Ohio QB is pretty darn good. Ball State is pretty bad. Thoughts?
IMO Ball St numbers are a bit skewed playing Auburn and Purdue on the road. Last 2 games looked okay for what they are. 15 points on the road is big. Ohio has a suspect D
IMO Ball St numbers are a bit skewed playing Auburn and Purdue on the road. Last 2 games looked okay for what they are. 15 points on the road is big. Ohio has a suspect D
IMO Ball St numbers are a bit skewed playing Auburn and Purdue on the road. Last 2 games looked okay for what they are. 15 points on the road is big. Ohio has a suspect D
IMO Ball St numbers are a bit skewed playing Auburn and Purdue on the road. Last 2 games looked okay for what they are. 15 points on the road is big. Ohio has a suspect D
@smellybunty
Could say the same about Ohio U too. They played #1 buckeyes in the shoe.
This is the part of the season where Ohio shows why they own the MAC in football.
@smellybunty
Could say the same about Ohio U too. They played #1 buckeyes in the shoe.
This is the part of the season where Ohio shows why they own the MAC in football.
Difference is they are laying 15 on the road. Look at their numbers against average opponents.
Difference is they are laying 15 on the road. Look at their numbers against average opponents.
Ohio comes into this matchup having dominated the recent series, going 5-0 straight up and against the spread (SU/ATS) in the last five meetings. The Bobcats rolled Ball State last year 42–21 as 17-point road favorites, despite briefly trailing 35–7 in the third quarter. Ohio forced three turnovers in their last trip to Muncie (2022), a 32–18 win, and overall has taken on the tougher schedule this season (#34 vs #57).
Ball State enters off a bye week, which may be timely given their 1–3 start that included blowout losses to Purdue and Auburn before rebounding with a close 31–25 road loss to UConn. That UConn game was notable, the Cardinals showed life in the passing game for the first time all year, posting 404 total yards and nearly pulling the upset, losing on a late touchdown with nine seconds left. Quarterback Kiael Kelly, who led the team to some late-season wins last year, is back under center and hitting 65% of his passes with a 3–2 TD-INT ratio while adding 170 yards on the ground.
Ohio, meanwhile, has been on a six-game grind, playing its sixth straight week. They opened strong with competitive road games at Rutgers and Ohio State, plus a home upset over unbeaten West Virginia. Last week against Bowling Green, the Bobcats controlled the game early, leading 21–13 at halftime with a 282–203 yard edge, but some missed kicks and a pick at the goal line kept the game closer. They still outgained BG 439–350 but allowed a late score that made it interesting. Offensively, Ohio has looked sharp, but defensively they’ve been solid but not dominant, a point to watch given Ball State’s improved air attack.
This is the first game for Ball State under new head coach Brian Smith as a home underdog, while Ohio remains under experienced leadership and has been tested more. Historical trends favor Ohio: Ball State is 10–16 ATS as a home dog over the last 11 years.
Ohio comes into this matchup having dominated the recent series, going 5-0 straight up and against the spread (SU/ATS) in the last five meetings. The Bobcats rolled Ball State last year 42–21 as 17-point road favorites, despite briefly trailing 35–7 in the third quarter. Ohio forced three turnovers in their last trip to Muncie (2022), a 32–18 win, and overall has taken on the tougher schedule this season (#34 vs #57).
Ball State enters off a bye week, which may be timely given their 1–3 start that included blowout losses to Purdue and Auburn before rebounding with a close 31–25 road loss to UConn. That UConn game was notable, the Cardinals showed life in the passing game for the first time all year, posting 404 total yards and nearly pulling the upset, losing on a late touchdown with nine seconds left. Quarterback Kiael Kelly, who led the team to some late-season wins last year, is back under center and hitting 65% of his passes with a 3–2 TD-INT ratio while adding 170 yards on the ground.
Ohio, meanwhile, has been on a six-game grind, playing its sixth straight week. They opened strong with competitive road games at Rutgers and Ohio State, plus a home upset over unbeaten West Virginia. Last week against Bowling Green, the Bobcats controlled the game early, leading 21–13 at halftime with a 282–203 yard edge, but some missed kicks and a pick at the goal line kept the game closer. They still outgained BG 439–350 but allowed a late score that made it interesting. Offensively, Ohio has looked sharp, but defensively they’ve been solid but not dominant, a point to watch given Ball State’s improved air attack.
This is the first game for Ball State under new head coach Brian Smith as a home underdog, while Ohio remains under experienced leadership and has been tested more. Historical trends favor Ohio: Ball State is 10–16 ATS as a home dog over the last 11 years.
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