Finished the regular season on a really good note. Went 4-2, along with 1-0 on ML parlay and 3-1 on FCS playoffs. Interesting that I even went 3-1 on my leans, but didn't play.
It's been a real fun year and I'm sad it's coming to an end. For this being my 1st year wagering on games, I am pleased with how it's gone. I felt that with my football knowledge and smart money management that I could make some supplemental income with this hobby, and it's something I look forward to doing for years to come....it's truly been a blast, even though there is an abundance of immature and rude people here (not necessarily towards me, but towards other respectable cappers). The couple handfuls of good quality people here make it worth while.
I'm looking forward to the bowl season, I think there are some good match ups and some good money-making opportunities as well.
Finished the regular season on a really good note. Went 4-2, along with 1-0 on ML parlay and 3-1 on FCS playoffs. Interesting that I even went 3-1 on my leans, but didn't play.
It's been a real fun year and I'm sad it's coming to an end. For this being my 1st year wagering on games, I am pleased with how it's gone. I felt that with my football knowledge and smart money management that I could make some supplemental income with this hobby, and it's something I look forward to doing for years to come....it's truly been a blast, even though there is an abundance of immature and rude people here (not necessarily towards me, but towards other respectable cappers). The couple handfuls of good quality people here make it worth while.
I'm looking forward to the bowl season, I think there are some good match ups and some good money-making opportunities as well.
Every gambler on this site should put $$$ on the Over 68 OSU vs Clemson game. If you are in the negative, this game will bring you back to the positive. Both teams can score and OSU defense isn't gonna stop Clemson from lighting up the score board. This will be a fun game to watch. As for me, I'll put $6K on this game alone. I don't need to bet 10 bowl games. I just need to win one (or two) bowl game and relax & watching the rest of bowl games.
Every gambler on this site should put $$$ on the Over 68 OSU vs Clemson game. If you are in the negative, this game will bring you back to the positive. Both teams can score and OSU defense isn't gonna stop Clemson from lighting up the score board. This will be a fun game to watch. As for me, I'll put $6K on this game alone. I don't need to bet 10 bowl games. I just need to win one (or two) bowl game and relax & watching the rest of bowl games.
Gettin' down on some action this weekend for a 1/2 unit each:
E. Illinois (-16) It's actually a pretty good matchup for Towson, so I won't be surprised if this doesn't hit....but I'll keep rolling w/ EIU. I plan on betting them every game, and I wanted to get on a future for them to win it all weeks ago, but I couldn't find one at 5dimes. They are the Baylor/Oregon on the FCS, & b/c of that their defense gets overlooked. EIU should be undefeated w/ wins against San Diego St & Northern Illy (I had a good chunk of change on NIU & it was clear that EIU should have won the game).
N. Dakota St. (-14) Coach is leaving after the playoffs, & players seem emotional about it. I'll hope that the players work their behind off & keep rolling, instead of making excuses & giving up. This game looks like a real bad match up for Coastal Carolina, & the back to back weeks of long travel only make this stronger IMO.
Jacksonville St. (+9) Jack St has been playing some real good football lately, & I think they match up real well w/ EWU. Jack St has faced EIU & actually contained Garoppolo (but they got ran all over instead). The X factor here of course is playing at the Inferno Field & the long long travel, but I still wouldn't be surprised to see a straight up win.
Army/Navy UNDER 52 This game seems like it always goes under. I like it when option teams face each other...especially in a "big" game like this b/c they know the others offense so well.
Gettin' down on some action this weekend for a 1/2 unit each:
E. Illinois (-16) It's actually a pretty good matchup for Towson, so I won't be surprised if this doesn't hit....but I'll keep rolling w/ EIU. I plan on betting them every game, and I wanted to get on a future for them to win it all weeks ago, but I couldn't find one at 5dimes. They are the Baylor/Oregon on the FCS, & b/c of that their defense gets overlooked. EIU should be undefeated w/ wins against San Diego St & Northern Illy (I had a good chunk of change on NIU & it was clear that EIU should have won the game).
N. Dakota St. (-14) Coach is leaving after the playoffs, & players seem emotional about it. I'll hope that the players work their behind off & keep rolling, instead of making excuses & giving up. This game looks like a real bad match up for Coastal Carolina, & the back to back weeks of long travel only make this stronger IMO.
Jacksonville St. (+9) Jack St has been playing some real good football lately, & I think they match up real well w/ EWU. Jack St has faced EIU & actually contained Garoppolo (but they got ran all over instead). The X factor here of course is playing at the Inferno Field & the long long travel, but I still wouldn't be surprised to see a straight up win.
Army/Navy UNDER 52 This game seems like it always goes under. I like it when option teams face each other...especially in a "big" game like this b/c they know the others offense so well.
Ready to rock & roll with some bowls. I will have at least 1 play in every game, but bc I don't like to give money back to the books, I will add in another "level" of plays......the "Small Potatoes"
HAMMERED Record (5-6 units): MASTERED Record (3-4 units(: On The Reg Record (1-2 units): Small Potatoes Record (Less than 1 unit): Be back with the 1st play shortly
Ready to rock & roll with some bowls. I will have at least 1 play in every game, but bc I don't like to give money back to the books, I will add in another "level" of plays......the "Small Potatoes"
HAMMERED Record (5-6 units): MASTERED Record (3-4 units(: On The Reg Record (1-2 units): Small Potatoes Record (Less than 1 unit): Be back with the 1st play shortly
Gonna try to start off the bowl season in a big way. 1st, we can go ahead & cancel motivation IMO. Cougs haven't bowled in 10 years, Rams has been 5 years. So of course both teams should show up to play. A big factor that sticks out in this game is the SOS difference. Cougs have faced one of the hardest, if not the hardest, in the nation. Meanwhile, the Rams have faced a fairly easy one....ranking 100+ nationally. We all know Leach is going to pass, pass, pass. The Rams are statistically bad against the pass, ranking 100+ nationally again. I can look past bad rankings, as I will show later in this write up....but this is particularly hard to ignore. The main reason for this is b/c I have a hard time looking at their schedule & seeing why they should be so bad against the pass. It is hard to find teams that should light it up every week w/ the pass when you look at their schedule. There are a few teams that rank in the top 50 nationally in pass, but they aren't very good teams overall. The best team to gauge or compare to Wazzou that they played (offensively) is SJSU.....& David Fales only passed for 430 yds against them while completely 80% passing. This was earlier in the season, but regardless the defense hasn't seemed to make much strides. I was a HUGE SJSU better this year, & the game against Colo St was the 1st game they had success running the ball in as well. They also had success w/ RB's catching the ball out of the backfield and breaking long runs. IMO the biggest reason for this is b/c of Colo St defensive scheme. When looking closer into the Rams, their defense is based off their OLB's blitzing & getting to the QB. Their LB's make up a very big majority of their sacks & TFL. When playing an offense like Wazzou (or SJSU), you have to have the athletes & smarts on defense to make it work. I'm not sure Colo St is there just yet. These offenses love to throw the ball fast, which exploits the rushing OLB's, & it also leaves good opportunities for the RB's to catch the ball out of the backfield, more specifically when a team is running man coverage b/c the MLB's have to chase to cover the RB. Futhermore, I think Wazzou will see some run lanes open up to get some decent runs b/c of the aggressive style of defense. While Wazzou's running game is the worst in the nation, it is important to note that their RB's average 150 all purpose yards a game.....nearly 100 yds more than they average rushing. I will also note that I believe Conner has played much better recently....& it's shown by him cutting his INT's per game in half the last 4 games.
Colo St offense has taken off this year & I see it only getting better. Bibbs is a baller. They thrive off of running the ball, & then getting chunks by play action...much like Alabama. I don't think Wazzou will shut them down, but I also think they will perform better on defense then most expect. Bibbs has been great, but it's also notable that he has had a few HUGE games that help pad the stats. I'm not taking anything away from him b/c the stats speak for themselves....but he has had a hard time moving against some quality opponents this year. Wazzou relies much more on their d-line than Colo St does, & I think this will help them in this match up. Wazzou's defense is statistically bad....but this is an instant where I think stats can be skewed. They have had a brutal schedule against offensive juggernauts. Something that I do like is how after their bye week they came out & limited Arizona's Carey somewhat for a lot of the game.....which leads me to believe that after a couple week layoff they can come out & limit Bibbs a little. Concerns for this game are simple.....if Wazzou gets down early & starts turning the ball over then it could be scary. Wazzou does not control the clock, & Colo St does. So if the Rams can get methodical drives, coupled w/ Wazzou turnovers then it could be bad news. But this bet is based on the belief that Wazzou will be able to limit Colo St offensively a little bit, & Conner will continue his increased play....& torch this vulnerable defense b/c this style of offense sets up great here. If Wazzou gets up then it should take Colo St out of their running gameplan & comfort zone, which will help the Cougs immensely.
Gonna try to start off the bowl season in a big way. 1st, we can go ahead & cancel motivation IMO. Cougs haven't bowled in 10 years, Rams has been 5 years. So of course both teams should show up to play. A big factor that sticks out in this game is the SOS difference. Cougs have faced one of the hardest, if not the hardest, in the nation. Meanwhile, the Rams have faced a fairly easy one....ranking 100+ nationally. We all know Leach is going to pass, pass, pass. The Rams are statistically bad against the pass, ranking 100+ nationally again. I can look past bad rankings, as I will show later in this write up....but this is particularly hard to ignore. The main reason for this is b/c I have a hard time looking at their schedule & seeing why they should be so bad against the pass. It is hard to find teams that should light it up every week w/ the pass when you look at their schedule. There are a few teams that rank in the top 50 nationally in pass, but they aren't very good teams overall. The best team to gauge or compare to Wazzou that they played (offensively) is SJSU.....& David Fales only passed for 430 yds against them while completely 80% passing. This was earlier in the season, but regardless the defense hasn't seemed to make much strides. I was a HUGE SJSU better this year, & the game against Colo St was the 1st game they had success running the ball in as well. They also had success w/ RB's catching the ball out of the backfield and breaking long runs. IMO the biggest reason for this is b/c of Colo St defensive scheme. When looking closer into the Rams, their defense is based off their OLB's blitzing & getting to the QB. Their LB's make up a very big majority of their sacks & TFL. When playing an offense like Wazzou (or SJSU), you have to have the athletes & smarts on defense to make it work. I'm not sure Colo St is there just yet. These offenses love to throw the ball fast, which exploits the rushing OLB's, & it also leaves good opportunities for the RB's to catch the ball out of the backfield, more specifically when a team is running man coverage b/c the MLB's have to chase to cover the RB. Futhermore, I think Wazzou will see some run lanes open up to get some decent runs b/c of the aggressive style of defense. While Wazzou's running game is the worst in the nation, it is important to note that their RB's average 150 all purpose yards a game.....nearly 100 yds more than they average rushing. I will also note that I believe Conner has played much better recently....& it's shown by him cutting his INT's per game in half the last 4 games.
Colo St offense has taken off this year & I see it only getting better. Bibbs is a baller. They thrive off of running the ball, & then getting chunks by play action...much like Alabama. I don't think Wazzou will shut them down, but I also think they will perform better on defense then most expect. Bibbs has been great, but it's also notable that he has had a few HUGE games that help pad the stats. I'm not taking anything away from him b/c the stats speak for themselves....but he has had a hard time moving against some quality opponents this year. Wazzou relies much more on their d-line than Colo St does, & I think this will help them in this match up. Wazzou's defense is statistically bad....but this is an instant where I think stats can be skewed. They have had a brutal schedule against offensive juggernauts. Something that I do like is how after their bye week they came out & limited Arizona's Carey somewhat for a lot of the game.....which leads me to believe that after a couple week layoff they can come out & limit Bibbs a little. Concerns for this game are simple.....if Wazzou gets down early & starts turning the ball over then it could be scary. Wazzou does not control the clock, & Colo St does. So if the Rams can get methodical drives, coupled w/ Wazzou turnovers then it could be bad news. But this bet is based on the belief that Wazzou will be able to limit Colo St offensively a little bit, & Conner will continue his increased play....& torch this vulnerable defense b/c this style of offense sets up great here. If Wazzou gets up then it should take Colo St out of their running gameplan & comfort zone, which will help the Cougs immensely.
Everyone is on WSU - nearly 80% of bettors are on WSU for this game.
Vegas loves it when all of us make a bunch of easy money like this one. People are betting so on WSU so much that line has moved from -4.5 to -6.
Vegas is so stupid and everyone on this site is just so smart. Squares in love with Wash St means we all make money on this game, right?
I don't know if CSU is the right side here or not. But I do know enough to avoid a bad defense like WSU on the road against a team that can run the ball and control the clock when 80% of bettors like the favorite.
Everyone is on WSU - nearly 80% of bettors are on WSU for this game.
Vegas loves it when all of us make a bunch of easy money like this one. People are betting so on WSU so much that line has moved from -4.5 to -6.
Vegas is so stupid and everyone on this site is just so smart. Squares in love with Wash St means we all make money on this game, right?
I don't know if CSU is the right side here or not. But I do know enough to avoid a bad defense like WSU on the road against a team that can run the ball and control the clock when 80% of bettors like the favorite.
I was going to go small on this, but the more I looked at it the more I think Fresno will win this game. I was on SJSU when they beat Fresno, & I was on Fresno when they beat Utah St the following week b/c I didn't think they would have a let down, which they did not. This game comes down to motivational aspect big time IMO. I just don't feel like USC is going to be in a great mindset for this game. They rallied behind Coach O, & won a bunch of games for him, then he gets ousted. I can't imagine this sets well with the players, even though Sark should be a good hire. I have read stuff about how USC players saying that this years bowl is different b/c they didn't have as big of goals as they did last year, so they were more let down last year as opposed to this year. I just don't know if I buy it.....you lose your favorite coach after you get blasted by UCLA, & now you are playing on the 1st day of the bowl games....where you have been spending all week in Vegas. On the other side, I think Fresno will again be very motivated here. Yes they had BCS aspirations, so I guess they can be thrown into the BCS bubble buster letdown spot....but I don't think they will have one here b/c they are playing a big name opponent. They get to play USC, not some MAC or C-USA school, so I think that should help their motivation. I think Carr is the better QB, & while this will be the best defense he has faced, & certainly the best d-line, I like the fact that they have only given up 11 sacks on the year.
There's really not a great write up on this one. I just really believe Fresno St defense isn't as bad as most think, & I think they will be much more motivated for this game as opposed to USC. & I still believe Carr can get his & go out with a win. I will also say that if USC shows up to play, then they could absolutely run Fresno out of the stadium. USC has far better players, although they are very limited (i believe less than 50 scholly players).
I was going to go small on this, but the more I looked at it the more I think Fresno will win this game. I was on SJSU when they beat Fresno, & I was on Fresno when they beat Utah St the following week b/c I didn't think they would have a let down, which they did not. This game comes down to motivational aspect big time IMO. I just don't feel like USC is going to be in a great mindset for this game. They rallied behind Coach O, & won a bunch of games for him, then he gets ousted. I can't imagine this sets well with the players, even though Sark should be a good hire. I have read stuff about how USC players saying that this years bowl is different b/c they didn't have as big of goals as they did last year, so they were more let down last year as opposed to this year. I just don't know if I buy it.....you lose your favorite coach after you get blasted by UCLA, & now you are playing on the 1st day of the bowl games....where you have been spending all week in Vegas. On the other side, I think Fresno will again be very motivated here. Yes they had BCS aspirations, so I guess they can be thrown into the BCS bubble buster letdown spot....but I don't think they will have one here b/c they are playing a big name opponent. They get to play USC, not some MAC or C-USA school, so I think that should help their motivation. I think Carr is the better QB, & while this will be the best defense he has faced, & certainly the best d-line, I like the fact that they have only given up 11 sacks on the year.
There's really not a great write up on this one. I just really believe Fresno St defense isn't as bad as most think, & I think they will be much more motivated for this game as opposed to USC. & I still believe Carr can get his & go out with a win. I will also say that if USC shows up to play, then they could absolutely run Fresno out of the stadium. USC has far better players, although they are very limited (i believe less than 50 scholly players).
SDSU/Buffalo UNDER 24.5 (1st half) ----- On The Reg (1.5u) SDSU ML (+100) ----- Small Potatoes
This game is literally a toss up IMO, & I'm looking for this one to be a real good game. I am a real big SDSU follower, & have followed/bet on Buffalo all year long. Biggest concern for Buffalo IMO is that they have made a living this year beating up on bad teams, but I'm just not sold on how they do against quality competition. The only real quality win I see is Ohio (& take that for what it's worth), while they have gotten beat up by the better MAC schools in Toledo & Bowling Green. I think SDSU is pretty comparable to Bowling Green in terms of physicality. Conversely, as I have said all year SDSU plays up & down to their competition. If they played consistently all year, then they would be maybe a 10 win team. They have played bad against bad teams, & have played really well against really good teams. With this being a bowl game, I expect SDSU to show up & play up to their competition.
These teams are virtually mirror images of each other IMO, especially offensively. They love the pro style attack w/ lots of running & play action. Both are good against the run, and although SDSU is statistically bad against the pass, they have also played some really good passing offenses in EIU, Oregon St, Fresno, etc. I'll go outside of the box & say I believe Adam Muema is a better RB than Brandon Oliver, although both are really really good. I also like the 1-2 punch for SDSU at RB. Biggest concern here is that Muema is trying to go pro & he has been riddled w/ injuries, so I'm not completely sold on how much he will show up for this game, whereas I have no doubt Oliver will show up to play. SDSU also gets back their best 2 offensive linemen for this game in Quigley & Dilley. The QB's are pretty comparable, although I think Licata is more consistent. WR's are close to even, but I like the athleticism & depth of SDSU more.
The cold weather favors Buffalo. The familiarity with the venue favors SDSU.....This isn't the first time they have played on the blue turf in the cold. Basically i see 2 teams that should grind it out, especially early, much like the Buff/BGSU game. I don't think there will be much scoring early, but wouldn't be surprised if they put up some later in the game. Both teams will be motivated IMO....Buffalo has been itching to get back to a bowl game, whereas SDSU should be ready to go as they have lost the last 2 bowls & are hungry. I also think this bowl game sets up better for SDSU than the last 2 bowls (outmatched against BYU last year, & the New Orleans bowl against ULL 2 years ago). As always w/ SDSU, the biggest concern is the lack of kicking game....& I won't be surprised if it comes down to that. Other big factor in favor of Buffalo is the TO differential...SDSU is bad, Buffalo is really good.
SDSU/Buffalo UNDER 24.5 (1st half) ----- On The Reg (1.5u) SDSU ML (+100) ----- Small Potatoes
This game is literally a toss up IMO, & I'm looking for this one to be a real good game. I am a real big SDSU follower, & have followed/bet on Buffalo all year long. Biggest concern for Buffalo IMO is that they have made a living this year beating up on bad teams, but I'm just not sold on how they do against quality competition. The only real quality win I see is Ohio (& take that for what it's worth), while they have gotten beat up by the better MAC schools in Toledo & Bowling Green. I think SDSU is pretty comparable to Bowling Green in terms of physicality. Conversely, as I have said all year SDSU plays up & down to their competition. If they played consistently all year, then they would be maybe a 10 win team. They have played bad against bad teams, & have played really well against really good teams. With this being a bowl game, I expect SDSU to show up & play up to their competition.
These teams are virtually mirror images of each other IMO, especially offensively. They love the pro style attack w/ lots of running & play action. Both are good against the run, and although SDSU is statistically bad against the pass, they have also played some really good passing offenses in EIU, Oregon St, Fresno, etc. I'll go outside of the box & say I believe Adam Muema is a better RB than Brandon Oliver, although both are really really good. I also like the 1-2 punch for SDSU at RB. Biggest concern here is that Muema is trying to go pro & he has been riddled w/ injuries, so I'm not completely sold on how much he will show up for this game, whereas I have no doubt Oliver will show up to play. SDSU also gets back their best 2 offensive linemen for this game in Quigley & Dilley. The QB's are pretty comparable, although I think Licata is more consistent. WR's are close to even, but I like the athleticism & depth of SDSU more.
The cold weather favors Buffalo. The familiarity with the venue favors SDSU.....This isn't the first time they have played on the blue turf in the cold. Basically i see 2 teams that should grind it out, especially early, much like the Buff/BGSU game. I don't think there will be much scoring early, but wouldn't be surprised if they put up some later in the game. Both teams will be motivated IMO....Buffalo has been itching to get back to a bowl game, whereas SDSU should be ready to go as they have lost the last 2 bowls & are hungry. I also think this bowl game sets up better for SDSU than the last 2 bowls (outmatched against BYU last year, & the New Orleans bowl against ULL 2 years ago). As always w/ SDSU, the biggest concern is the lack of kicking game....& I won't be surprised if it comes down to that. Other big factor in favor of Buffalo is the TO differential...SDSU is bad, Buffalo is really good.
The Wazzou lost was one of the worst I've had ever. The 1st half was very fishy.....i counted 3 times the officials spotted the ball 1 yd further than it should have been, which set up nicely for Colo St to convert all those ballsy 4th down plays early. Then the nice job by the officials to give Colo St a 4th timeout so they could get a FG to close the 1st half. Covering the whole game, & are up 15 with 3 min left, & then could have almost ran the clock out if you hold onto the ball up 8pts. If you look at stats it shows that Colo St won....but when you watch the game I certainly thought Wazzou was the right side. CSU outcoached Wazzou, which is expected w/ Leach's crazy a*s. Very, very bad beat IMO....but that's how it goes sometimes. Bowl season is young. 6 out of the 7 losses on my big plays this year have been lost in the last minute.....I don't know if that's good or bad. USC came to play vs Fresno...which was why I capped it. Should have gone small potatoes on that one. SDSU offense having more success against Buffalo than I thought. Looked like a bad 1st half bet. Buffalo offense did what I expected, Buffalo defense didn't do what I expect. Muema showed up to play today. SDSU playing up to their competition this game.
Tulane ML -2 (-120) ----- MASTERED 1st, I have to give Tulane the motivation edge. ULL has been to this bowl 3 straight years now, whereas this is Tulane's first trip since 2002. ULL has had the serious home field advantage in this bowl the last 2 years, but this year it's a different story playing at Tulane's home field. Terrence Broadway looks like a no-go. When he got hurt Haack came in & performed well, but the following week against S Bama he was brought back to life. I'm sure the extra prep time will help him, but I couldn't trust a Frosh QB here. ULL lives off of running the ball, & Tulane has done very well against the run. The determining factor here, is that I can't tell where to be impressed w/ ULL's run game against their competition. Furthermore, I can be impressed w/ Tulane's defense when they hold Rice to just over 100 yds rushing, hold a fairly explosive UTSA offense to 7 pts, keep ULM's Browning in check to 5.0 ypa & under 50% passing, etc. Tulane's offense isn't much of a story....they are pretty hot & cold. Montana is inconsistent as is the running game. It's a gamble relying on Tulane's offense here, but I think Darkwa & Montana will make enough plays here. ULL's defense has been suspect the back half of the year, giving up 30+ almost every game. Tulane's defense has been dominating TO's all year, & I have to ride with the better defense & team that can force turnovers. Gotta give the edge to the C-USA team over a Sun Belt team. I have been a very big Tulane critic all year, but I think this Bowl game couldn't be much better situation for them to win.
The Wazzou lost was one of the worst I've had ever. The 1st half was very fishy.....i counted 3 times the officials spotted the ball 1 yd further than it should have been, which set up nicely for Colo St to convert all those ballsy 4th down plays early. Then the nice job by the officials to give Colo St a 4th timeout so they could get a FG to close the 1st half. Covering the whole game, & are up 15 with 3 min left, & then could have almost ran the clock out if you hold onto the ball up 8pts. If you look at stats it shows that Colo St won....but when you watch the game I certainly thought Wazzou was the right side. CSU outcoached Wazzou, which is expected w/ Leach's crazy a*s. Very, very bad beat IMO....but that's how it goes sometimes. Bowl season is young. 6 out of the 7 losses on my big plays this year have been lost in the last minute.....I don't know if that's good or bad. USC came to play vs Fresno...which was why I capped it. Should have gone small potatoes on that one. SDSU offense having more success against Buffalo than I thought. Looked like a bad 1st half bet. Buffalo offense did what I expected, Buffalo defense didn't do what I expect. Muema showed up to play today. SDSU playing up to their competition this game.
Tulane ML -2 (-120) ----- MASTERED 1st, I have to give Tulane the motivation edge. ULL has been to this bowl 3 straight years now, whereas this is Tulane's first trip since 2002. ULL has had the serious home field advantage in this bowl the last 2 years, but this year it's a different story playing at Tulane's home field. Terrence Broadway looks like a no-go. When he got hurt Haack came in & performed well, but the following week against S Bama he was brought back to life. I'm sure the extra prep time will help him, but I couldn't trust a Frosh QB here. ULL lives off of running the ball, & Tulane has done very well against the run. The determining factor here, is that I can't tell where to be impressed w/ ULL's run game against their competition. Furthermore, I can be impressed w/ Tulane's defense when they hold Rice to just over 100 yds rushing, hold a fairly explosive UTSA offense to 7 pts, keep ULM's Browning in check to 5.0 ypa & under 50% passing, etc. Tulane's offense isn't much of a story....they are pretty hot & cold. Montana is inconsistent as is the running game. It's a gamble relying on Tulane's offense here, but I think Darkwa & Montana will make enough plays here. ULL's defense has been suspect the back half of the year, giving up 30+ almost every game. Tulane's defense has been dominating TO's all year, & I have to ride with the better defense & team that can force turnovers. Gotta give the edge to the C-USA team over a Sun Belt team. I have been a very big Tulane critic all year, but I think this Bowl game couldn't be much better situation for them to win.
HAMMERED Record (5-6 units): 0-0 MASTERED Record (3-4 units): 0-2 On The Reg Record (1-2 units): 0-2 Small Potatoes Record (Less than 1 unit): 1-1
Getting butt-pounded early on in the bowls. I'm by no means down by it as I feel like I was on the right side w/ my 2 MASTER'S, they just didn't end up winners. I think I capped them pretty well overall.
Gonna throw up some quick thoughts for the next 3 games as I don't know how much time I will have after tonight.
Oregon St/Boise St: Strong lean towards the Beav's & the Over. I could use the whole SOS angle, but we saw how well that worked with Wazzou.....but anyway Oregon St has faced a much better schedule. They didn't play well in most of those games, but nonetheless. A few things I like is how Oregon St got hott mid-season, then turned into dookie. They looked like they had given up, but then came back & should have won against Oregon. The team has stated how that was a big boost & now they realize how good they could be if they would play like that consistently. So I like that they slid down the stretch then closed out w/ a great performance. I also LOVE the fact that they RAN THE BALL agaisnt Oregon, & Mike Riley has stated that running the ball will be more of an emphasis this game. With Wazzou, my only concern was their inability to run the ball, & that cost them the game the last 2 minutes....I would have rather them put knees on the ball than run it. However, w/ Oregon St I think they have 2 capable backs to run the ball if they actually get hand-offs. So w/ the emphasis to run the ball more, that makes me much more confident. Passing is still the emphasis for the Beavs, & Boise has been real bad against the pass this year while not playing a whole lot of quality passing offenses. Fresno put up over 450yds passing & Colo St tallied 650 total offense against them. I have watched Oregon St play a few times this year, & every time I kept saying if they would run it a little more than their offense would be so much more dangerous as Woods & Hunt are very capable backs. So with a little more balance on offense & w/ Mannion/Cooks combo, I think Oregon St will score early & often. Boise St should have no problem moving the ball on Oregon St either. It's going to start w/ the running game, where I think they will have plenty of success. Hedrick has played pretty well & I'm just hard pressed not seeing Boise St getting into the late 20's and more likely the 30's (if they actually show up to play). Boise will not have WR Williams-Rhodes, & I have to think this had to be a fairly big blow. Furthermore, I have a hard time seeing Boise with a great mindset. Players have said they are excited & not worried b/ they love the Harsin hire, but regardless....this is their first time without Peterson & that has to be really, really hard. Add in all the Southwick drama & how he is now trying to call out a handful of other players, all the fun times to be had on the island, etc. Oregon St could be just as distracted w/ the beautiful scenery, but the Beavs also had a handful of players from Hawaii, so maybe that will help keep them grounded. I'd love to go real big on this game, but I'm leaning towards just going normal b/c Hawaii Bowl location is just hard to determine the outcome.
Pitt/Bowling Green: Bowling Green is better everywhere on the field & I still lean towards Pitt to win SU. I think there is a huge head coach advantage, & a Pitt team that should be real motivated vs a BGSU team that lost it's head coach & it's O & D Coordinators are on their way out as well. Pitt has faced a MUCH harder schedule than BGSU, & even have quality wins off of it. Still have research to do, but right now I lean away from the Falcons who I loved to watch/back all year.
Utah St/NIU: LOVE Utah St right now I picked Fresno earlier in the Bowl season even though they got their BCS bubble busted b/c I didn't know how motivated USC would be & thought Fresno would still be amped b/c they got to play a top level school. NIU got their BCS bubble busted, & now get to play 8-5 Utah St.....Yippee, I bet the Huskies are pumped for this one. NIU with their top 5-10 rush offense vs the top 10 rush defense of USU. The only 2 decent/good rush defenses that NIU has played all year are Iowa & Bowling Green, & Lynch was held in check in both of them. NIU had to come back from behind to beat Iowa, & BGSU blew their doors off. IMO, Utah St has a better rush defense than both those teams. The Aggies front 7 is littered w/ really good players & it's their strength of the whole team. USU has played pretty good run offenses in BYU, Boise St, Colo St....& held them all to 100 yds less than their average. I don't think NIU will be too jazzed to play this game, & Utah St should be very pleased to play it. Aggies also get extra time to prepare for NIU & have some good film to review on them from the Bowling Green debacle. Utah St offense clearly isnt the same w/o Keeton, but NIU defense isn't a juggernaut either. I think the Aggies will find a way to have success against the Huskies defense, really like Utah St to pull off the win.
I'll post when I lock plays in....but I wanted to get a little written b/c I'm not sure if I'll have the time before kick offs.
HAMMERED Record (5-6 units): 0-0 MASTERED Record (3-4 units): 0-2 On The Reg Record (1-2 units): 0-2 Small Potatoes Record (Less than 1 unit): 1-1
Getting butt-pounded early on in the bowls. I'm by no means down by it as I feel like I was on the right side w/ my 2 MASTER'S, they just didn't end up winners. I think I capped them pretty well overall.
Gonna throw up some quick thoughts for the next 3 games as I don't know how much time I will have after tonight.
Oregon St/Boise St: Strong lean towards the Beav's & the Over. I could use the whole SOS angle, but we saw how well that worked with Wazzou.....but anyway Oregon St has faced a much better schedule. They didn't play well in most of those games, but nonetheless. A few things I like is how Oregon St got hott mid-season, then turned into dookie. They looked like they had given up, but then came back & should have won against Oregon. The team has stated how that was a big boost & now they realize how good they could be if they would play like that consistently. So I like that they slid down the stretch then closed out w/ a great performance. I also LOVE the fact that they RAN THE BALL agaisnt Oregon, & Mike Riley has stated that running the ball will be more of an emphasis this game. With Wazzou, my only concern was their inability to run the ball, & that cost them the game the last 2 minutes....I would have rather them put knees on the ball than run it. However, w/ Oregon St I think they have 2 capable backs to run the ball if they actually get hand-offs. So w/ the emphasis to run the ball more, that makes me much more confident. Passing is still the emphasis for the Beavs, & Boise has been real bad against the pass this year while not playing a whole lot of quality passing offenses. Fresno put up over 450yds passing & Colo St tallied 650 total offense against them. I have watched Oregon St play a few times this year, & every time I kept saying if they would run it a little more than their offense would be so much more dangerous as Woods & Hunt are very capable backs. So with a little more balance on offense & w/ Mannion/Cooks combo, I think Oregon St will score early & often. Boise St should have no problem moving the ball on Oregon St either. It's going to start w/ the running game, where I think they will have plenty of success. Hedrick has played pretty well & I'm just hard pressed not seeing Boise St getting into the late 20's and more likely the 30's (if they actually show up to play). Boise will not have WR Williams-Rhodes, & I have to think this had to be a fairly big blow. Furthermore, I have a hard time seeing Boise with a great mindset. Players have said they are excited & not worried b/ they love the Harsin hire, but regardless....this is their first time without Peterson & that has to be really, really hard. Add in all the Southwick drama & how he is now trying to call out a handful of other players, all the fun times to be had on the island, etc. Oregon St could be just as distracted w/ the beautiful scenery, but the Beavs also had a handful of players from Hawaii, so maybe that will help keep them grounded. I'd love to go real big on this game, but I'm leaning towards just going normal b/c Hawaii Bowl location is just hard to determine the outcome.
Pitt/Bowling Green: Bowling Green is better everywhere on the field & I still lean towards Pitt to win SU. I think there is a huge head coach advantage, & a Pitt team that should be real motivated vs a BGSU team that lost it's head coach & it's O & D Coordinators are on their way out as well. Pitt has faced a MUCH harder schedule than BGSU, & even have quality wins off of it. Still have research to do, but right now I lean away from the Falcons who I loved to watch/back all year.
Utah St/NIU: LOVE Utah St right now I picked Fresno earlier in the Bowl season even though they got their BCS bubble busted b/c I didn't know how motivated USC would be & thought Fresno would still be amped b/c they got to play a top level school. NIU got their BCS bubble busted, & now get to play 8-5 Utah St.....Yippee, I bet the Huskies are pumped for this one. NIU with their top 5-10 rush offense vs the top 10 rush defense of USU. The only 2 decent/good rush defenses that NIU has played all year are Iowa & Bowling Green, & Lynch was held in check in both of them. NIU had to come back from behind to beat Iowa, & BGSU blew their doors off. IMO, Utah St has a better rush defense than both those teams. The Aggies front 7 is littered w/ really good players & it's their strength of the whole team. USU has played pretty good run offenses in BYU, Boise St, Colo St....& held them all to 100 yds less than their average. I don't think NIU will be too jazzed to play this game, & Utah St should be very pleased to play it. Aggies also get extra time to prepare for NIU & have some good film to review on them from the Bowling Green debacle. Utah St offense clearly isnt the same w/o Keeton, but NIU defense isn't a juggernaut either. I think the Aggies will find a way to have success against the Huskies defense, really like Utah St to pull off the win.
I'll post when I lock plays in....but I wanted to get a little written b/c I'm not sure if I'll have the time before kick offs.
I will also add on the Oregon St game that I read where Hedrick talked about how gassed he is from practice the last couple days. Sounds like Southwick was clearly going to be the starter, & now it seems like Hedrick is a fairly tired from all the extra practice time & reps
I will also add on the Oregon St game that I read where Hedrick talked about how gassed he is from practice the last couple days. Sounds like Southwick was clearly going to be the starter, & now it seems like Hedrick is a fairly tired from all the extra practice time & reps
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.