B1G week 1

Getting an early-ish one in here as this line is moving.

Texas +3 -130

Should be a good one.

GL 

@UNIMAN

appreciate your insights as always. I know you really focus in on the Big Ten. Curious though, do you ever find yourself picking Ohio State? Just feels like you leaned against them quite a bit last season, but maybe I’m remembering wrong. Genuinely interested in your perspective.

Did I? I’ll have to look back. I picked against them vs Texas in the cotton bowl and said at that time it would probably be worth betting the buckeyes in a look ahead line vs ND if you liked them to beat Texas…. It’s just matchups. 

Im probably biased against them naturally because I’m a Michigan guy but that likely just results in me losing which isn’t my goal here. I’m not like most UM fans who despise them - I like watching good football and they’ve got Sunday talent year in and year out. 

The reason I’m picking Texas here is because I think they should be favored and there is much more stability week 1.  The buckeyes are coming off a title, lose their QB, top 2 RBs, plethora of defensive starters and maybe most importantly replacing 2 coordinators. 

I don’t think the drop off will be as significant as what Michigan just had a year ago because something tells me with that receiver core they may do a little better than bottom 5 in passing numbers. But there’s a lot of new pieces to iron out for OSU and it needs to come together extremely quick. 

Going off of the end of 24/25 numbers I would make OSU about a 2.5 point favorite in this game on a neutral field. So with all of these changes for the Buckeyes I just think this line is wrong. Would be a very impressive win for them to open the season but I really like the Horns here. 

@HockeyNight11

Good luck HN.  

Great insights. Thanks for the reply.

@HockeyNight11

 COULD NOT AGREE MORE !!! TEXAS ROLLS!!

@HockeyNight11

 Great to see you back for another year bud! 

Good Luck! 

Prop of the week for week 1

Marlin Klein (Mich) over 19.5 yards receiving (FanDuel)

I try to do one prop a week, a lot of the time it’s UM games because I feel like it’s the team I know best. Last year was terrible at best with these because there was literally no offensive threat at the QB position. I’ll get more into my UM thoughts before week 1, but ultimately think Bryce is the real deal. The threat of a forward pass is back at a minimum and I think Marlin Klein is in for a big season as typical for a Michigan TE. Gotta give the freshman QB some easy throws and I think Klein benefits from that big time. Can probably go with some + money alternates on this too as he should be the lead option for targets at the position. 

Looking forward to your first BIG 10 ratings list....

GL this season HN 

jumped to 24.5 there now, got it in at your # 

Good Luck 

Michigan should be able to do whatever they want here.

19.5 yds was a steal, 24.5 yds very doable.