Adding Cal, I think they can slow this game down and keep it within 21…Justin Wilcox has been impressive when it comes to covering the spread as a dog, 26-11-1 ATS (70.3%) as an underdog and 21-6 ATS mark (77.8%) when catching more than four points. When looking at 2022 Cal played competitive games against Notre Dame, USC, and this very same Washington team. It’s hard to step in front of the freight train that is Washington but this Cal team has a track record of keeping these games interesting.
California +21 (-110) 1 unit
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Adding Cal, I think they can slow this game down and keep it within 21…Justin Wilcox has been impressive when it comes to covering the spread as a dog, 26-11-1 ATS (70.3%) as an underdog and 21-6 ATS mark (77.8%) when catching more than four points. When looking at 2022 Cal played competitive games against Notre Dame, USC, and this very same Washington team. It’s hard to step in front of the freight train that is Washington but this Cal team has a track record of keeping these games interesting.
Badgers have won the last 16 matchups with Purdue, only 2 of those games being within 6 points or less. Wisconsin should be the more physical team and get what they want offensively through the run game. I think a 31-20 type of game with Wisconsin getting more stops and controlling time of possession for the most part.
Additionally:
Purdue is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games at home.
Purdue is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Wisconsin is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games against Purdue
Wisconsin is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Purdue.
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Adding:
Wisconsin -6 (-110) 1 unit
Badgers have won the last 16 matchups with Purdue, only 2 of those games being within 6 points or less. Wisconsin should be the more physical team and get what they want offensively through the run game. I think a 31-20 type of game with Wisconsin getting more stops and controlling time of possession for the most part.
Additionally:
Purdue is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games at home.
Purdue is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Wisconsin is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games against Purdue
Wisconsin is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Purdue.
Love getting a td at home here with Syracuse. Cuse has played Clemson tough as of late (4 of last 6 matchups were within 6 points). Now they’ve got them off an emotional OT loss to Florida St. I like the spot and gotta think the orange will be up for this one and at least keep it close.
Other things to note..
-Syracuse are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Clemson
-Clemson are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games played in September
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Got one play in already for week 5..
Syracuse +7 (-110) 1 unit
Love getting a td at home here with Syracuse. Cuse has played Clemson tough as of late (4 of last 6 matchups were within 6 points). Now they’ve got them off an emotional OT loss to Florida St. I like the spot and gotta think the orange will be up for this one and at least keep it close.
Other things to note..
-Syracuse are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Clemson
-Clemson are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games played in September
Georgia is 0-3-1 ats so far this season and that may be why this line isn’t 17. I like it a lot at 14 as Georgia has owned Auburn.
Georgia is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games against Auburn.
I just don’t see Auburn scoring enough to keep this thing close. They were only able to put up 10 last week and 14 in a close win against Cal (who just gave up 59 to Washington last week) This will be the best defense they’ve faced this year just think they’ll struggle to score while Georgia gets theirs. This will be the bulldogs first road game of the year, but Kirby tends to have his guys ready and although this is a different team than last year…Georgia is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road. Feels like a 31-10 type of game just think the number is a bit low.
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Just some thoughts on that Georgia play…
Georgia is 0-3-1 ats so far this season and that may be why this line isn’t 17. I like it a lot at 14 as Georgia has owned Auburn.
Georgia is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games against Auburn.
I just don’t see Auburn scoring enough to keep this thing close. They were only able to put up 10 last week and 14 in a close win against Cal (who just gave up 59 to Washington last week) This will be the best defense they’ve faced this year just think they’ll struggle to score while Georgia gets theirs. This will be the bulldogs first road game of the year, but Kirby tends to have his guys ready and although this is a different team than last year…Georgia is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road. Feels like a 31-10 type of game just think the number is a bit low.
Added another teaser that I really like…I like Louisville and Memphis a lot but will wait around to see if any 3’s pop up. Also upgraded Syracuse to a 1.5 unit play.
Arkansas +14.5/Kansas +24.5 (-115) 1 unit
Current week 5 card
Syracuse +7 (-110) 1.5 units
Georgia -14 (-115) 1 unit
Notre Dame +1.5/Central Mich. -1.5 teaser (-115) 1 unit
Arkansas +14.5/Kansas +24.5 teaser (-115) 1 unit
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Added another teaser that I really like…I like Louisville and Memphis a lot but will wait around to see if any 3’s pop up. Also upgraded Syracuse to a 1.5 unit play.
Arkansas +14.5/Kansas +24.5 (-115) 1 unit
Current week 5 card
Syracuse +7 (-110) 1.5 units
Georgia -14 (-115) 1 unit
Notre Dame +1.5/Central Mich. -1.5 teaser (-115) 1 unit
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