Game time is 9:30ET. Let’s talk about the total. We could have gotten a much better line for the under earlier in the week but I agree with the line being too high.
Given the offensive uncertainties, Fresno State’s receiver rebuild and shaky offensive line, plus Georgia Southern’s late-2024 scoring drought this matchup projects as more grind than fireworks. Fresno has been wildly unpredictable, alternating win streaks with baffling losses, while Georgia Southern has shown a tendency to stumble against lesser opponents. That inconsistency usually leads to inefficiency, not shootouts.
Both teams lean on quarterbacks who must cut down mistakes and receiving corps that lack proven playmakers. Fresno is retooling its entire passing attack, and Georgia Southern hasn’t shown the firepower to consistently push games into the 50s. Defensively, Fresno’s secondary is still a strength, while Georgia Southern’s upgraded front seven should improve their ability to limit explosive plays. The result? Drives that stall, more punts, and fewer clean scoring chances.
The total at 49 feels optimistic, it assumes both offenses click at the same time. More likely, this turns into a grind-it-out affair that lands in the low-to-mid 40s. Play the under 49, as neither team looks ready for a high-scoring party just yet.
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Game time is 9:30ET. Let’s talk about the total. We could have gotten a much better line for the under earlier in the week but I agree with the line being too high.
Given the offensive uncertainties, Fresno State’s receiver rebuild and shaky offensive line, plus Georgia Southern’s late-2024 scoring drought this matchup projects as more grind than fireworks. Fresno has been wildly unpredictable, alternating win streaks with baffling losses, while Georgia Southern has shown a tendency to stumble against lesser opponents. That inconsistency usually leads to inefficiency, not shootouts.
Both teams lean on quarterbacks who must cut down mistakes and receiving corps that lack proven playmakers. Fresno is retooling its entire passing attack, and Georgia Southern hasn’t shown the firepower to consistently push games into the 50s. Defensively, Fresno’s secondary is still a strength, while Georgia Southern’s upgraded front seven should improve their ability to limit explosive plays. The result? Drives that stall, more punts, and fewer clean scoring chances.
The total at 49 feels optimistic, it assumes both offenses click at the same time. More likely, this turns into a grind-it-out affair that lands in the low-to-mid 40s. Play the under 49, as neither team looks ready for a high-scoring party just yet.
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