I didn’t get a chance to post my plays today. I lost Indiana and Syracuse. I won Ohio State, Merrimack, Temple and Purdue.
I really like Texas A&M tonight.
This comes down to the trenches. A&M’s offensive line and deep RB room should bully a rebuilt UTSA front from the first snap. Once the Roadrunners stack the box, Reed can take advantage of mismatches outside. On the flip side, UTSA’s offensive line is experienced, but their defense isn’t stopping a top-15 SEC attack on the road.
The Aggies have the balance, depth, and physicality to pull away and the Roadrunners simply don’t have the defense to keep this inside the number.
This screams blowout potential. A&M’s elite OL and rushing trio should dominate UTSA’s rebuilt DL, opening lanes for Reed’s playmaking and allowing the Aggies to control the clock. UTSA’s offense has pop, but facing A&M’s veteran secondary and solid run D (which held opponents to 135 YPG last year) will be a massive step up from AAC competition. The Roadrunners’ pass D vulnerabilities could let A&M’s revamped weapons feast, especially if Concepcion and Craver stretch the field.
UTSA’s late-2024 momentum is notable, but their defensive regression, losing penetration creators and back-end talent leaves them ill-equipped for a Power Four road test. A&M, motivated after last year’s late slide, should flex at home. The 23.5-point spread is steep, but given the talent gap and A&M’s offensive upside against a porous UTSA D, expect the Aggies to pull away.
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