Thoughts and plays for today

As a Clemson fan, I have no idea if the Tigers will show up today.  Was looking at the under as there's a decent chance both offenses will suck, but I can't pull the trigger on anything.  It's possible they play loose and fast since they don't really have anything left to lose at this point, and put a 40+ burger on the board.  Or Klubnik could throw 4 picks and we get a 20-14 type of game.  Yeah, I'll be watching, but will probably be deep into a mason jar before the end of the 1st half.

At first glance, I was leaning BAYLOR -4.5 and OVER 60.5, but the line movement is sending out warning signals for me on that play.

I like the OVER 56 in the OKST/AZ game.  When the OC takes over, his natural instinct is to focus on what he knows best -they put up 27 last week against BAY.  I'm looking for more than 60 points in this one.

Vandy has a much better team this year, but there's a good chance Alabama punches them right in the mouth to remind them they are are still Vandy, and have no business thinking they have any kind of chance in Tuscaloosa.  If this game was played in Nashville, it might have been the game of the week.  But it's not, so no thanks.

I hate the -21.5 for the BSU/ND game, because I think the books know something we don't, just not sure what.  I think there's a reasonable chance ND wins by 4 TDs, or they could squeak out a win and not come close to covering.

This MSU/NEB totals line opened at 53.5 and has dropped to 47.5.  At the same time, NEB opened at -10.5 and that's now up to -13.5.  In my experience, when both lines move this much and in opposite directions, I'm better off taking a pass.

I like WY +3.5 at home against UNLV.  Both teams are coming off a bye week.

MIA is coming off a bye week, but they have to go into Tallahassee to play FSU, who probably lost in VA last week because they were looking ahead to this game.  The recently renovated FSU stadium will be rocking.  Looking forward to a good game but I'll be staying away.

GL to all.