in time but in the meantime, we will ride  this out until the umpires catch on and then decide to go against the biases I suggest to be more 'fair'...not saying they would but, only suggesting a trend is a trend until its over and all good things must come to an end. 

I'm glad you are enjoying it and I would love to hear from the contrarian/science-minded/critically thinking bettor to share there thoughts too.....so long as they are mature and informative themselves . We seem to have some good vibes going for now but anything can happen....just look at KeyElement's thread sometimes and you will see what I mean on some days...

Hope you make some cash....tread lightly today! I might have something later but that depends on if I get the info. I am looking at the Philly/Colorado over but right now the wind is blowing IN...
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Quote Originally Posted by newps:

Hi L2T,  what an amazing formula !!!  MUCHO GRACIAS for sharing such valuable insights. 

You're sending out some great positive energy and this is one thread that doesn't have these covers users at each others throat. 

Best of luck to you and all your followers !!! 

Last2thirst for presidente 


WHOA!!.... I'm not worthy of such praise....you read the info and made the bets....I only provide the angle....I am sure there will be plenty of blood spilled in time but in the meantime, we will ride  this out until the umpires catch on and then decide to go against the biases I suggest to be more 'fair'...not saying they would but, only suggesting a trend is a trend until its over and all good things must come to an end. 

I'm glad you are enjoying it and I would love to hear from the contrarian/science-minded/critically thinking bettor to share there thoughts too.....so long as they are mature and informative themselves . We seem to have some good vibes going for now but anything can happen....just look at KeyElement's thread sometimes and you will see what I mean on some days...

Hope you make some cash....tread lightly today! I might have something later but that depends on if I get the info. I am looking at the Philly/Colorado over but right now the wind is blowing IN...
 
cmo1037
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 3:22 PM ET #64

Thanks, keep up the good work 
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Thanks, keep up the good work 
 
newps
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 3:30 PM ET #65

[Quote: Originally Posted by Last2thirst]

WHOA!!.... I'm not worthy of such praise....you read the info and made the bets....I only provide the angle....I am sure there will be plenty of blood spilled in time but in the meantime, we will ride  this out until the umpires catch on and then decide to go against the biases I suggest to be more 'fair'...not saying they would but, only suggesting a trend is a trend until its over and all good things must come to an end. 

I'm glad you are enjoying it and I would love to hear from the contrarian/science-minded/critically thinking bettor to share there thoughts too.....so long as they are mature and informative themselves . We seem to have some good vibes going for now but anything can happen....just look at KeyElement's thread sometimes and you will see what I mean on some days...

Hope you make some cash....tread lightly today! I might have something later but that depends on if I get the info. I am looking at the Philly/Colorado over but right now the wind is blowing IN...
[/Quote

ok, I take it all back 





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[Quote: Originally Posted by Last2thirst]

WHOA!!.... I'm not worthy of such praise....you read the info and made the bets....I only provide the angle....I am sure there will be plenty of blood spilled in time but in the meantime, we will ride  this out until the umpires catch on and then decide to go against the biases I suggest to be more 'fair'...not saying they would but, only suggesting a trend is a trend until its over and all good things must come to an end. 

I'm glad you are enjoying it and I would love to hear from the contrarian/science-minded/critically thinking bettor to share there thoughts too.....so long as they are mature and informative themselves . We seem to have some good vibes going for now but anything can happen....just look at KeyElement's thread sometimes and you will see what I mean on some days...

Hope you make some cash....tread lightly today! I might have something later but that depends on if I get the info. I am looking at the Philly/Colorado over but right now the wind is blowing IN...
[/Quote

ok, I take it all back 





 
gbpackman
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 3:38 PM ET #66

Sent you a friend's request
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Sent you a friend's request
 
tomtom1
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 7:19 PM ET #67

GL today! 
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GL today! 
 
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 7:55 PM ET #68

Quote Originally Posted by newps:

Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:


WHOA!!.... I'm not worthy of such praise....you read the info and made the bets....I only provide the angle....I am sure there will be plenty of blood spilled in time but in the meantime, we will ride  this out until the umpires catch on and then decide to go against the biases I suggest to be more 'fair'...not saying they would but, only suggesting a trend is a trend until its over and all good things must come to an end. 

I'm glad you are enjoying it and I would love to hear from the contrarian/science-minded/critically thinking bettor to share there thoughts too.....so long as they are mature and informative themselves . We seem to have some good vibes going for now but anything can happen....just look at KeyElement's thread sometimes and you will see what I mean on some days...

Hope you make some cash....tread lightly today! I might have something later but that depends on if I get the info. I am looking at the Philly/Colorado over but right now the wind is blowing IN...
[/Quote

ok, I take it all back 






You can't take back class....its either you have it or you don't and you've got it baby!! Thanks for the support
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Quote Originally Posted by newps:

Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:


WHOA!!.... I'm not worthy of such praise....you read the info and made the bets....I only provide the angle....I am sure there will be plenty of blood spilled in time but in the meantime, we will ride  this out until the umpires catch on and then decide to go against the biases I suggest to be more 'fair'...not saying they would but, only suggesting a trend is a trend until its over and all good things must come to an end. 

I'm glad you are enjoying it and I would love to hear from the contrarian/science-minded/critically thinking bettor to share there thoughts too.....so long as they are mature and informative themselves . We seem to have some good vibes going for now but anything can happen....just look at KeyElement's thread sometimes and you will see what I mean on some days...

Hope you make some cash....tread lightly today! I might have something later but that depends on if I get the info. I am looking at the Philly/Colorado over but right now the wind is blowing IN...
[/Quote

ok, I take it all back 






You can't take back class....its either you have it or you don't and you've got it baby!! Thanks for the support
 
lakerz
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 8:01 PM ET #69

More and more I have been trying to incorporate ump info into my capping, especially for game totals and team totals.

Good thread.  Got the Toronto o10 today
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More and more I have been trying to incorporate ump info into my capping, especially for game totals and team totals.

Good thread.  Got the Toronto o10 today
 
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 10:26 PM ET #70

Quote Originally Posted by lakerz:

More and more I have been trying to incorporate ump info into my capping, especially for game totals and team totals.

Good thread.  Got the Toronto o10 today

Thanks Lakrz....your a good capper....was following you on Bubbas thread for a while. Would love to hear your thoughts on anything. Throw it out there....
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Quote Originally Posted by lakerz:

More and more I have been trying to incorporate ump info into my capping, especially for game totals and team totals.

Good thread.  Got the Toronto o10 today

Thanks Lakrz....your a good capper....was following you on Bubbas thread for a while. Would love to hear your thoughts on anything. Throw it out there....
 
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 10:28 PM ET #71

Quote Originally Posted by tomtom1:

GL today! 

Thanks TomTom....gonna  need it.....had a queasy feeling about tonite and thats why I told everyone to go slow....and true enough, it played out.....Jays UNDER!!
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Quote Originally Posted by tomtom1:

GL today! 

Thanks TomTom....gonna  need it.....had a queasy feeling about tonite and thats why I told everyone to go slow....and true enough, it played out.....Jays UNDER!!
 
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 12:28 AM ET #72

System Suggestions ytd=  8-4-2    (2-2 today)

Personal Recommendations=  5-3   (0-2 today  )

Shoulda....pulled back on the reigns....lets see what tomorrow brings.....onwards and upwards.

Justa note....heading to Germany on Sunday night  (oh ya......lots of clinking and drinking) so I will be a little shy over the next 10-12 days....will do my best. I fully expect the Blue Jays to be first overall upon my return plus a nice little trade or 2 perhaps involving Bautista? I am after a few pitchers for the Jays in a trade for the right price....J. Gray or Chatwood (Col), Sonny Gray (Oak), Pomeranz or Freiderich (SD), Corbin (Ariz), Straily (Cinn), Nelson (Milw), Teheran (Atl.). For Teheran, Chatwood, Nelson or Chatwood...the price will be Hutchison, Collabello and an infielder........Bautista will be sent to the Cubs or Giants as a rent a player and I am not sure who is coming back....probably prospects. Should be interesting....

Good night

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System Suggestions ytd=  8-4-2    (2-2 today)

Personal Recommendations=  5-3   (0-2 today  )

Shoulda....pulled back on the reigns....lets see what tomorrow brings.....onwards and upwards.

Justa note....heading to Germany on Sunday night  (oh ya......lots of clinking and drinking) so I will be a little shy over the next 10-12 days....will do my best. I fully expect the Blue Jays to be first overall upon my return plus a nice little trade or 2 perhaps involving Bautista? I am after a few pitchers for the Jays in a trade for the right price....J. Gray or Chatwood (Col), Sonny Gray (Oak), Pomeranz or Freiderich (SD), Corbin (Ariz), Straily (Cinn), Nelson (Milw), Teheran (Atl.). For Teheran, Chatwood, Nelson or Chatwood...the price will be Hutchison, Collabello and an infielder........Bautista will be sent to the Cubs or Giants as a rent a player and I am not sure who is coming back....probably prospects. Should be interesting....

Good night

 
chaser15
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Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 3:38 AM ET #73

Zum Wohl! 
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Zum Wohl! 
 
JMourinho
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Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 5:16 AM ET #74

Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

System Suggestions ytd=  8-4-2    (2-2 today)

Personal Recommendations=  5-3   (0-2 today  )

Shoulda....pulled back on the reigns....lets see what tomorrow brings.....onwards and upwards.

Justa note....heading to Germany on Sunday night  (oh ya......lots of clinking and drinking) so I will be a little shy over the next 10-12 days....will do my best. I fully expect the Blue Jays to be first overall upon my return plus a nice little trade or 2 perhaps involving Bautista? I am after a few pitchers for the Jays in a trade for the right price....J. Gray or Chatwood (Col), Sonny Gray (Oak), Pomeranz or Freiderich (SD), Corbin (Ariz), Straily (Cinn), Nelson (Milw), Teheran (Atl.). For Teheran, Chatwood, Nelson or Chatwood...the price will be Hutchison, Collabello and an infielder........Bautista will be sent to the Cubs or Giants as a rent a player and I am not sure who is coming back....probably prospects. Should be interesting....

Good night


That would've been a hoot had they made the Final and won it
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Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

System Suggestions ytd=  8-4-2    (2-2 today)

Personal Recommendations=  5-3   (0-2 today  )

Shoulda....pulled back on the reigns....lets see what tomorrow brings.....onwards and upwards.

Justa note....heading to Germany on Sunday night  (oh ya......lots of clinking and drinking) so I will be a little shy over the next 10-12 days....will do my best. I fully expect the Blue Jays to be first overall upon my return plus a nice little trade or 2 perhaps involving Bautista? I am after a few pitchers for the Jays in a trade for the right price....J. Gray or Chatwood (Col), Sonny Gray (Oak), Pomeranz or Freiderich (SD), Corbin (Ariz), Straily (Cinn), Nelson (Milw), Teheran (Atl.). For Teheran, Chatwood, Nelson or Chatwood...the price will be Hutchison, Collabello and an infielder........Bautista will be sent to the Cubs or Giants as a rent a player and I am not sure who is coming back....probably prospects. Should be interesting....

Good night


That would've been a hoot had they made the Final and won it
 
 
Last2thirst
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Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 9:07 AM ET #75

Quote Originally Posted by JMourinho:


That would've been a hoot had they made the Final and won it

For sure....but down in Munich, the region of Oktoberfest, there is plenty of reasons to spill a beer or two...
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Quote Originally Posted by JMourinho:


That would've been a hoot had they made the Final and won it

For sure....but down in Munich, the region of Oktoberfest, there is plenty of reasons to spill a beer or two...
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