Took our first L last night. Looking to bounce back tonight. Good Luck everyone!
4:00pm PST
UCF vs Florida
Florida -6.5 -120 <1 unit>
On the surface we don’t believe that this UCF team is going to be physical enough upfront to compete with the SEC line and the rushing attack of Florida.Lets go!
First off, Emory Jones will be the QB tonight after entering the transfer portal. Many are saying motivation is on the UCF side tonight, but we think Florida will also be motivated to not let little brother make an upset here. Here is the thing, Emory Jones has not found a landing spot yet, and in an article by SI yesterday, UCF is one of the 4 landing spots for Emory Jones, ironic right? This makes us like Florida more in the fact that Jones has a lot of motivation tonight to make himself look good, and the entire Florida team not wanting to be embarrassed by UCF.
UCF has looked strong to end the year, but in their last 5 games, they played Temple, Tulane, UConn, USF and SMU. They played a bunch of cupcakes and were blown out by SMU 55-28. We understand that Florida will be missing a couple guys on their defense as they opted out for the NFL, but this is still an SEC recruiting class, and with Dan Mullen now gone, Billy Napier will want to spotlight his team to get some future recruits excited to come to Florida.
Florida will still have their top two future NFL secondary players to slow down UCF’s offense. UCF does not have a great rush D, as witnessed vs Cincinnati and SMU, so we know what Florida’s game plan will be with Emory tonight. We are going to back the more talented athletes in this one, even though UCF will be super motivated and hyped for this game. We believe there will still be motivation on the Florida side to not give this bowl game away on primetime. Lets go! Good Luck!
Took our first L last night. Looking to bounce back tonight. Good Luck everyone!
4:00pm PST
UCF vs Florida
Florida -6.5 -120 <1 unit>
On the surface we don’t believe that this UCF team is going to be physical enough upfront to compete with the SEC line and the rushing attack of Florida.Lets go!
First off, Emory Jones will be the QB tonight after entering the transfer portal. Many are saying motivation is on the UCF side tonight, but we think Florida will also be motivated to not let little brother make an upset here. Here is the thing, Emory Jones has not found a landing spot yet, and in an article by SI yesterday, UCF is one of the 4 landing spots for Emory Jones, ironic right? This makes us like Florida more in the fact that Jones has a lot of motivation tonight to make himself look good, and the entire Florida team not wanting to be embarrassed by UCF.
UCF has looked strong to end the year, but in their last 5 games, they played Temple, Tulane, UConn, USF and SMU. They played a bunch of cupcakes and were blown out by SMU 55-28. We understand that Florida will be missing a couple guys on their defense as they opted out for the NFL, but this is still an SEC recruiting class, and with Dan Mullen now gone, Billy Napier will want to spotlight his team to get some future recruits excited to come to Florida.
Florida will still have their top two future NFL secondary players to slow down UCF’s offense. UCF does not have a great rush D, as witnessed vs Cincinnati and SMU, so we know what Florida’s game plan will be with Emory tonight. We are going to back the more talented athletes in this one, even though UCF will be super motivated and hyped for this game. We believe there will still be motivation on the Florida side to not give this bowl game away on primetime. Lets go! Good Luck!
11:30am PST Camellia Bowl Georgia St vs Ball State Georgia State -5.5 -110 <1 unit>
We are taking the favorite to take this down on Christmas day. Georgia State will be extra motivated today to get its 8th win. This would mark the first time in program history to get 8 wins if they get the dub Saturday. Way to do it only 2 hours away from your own campus. The crowd will be mostly G State fans as we dont believe a disappointing team like Ball State will have fans and family traveling to Alabama from Indiana on Xmas Day.
Georgia State had a much stronger SOS this year. After officially making a QB change, they went 6-1 and only lost to Louisiana Lafayette by 4 points as 13.5 point dogs, a team which is ranked and won their Bowl Game. Their offense is led by their running attack, ranked 6th in the nation in rush yards per game. Ball State ranks 95th against the rush, so they should give up some big plays on the ground today. Ball State cant run the ball ranking 93rd and won't get any help going against the 49th ranked team against the rush. Its going to be that much harder for Ball State because Georgia St’s rush D stepped up the last 3 games only giving up 87.7 yards per game, which ranks them 6th in the nation.
Ball State won the MAC Title last year going 7-1 and then smashing San Jose State in their Bowl game.. There were a ton of high hopes for them this year but they have not looked the same. In their last 5 games, they lost to 3 bowl teams and barely beat Akron as 20 point favs and beat Buffalo, both teams which have a combined record of 6 wins and 18 losses. Before last year's Bowl win, they had lost their last 5 bowl games in a row and were 0-5 ATS. We can't see them being hyped for this game on Christmas day. We are taking Georgia State, Good Luck!
11:30am PST Camellia Bowl Georgia St vs Ball State Georgia State -5.5 -110 <1 unit>
We are taking the favorite to take this down on Christmas day. Georgia State will be extra motivated today to get its 8th win. This would mark the first time in program history to get 8 wins if they get the dub Saturday. Way to do it only 2 hours away from your own campus. The crowd will be mostly G State fans as we dont believe a disappointing team like Ball State will have fans and family traveling to Alabama from Indiana on Xmas Day.
Georgia State had a much stronger SOS this year. After officially making a QB change, they went 6-1 and only lost to Louisiana Lafayette by 4 points as 13.5 point dogs, a team which is ranked and won their Bowl Game. Their offense is led by their running attack, ranked 6th in the nation in rush yards per game. Ball State ranks 95th against the rush, so they should give up some big plays on the ground today. Ball State cant run the ball ranking 93rd and won't get any help going against the 49th ranked team against the rush. Its going to be that much harder for Ball State because Georgia St’s rush D stepped up the last 3 games only giving up 87.7 yards per game, which ranks them 6th in the nation.
Ball State won the MAC Title last year going 7-1 and then smashing San Jose State in their Bowl game.. There were a ton of high hopes for them this year but they have not looked the same. In their last 5 games, they lost to 3 bowl teams and barely beat Akron as 20 point favs and beat Buffalo, both teams which have a combined record of 6 wins and 18 losses. Before last year's Bowl win, they had lost their last 5 bowl games in a row and were 0-5 ATS. We can't see them being hyped for this game on Christmas day. We are taking Georgia State, Good Luck!
Nice call on Georgia St, panned out exactly as you thought ...... early game here for me tomorrow, if you do post, ... how about those Chargers a "bunch of skunks" is all they are ... thanks again for your plays...
Nice call on Georgia St, panned out exactly as you thought ...... early game here for me tomorrow, if you do post, ... how about those Chargers a "bunch of skunks" is all they are ... thanks again for your plays...
We have a 6-6 unranked team as the favorite over an 11-2 #18 ranked Houston squad. This game is a borderline home game for Auburn and we see the value of taking the Auburn Tigers in this spot.
We all know that Bo Nix entered the transfer portal and isn't going to be the starting QB for Auburn. Even without Nix this is an SEC team that had a significantly more difficult SOS. Sure, Houston went 11-2, but the majority of the games Houston played in were against cupcakes ??. Bigsby is a beast rushing the ball and we see him being a key to victory here for the Tigers even with a couple of his offensive lineman out. Houston only allowed 2.85-YPC in the 11-games they got a W in, but in those games they only faced 1 team, Navy, that had a top-35 rushing offense. Ironically, in Houstons 2-losses on the season both Cincy and Texas Tech ran it 28-times each on Houston and things were a lot different in those games as they allowed 6.34 and 7.5 yard per carry. We are talking about night and day differences here. This will be the best rushing attack Houston has faced this season.
Auburn fired offensive coordinator Mike Bobo and hired formal NFL QB Austin Davis. QB Finley has seen their coach Harsin’s leadership rise on the offense more, and they have implemented more tempo at practice the last few weeks. Auburn had a disappointing season going 6-6, but giving up this game would really hurt their recruiting chances. Helping to almost beat Alabama can deem disappointing, but remember, they were 20+ point underdogs. They came out almost beating them which is a huge success. Houston on the other hand were in a closer underdog contest to Cincinnati and was totally dominated, and now get a 6-6 Auburn team off a disappointing season for their Bowl Game after playing a CFP team. Makes us lean to Auburn on the motivation end. We are taking Auburn, good luck!
Trend Snippet - Dana Holgorsen is 1-7 ATS in Bowl games. The extra distractions tend to get to his teams. Lets go!
We have a 6-6 unranked team as the favorite over an 11-2 #18 ranked Houston squad. This game is a borderline home game for Auburn and we see the value of taking the Auburn Tigers in this spot.
We all know that Bo Nix entered the transfer portal and isn't going to be the starting QB for Auburn. Even without Nix this is an SEC team that had a significantly more difficult SOS. Sure, Houston went 11-2, but the majority of the games Houston played in were against cupcakes ??. Bigsby is a beast rushing the ball and we see him being a key to victory here for the Tigers even with a couple of his offensive lineman out. Houston only allowed 2.85-YPC in the 11-games they got a W in, but in those games they only faced 1 team, Navy, that had a top-35 rushing offense. Ironically, in Houstons 2-losses on the season both Cincy and Texas Tech ran it 28-times each on Houston and things were a lot different in those games as they allowed 6.34 and 7.5 yard per carry. We are talking about night and day differences here. This will be the best rushing attack Houston has faced this season.
Auburn fired offensive coordinator Mike Bobo and hired formal NFL QB Austin Davis. QB Finley has seen their coach Harsin’s leadership rise on the offense more, and they have implemented more tempo at practice the last few weeks. Auburn had a disappointing season going 6-6, but giving up this game would really hurt their recruiting chances. Helping to almost beat Alabama can deem disappointing, but remember, they were 20+ point underdogs. They came out almost beating them which is a huge success. Houston on the other hand were in a closer underdog contest to Cincinnati and was totally dominated, and now get a 6-6 Auburn team off a disappointing season for their Bowl Game after playing a CFP team. Makes us lean to Auburn on the motivation end. We are taking Auburn, good luck!
Trend Snippet - Dana Holgorsen is 1-7 ATS in Bowl games. The extra distractions tend to get to his teams. Lets go!
We are backing Air Force in this one. MWC is always looked down on, but this conference is always sneaky good. Military Academies always get up for bowl games and will look to send off their Seniors with a big win. For Louisville, they are already looking ahead to next year with Malik announcing that he will be returning, and their Coach Satterfield returning for the 2022 season.
Malik loses his favorite target today in Watkins. He also lost his #4 receiver Marshall. Today, Malik will need to do everything to get this done, specifically use his legs, however, no QB has run for more than 55 yards against the Air Force this year, and just one had more than 22 scramble yards against them. Air Force will look to limit him today.
Under coach Calhoun, Air Force has won both their bowl games. They played Wazzu and South Alabama, two teams that are mediocre so we dont believe motivation is in question here. Louisville allowed 4.5 yards per rush, which ranked 92nd nationally, so Air Force should be able to drive the ball here today. Air Force leads the nation in rushing offense, averaging 342 yards per game this season. Louisville was exposed by Kentucky to end their season, giving up 362 rush yards. If there is a playbook to beat Louisville, it was just handed to Air Force. Lets do this! Good Luck!
We are backing Air Force in this one. MWC is always looked down on, but this conference is always sneaky good. Military Academies always get up for bowl games and will look to send off their Seniors with a big win. For Louisville, they are already looking ahead to next year with Malik announcing that he will be returning, and their Coach Satterfield returning for the 2022 season.
Malik loses his favorite target today in Watkins. He also lost his #4 receiver Marshall. Today, Malik will need to do everything to get this done, specifically use his legs, however, no QB has run for more than 55 yards against the Air Force this year, and just one had more than 22 scramble yards against them. Air Force will look to limit him today.
Under coach Calhoun, Air Force has won both their bowl games. They played Wazzu and South Alabama, two teams that are mediocre so we dont believe motivation is in question here. Louisville allowed 4.5 yards per rush, which ranked 92nd nationally, so Air Force should be able to drive the ball here today. Air Force leads the nation in rushing offense, averaging 342 yards per game this season. Louisville was exposed by Kentucky to end their season, giving up 362 rush yards. If there is a playbook to beat Louisville, it was just handed to Air Force. Lets do this! Good Luck!
3:45pm PST Liberty Bowl Mississippi St. vs Texas Tech Mississippi St. -10 -115 <1 unit>
REVENGE!!! Revenge is a dish best served cold and you know Leach is going to want to dish it out in today’s bowl game against his former team. Interestingly enough on the other side we have Texas Tech who has some musical chairs of sorts taking place with their coaching, QB, as well as their best offensive weapon being out for the draft.
Texas Tech will not be starting Tyler Shough at QB which means we will see Donovan Smith starting at QB for the Red Raiders today. Texas Tech will be without their best WR, Erik Ezukanma, who has opted out in preparation for the NFL draft. This team has a lot of distractions right now and it appears that this will be one of the better defenses that the Red Raiders will be facing this year considering they are an SEC team. We are pretty confident that Leach is going to be on the gas pedal all day. The fact that Mississippi St. ranks 18th in the country converting on 3rd downs is just going to help cover ATS, especially since Texas Tech ranks 118th in the country when it comes to stopping opposing teams from converting 1st downs. Texas Tech has lost 4 of their last 5 games and now has to face a Mississippi St. team that has played a much more difficult SOS. Texas Tech got beat up pretty good against the upper tier teams of the BIG 12 losing against Oklahoma St, Texas, and Oklahoma in pretty lopsided games. Texas and Oklahoma have explosive offenses the likes of Leach’s Air Raid and Texas Tech had 70-pts and 51-pts scored on them against Texas and Oklahoma.
Guys, Mike Leach still has a pending lawsuit of 2.5 Million+ from when he got fired back in 2009 with Texas Tech. Leach is going to do whatever it takes to get the W today and smash his former team. Texas Tech has 5 of their coaches coaching somewhere else next season. This game might get ugly really fast! Mississippi St. is the better team with a better roster and all of their coaches in place while Texas Tech seems to be quite the dumpster fire entering this game. We wouldn’t be surprised if Texas Tech loses by 20+ today. We are laying the points. Good luck!
3:45pm PST Liberty Bowl Mississippi St. vs Texas Tech Mississippi St. -10 -115 <1 unit>
REVENGE!!! Revenge is a dish best served cold and you know Leach is going to want to dish it out in today’s bowl game against his former team. Interestingly enough on the other side we have Texas Tech who has some musical chairs of sorts taking place with their coaching, QB, as well as their best offensive weapon being out for the draft.
Texas Tech will not be starting Tyler Shough at QB which means we will see Donovan Smith starting at QB for the Red Raiders today. Texas Tech will be without their best WR, Erik Ezukanma, who has opted out in preparation for the NFL draft. This team has a lot of distractions right now and it appears that this will be one of the better defenses that the Red Raiders will be facing this year considering they are an SEC team. We are pretty confident that Leach is going to be on the gas pedal all day. The fact that Mississippi St. ranks 18th in the country converting on 3rd downs is just going to help cover ATS, especially since Texas Tech ranks 118th in the country when it comes to stopping opposing teams from converting 1st downs. Texas Tech has lost 4 of their last 5 games and now has to face a Mississippi St. team that has played a much more difficult SOS. Texas Tech got beat up pretty good against the upper tier teams of the BIG 12 losing against Oklahoma St, Texas, and Oklahoma in pretty lopsided games. Texas and Oklahoma have explosive offenses the likes of Leach’s Air Raid and Texas Tech had 70-pts and 51-pts scored on them against Texas and Oklahoma.
Guys, Mike Leach still has a pending lawsuit of 2.5 Million+ from when he got fired back in 2009 with Texas Tech. Leach is going to do whatever it takes to get the W today and smash his former team. Texas Tech has 5 of their coaches coaching somewhere else next season. This game might get ugly really fast! Mississippi St. is the better team with a better roster and all of their coaches in place while Texas Tech seems to be quite the dumpster fire entering this game. We wouldn’t be surprised if Texas Tech loses by 20+ today. We are laying the points. Good luck!
11:15am PST Pinstripe Bowl Maryland vs Virginia Tech Maryland -4 -110 <1 unit>
Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium! Lets go! We have two 6-6 teams playing in this game, the one who wants to be here will win the game. Have you guys seen all of the transfers, opt outs and NFL declarations for Virginia tech? It obviously represents that they do not care about this bowl game leaving their team thin. On the other hand, there are some opt outs and transfers from Maryland, but many of them didnt get much playing time this year, so we should see a full Maryland team today.
Virginia tech will be pretty one dimensional today. With starting QB Braxton Burmeister heading to the Transfer Portal, back up QB Connor Blumrick will be taking the snaps. This guy is a run first QB, and to make matters worse, the Hokies will not have their TOP 2 leading receivers in Tre Turner and Robinson. This helps Maryland really hone in on Blackshear and Blumrick. We believe we will see a lot of RPO today, and with Maryland having a month to prepare, we should eventually see some stops in the back field. Maryland has played a tougher SOS that have strong rushing stats and they were able to hold most teams between 145 to 164 yards per game.
Taulia Tagovailoa should go off today. He has all of his weapons and with the Hokies missing star CB Waller, Rakim Jarrett and company should EAT. In addition, the Hokies are missing two pass rushers which will only help Taulia have more time to throw. No wonder they are now laying the field goal with the hook. These bowl games have been up and down thus far, but we are seeing more teams showing up that have something to play for. Maryland was 3-9 in 2019, was 2-3 during the covid season, and finally took a step in the right direction going 6-6 this year with a schedule that consists of ranked Iowa, OSU, Penn St, MSU, and Michigan. Only half the stars for V Tech that played ranked UNC and Notre Dame are going to be playing today. We are taking Maryland to get above .500 today. Lets go! Good Luck!
11:15am PST Pinstripe Bowl Maryland vs Virginia Tech Maryland -4 -110 <1 unit>
Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium! Lets go! We have two 6-6 teams playing in this game, the one who wants to be here will win the game. Have you guys seen all of the transfers, opt outs and NFL declarations for Virginia tech? It obviously represents that they do not care about this bowl game leaving their team thin. On the other hand, there are some opt outs and transfers from Maryland, but many of them didnt get much playing time this year, so we should see a full Maryland team today.
Virginia tech will be pretty one dimensional today. With starting QB Braxton Burmeister heading to the Transfer Portal, back up QB Connor Blumrick will be taking the snaps. This guy is a run first QB, and to make matters worse, the Hokies will not have their TOP 2 leading receivers in Tre Turner and Robinson. This helps Maryland really hone in on Blackshear and Blumrick. We believe we will see a lot of RPO today, and with Maryland having a month to prepare, we should eventually see some stops in the back field. Maryland has played a tougher SOS that have strong rushing stats and they were able to hold most teams between 145 to 164 yards per game.
Taulia Tagovailoa should go off today. He has all of his weapons and with the Hokies missing star CB Waller, Rakim Jarrett and company should EAT. In addition, the Hokies are missing two pass rushers which will only help Taulia have more time to throw. No wonder they are now laying the field goal with the hook. These bowl games have been up and down thus far, but we are seeing more teams showing up that have something to play for. Maryland was 3-9 in 2019, was 2-3 during the covid season, and finally took a step in the right direction going 6-6 this year with a schedule that consists of ranked Iowa, OSU, Penn St, MSU, and Michigan. Only half the stars for V Tech that played ranked UNC and Notre Dame are going to be playing today. We are taking Maryland to get above .500 today. Lets go! Good Luck!
2:45pm PST Clemson vs Iowa State UNDER 44.5 -110 <1 unit>
There's no question that the Tigers are going to be UP for this game, Dabo can make that happen for most all games. With the current point spread at -2.5, it implies that Iowa State matches up well here and will also be up for this game. When do you get a chance to play a team that’s usually in the CFP, yo?
Clemson still has all of their talent on defense today, and these guys are huge and athletic. Purdy will not have his boy Breece Hall, which is a HUGE blow for this team. In addition to that, he is missing two of his starting receivers. Yahtzee! This defense finished basically in the top 20 in most all categories, specifically in creating havoc, coverage grade, and pressure grade. Purdy did not excel under pressure this year, only throwing for 3 touchdowns under pressure vs 15. Clemson brings a TON of pressure, so we should see him scramble a lot more today. Remember, he took 21 sacks this year, which is a career high.
On the other end, Iowa State’s defense should match up well vs Clemson. Clemson lost their offensive coordinator to boot. Iowa St only gave up 309 yards per game, which was top 10 nationally and had the 13th ranked pass D. They have two massive edge rushers in McDonald IV and Uwazurike. They had 20 sacks combined this year. Clemson gave up 19 sacks on the season and already saw a declining offensive output with DJ Uiagalelei, so Iowa State should be able to slow down this offense today.
WIth all that said, we believe there will be a good amount of Punts in a battle of defenses. We understand ISU will be missing their starting CB and LB for this game, but the Clemson offense hasn't produced enough this year vs good defenses for us to create a double take. Iowa State loses a good amount of weapons on their offense, which Clemson should be able to exploit. We are taking the UNDER here today. Good Luck!
2:45pm PST Clemson vs Iowa State UNDER 44.5 -110 <1 unit>
There's no question that the Tigers are going to be UP for this game, Dabo can make that happen for most all games. With the current point spread at -2.5, it implies that Iowa State matches up well here and will also be up for this game. When do you get a chance to play a team that’s usually in the CFP, yo?
Clemson still has all of their talent on defense today, and these guys are huge and athletic. Purdy will not have his boy Breece Hall, which is a HUGE blow for this team. In addition to that, he is missing two of his starting receivers. Yahtzee! This defense finished basically in the top 20 in most all categories, specifically in creating havoc, coverage grade, and pressure grade. Purdy did not excel under pressure this year, only throwing for 3 touchdowns under pressure vs 15. Clemson brings a TON of pressure, so we should see him scramble a lot more today. Remember, he took 21 sacks this year, which is a career high.
On the other end, Iowa State’s defense should match up well vs Clemson. Clemson lost their offensive coordinator to boot. Iowa St only gave up 309 yards per game, which was top 10 nationally and had the 13th ranked pass D. They have two massive edge rushers in McDonald IV and Uwazurike. They had 20 sacks combined this year. Clemson gave up 19 sacks on the season and already saw a declining offensive output with DJ Uiagalelei, so Iowa State should be able to slow down this offense today.
WIth all that said, we believe there will be a good amount of Punts in a battle of defenses. We understand ISU will be missing their starting CB and LB for this game, but the Clemson offense hasn't produced enough this year vs good defenses for us to create a double take. Iowa State loses a good amount of weapons on their offense, which Clemson should be able to exploit. We are taking the UNDER here today. Good Luck!
We have a couple games on deck that we see value in teasing.
Purdue had some notable opt-outs and this line has spiked a lot to 7.5-pts so we have opted to tease this game down. The game is being played in Nashville so Tennessee will basically have home field advantage. Tennessee has a strong passing attack that has shown to be very explosive. Tennessee likes to run the ball a lot, but with their RB out via the transfer portal we think Hooker and company will look to exploit the sub-par Purdue secondary. Purdue doesn't really try rushing the rock all that often and are a pass first team. Tennessee didn't showcase the best secondary this season by any means, but with Purdue's top-2 WR's out its hard to see Purdue winning this game.
Purdue will also be without their starting left tackle Greg Long and their best defensive linemen George Karlaftis . Neither team will likely have much success getting to the opposing QB today either. Purdue will have their hands full without Karlaftis getting after Hooker today. Purdue ranks 105th when it comes to stopping explosive passing plays while Tennessee is #31 when it comes to producing big plays. We are banking on Hooker to go off with his mobility.
We like Wisconsin to win SU in their Bowl game as well. The Sun Devils played some cup cakes to end the season while Wisconsin has been battle tested all year. This Wisconsin defense is for REAL and ASU will have very little success rushing the ball. Daniels isn't very accurate and isn't likely to have the time to make big scoring opportunities happen. Wisconsin always shows up in bowl games while ASU does not.
ASU has a ton of opt-outs on both sides of the ball with the biggest one being their Swiss army knife back Rachaad White opting out for the NFL. Wisconsin is going to get the W here because simply put ASU can't hang without their playmakers against one of the best defenses in the nation. Good luck!
We have a couple games on deck that we see value in teasing.
Purdue had some notable opt-outs and this line has spiked a lot to 7.5-pts so we have opted to tease this game down. The game is being played in Nashville so Tennessee will basically have home field advantage. Tennessee has a strong passing attack that has shown to be very explosive. Tennessee likes to run the ball a lot, but with their RB out via the transfer portal we think Hooker and company will look to exploit the sub-par Purdue secondary. Purdue doesn't really try rushing the rock all that often and are a pass first team. Tennessee didn't showcase the best secondary this season by any means, but with Purdue's top-2 WR's out its hard to see Purdue winning this game.
Purdue will also be without their starting left tackle Greg Long and their best defensive linemen George Karlaftis . Neither team will likely have much success getting to the opposing QB today either. Purdue will have their hands full without Karlaftis getting after Hooker today. Purdue ranks 105th when it comes to stopping explosive passing plays while Tennessee is #31 when it comes to producing big plays. We are banking on Hooker to go off with his mobility.
We like Wisconsin to win SU in their Bowl game as well. The Sun Devils played some cup cakes to end the season while Wisconsin has been battle tested all year. This Wisconsin defense is for REAL and ASU will have very little success rushing the ball. Daniels isn't very accurate and isn't likely to have the time to make big scoring opportunities happen. Wisconsin always shows up in bowl games while ASU does not.
ASU has a ton of opt-outs on both sides of the ball with the biggest one being their Swiss army knife back Rachaad White opting out for the NFL. Wisconsin is going to get the W here because simply put ASU can't hang without their playmakers against one of the best defenses in the nation. Good luck!
We are 9-4 this bowl season. We have one teaser up for today and we will be taking Wisconsin -7 now before the line possibly moves. Analysis will be posted later today. Good luck everyone!
We are 9-4 this bowl season. We have one teaser up for today and we will be taking Wisconsin -7 now before the line possibly moves. Analysis will be posted later today. Good luck everyone!
4:00pm PST Chic-Fil-A Peach Bowl Pittsburgh vs MSU Over 55.5 -110 <1 unit>
Keeping this one short and sweet. MSU won't have their stud RB Walker and Pitt won't have Pickett in the game but we believe both teams will still be able to score in this one. There's still a lot of talent on the field here.
Pittsburgh's secondary is mediocre. MSU is getting back their stud WR for this game, and even if Walker were in this game everyone knows you don't beat Pitt on the ground considering they have a top-10 rush defense so MSU will look to throw a lot tonight. Pitt is holding teams to less than 3-YPC so both teams will be passing a lot today, which helps the clock when we have incompletions.
Kedon Slovis transferred to Pitt and will likely be the starter next season so we think Nick Paty will look to show he should be in the talks for the starting role. There really isn't a better secondary to show up against statistically speaking since MSU's secondary ranks dead last in the country. Pickett would have shredded in this game, but this offense should still be able to score today considering they were averaging over 40-PPG this season. Paty will still have his weapons today.
MSU averaged 31-PPG this season, but they allowed 26.6-PPG. On paper it looks like a big blow without Walker and Pickett in the game because of their star power, but we are talking about the 114th and 130th ranked secondaries in the country. These offenses will move the ball and put up points. The total dropped a shit ton and MSU became the favorite once Pickett was announced out...but we see value in this game going over. Good luck!
4:00pm PST Chic-Fil-A Peach Bowl Pittsburgh vs MSU Over 55.5 -110 <1 unit>
Keeping this one short and sweet. MSU won't have their stud RB Walker and Pitt won't have Pickett in the game but we believe both teams will still be able to score in this one. There's still a lot of talent on the field here.
Pittsburgh's secondary is mediocre. MSU is getting back their stud WR for this game, and even if Walker were in this game everyone knows you don't beat Pitt on the ground considering they have a top-10 rush defense so MSU will look to throw a lot tonight. Pitt is holding teams to less than 3-YPC so both teams will be passing a lot today, which helps the clock when we have incompletions.
Kedon Slovis transferred to Pitt and will likely be the starter next season so we think Nick Paty will look to show he should be in the talks for the starting role. There really isn't a better secondary to show up against statistically speaking since MSU's secondary ranks dead last in the country. Pickett would have shredded in this game, but this offense should still be able to score today considering they were averaging over 40-PPG this season. Paty will still have his weapons today.
MSU averaged 31-PPG this season, but they allowed 26.6-PPG. On paper it looks like a big blow without Walker and Pickett in the game because of their star power, but we are talking about the 114th and 130th ranked secondaries in the country. These offenses will move the ball and put up points. The total dropped a shit ton and MSU became the favorite once Pickett was announced out...but we see value in this game going over. Good luck!
7:30pm PST Las Vegas Bowl Wisconsin vs Arizona State Wisconsin -7 -110 <1 unit>
We are taking Wisconsin here to dominate this game. Wisconsin started out 1-3 but then went on to clean up the rest of their schedule, until dropping a road game to Minnesota on their senior day. ASU on the other hand ended their season smashing Arizona, but if you look at their last 6 games, it wasn't as impressive as you think. If it wasn't for that incredible 21 point 4th Q vs Washington, ASU wouldn't even be in this game tonight. In their last 4 games, they went 3-1, but the teams they beat did not even get a bowl bid. The team they lost to by 14 was Oregon State, the only bowl team.
ASU obviously is not up for this game with their opt outs. They lost their top two RB’s for this one so they are asking Jayden Daniels to win this with his arm. Well he's going up against a top 5 ranked pass defense tonight, woof. Both starting CB’s for Wisconsin will play in this game, which should give Daniels headaches. Under PFF, Wisconsin's Williams grades 76.5, Torchio grades 82.8, Chenal grades 91.2 and Sanborn grades 89.7. ASU’s WRs playing tonight grade at 54.0 and 57.5. Their slot WR grades at 67.3 but man, are they overmatched here…
ASU may have a run D that held teams to 3.6 yards per carry, but when they played Utah, they gave up 208 rush yards and lost 35-21. BYU put up 144 and handled 27-17. UCLA lost, but still put up 198 rush yards. What we are trying to say is that the 3.6 yards per carry statistically on paper came from bottom feeder teams, so it's very misleading here. Wisconsin has a NASTY rush D, with only 3 teams going over 100 yards against them. They gave up 2 yards per carry, and that's playing teams like Penn St, Notre Dame, Michigan (held them to 112 rush yards), Purdue, Iowa, etc. SOS wise, WHOA. With all that said, Wisconsin should handle ASU tonight and we are laying the points! LETS GO! Good Luck!
7:30pm PST Las Vegas Bowl Wisconsin vs Arizona State Wisconsin -7 -110 <1 unit>
We are taking Wisconsin here to dominate this game. Wisconsin started out 1-3 but then went on to clean up the rest of their schedule, until dropping a road game to Minnesota on their senior day. ASU on the other hand ended their season smashing Arizona, but if you look at their last 6 games, it wasn't as impressive as you think. If it wasn't for that incredible 21 point 4th Q vs Washington, ASU wouldn't even be in this game tonight. In their last 4 games, they went 3-1, but the teams they beat did not even get a bowl bid. The team they lost to by 14 was Oregon State, the only bowl team.
ASU obviously is not up for this game with their opt outs. They lost their top two RB’s for this one so they are asking Jayden Daniels to win this with his arm. Well he's going up against a top 5 ranked pass defense tonight, woof. Both starting CB’s for Wisconsin will play in this game, which should give Daniels headaches. Under PFF, Wisconsin's Williams grades 76.5, Torchio grades 82.8, Chenal grades 91.2 and Sanborn grades 89.7. ASU’s WRs playing tonight grade at 54.0 and 57.5. Their slot WR grades at 67.3 but man, are they overmatched here…
ASU may have a run D that held teams to 3.6 yards per carry, but when they played Utah, they gave up 208 rush yards and lost 35-21. BYU put up 144 and handled 27-17. UCLA lost, but still put up 198 rush yards. What we are trying to say is that the 3.6 yards per carry statistically on paper came from bottom feeder teams, so it's very misleading here. Wisconsin has a NASTY rush D, with only 3 teams going over 100 yards against them. They gave up 2 yards per carry, and that's playing teams like Penn St, Notre Dame, Michigan (held them to 112 rush yards), Purdue, Iowa, etc. SOS wise, WHOA. With all that said, Wisconsin should handle ASU tonight and we are laying the points! LETS GO! Good Luck!
8:00am PST Taxslayer Bowl Wake Forest vs Rutgers Under 62.5 -110 <1 unit>
What a turn of events. Texas AM opts out of the game and we get a 5-7 Rutgers with a week to prepare for Wake Forest. Woof. Here is the thing. Put yourself in the shoes of the Wake Forest players. The Coaches are paid to hype and rile them up, but in a season where you were ranked with a record of 10-3, with the anticipation to play a ranked SEC team to distinguish yourselves from the upper echloion of conferences, now you get fucking Rutgers? What I would say is, FAWK!
Wake ended the year 2-3 SU. They got blown out at home by Pitt in their last game. Now, they get a refresh and get amped for an SEC team but now we just don't believe this team will be hyped for Rutgers. This game has now turned into a casual vacation fun week for Wake instead of a focused one. WIth that said, Rutgers will be super amped for this game and will do everything they have to win, so thats why we like the UNDER here. We dont believe Rugers offense will be ready, but Wake may be sloppy enough to make Rutgers defense look good.
This game is capped at a situational angle guys. Wake Forest is totally checked out here. I cant imagine as a player how excited you will be to play Rutgers. I would imagine Wake making some fun creative play calls that may or may not work today, while Rutgers' horrible offense tries to make this a game. Rutgers offense was pathetic this year, so we dont see how they will be ready with a limited amount of time. These guys are ecstatic just to get a bowl bid.
Guys, this game is played at 8am PST on Friday, NYE. The West Coast is not going to even tune in for this shit.This game is all about not losing money for the NCAA and all those invested, traveled, and for the paid commercials for TV time. The only people who will watch this shit are Wake and Rutgers fans. With that said, with the limited amount of viewers, we dont see this being an entertaining explosive affair. We are going to take an UNDER in a game where Wake just doesnt give a shit. Lets go! Good Luck!
8:00am PST Taxslayer Bowl Wake Forest vs Rutgers Under 62.5 -110 <1 unit>
What a turn of events. Texas AM opts out of the game and we get a 5-7 Rutgers with a week to prepare for Wake Forest. Woof. Here is the thing. Put yourself in the shoes of the Wake Forest players. The Coaches are paid to hype and rile them up, but in a season where you were ranked with a record of 10-3, with the anticipation to play a ranked SEC team to distinguish yourselves from the upper echloion of conferences, now you get fucking Rutgers? What I would say is, FAWK!
Wake ended the year 2-3 SU. They got blown out at home by Pitt in their last game. Now, they get a refresh and get amped for an SEC team but now we just don't believe this team will be hyped for Rutgers. This game has now turned into a casual vacation fun week for Wake instead of a focused one. WIth that said, Rutgers will be super amped for this game and will do everything they have to win, so thats why we like the UNDER here. We dont believe Rugers offense will be ready, but Wake may be sloppy enough to make Rutgers defense look good.
This game is capped at a situational angle guys. Wake Forest is totally checked out here. I cant imagine as a player how excited you will be to play Rutgers. I would imagine Wake making some fun creative play calls that may or may not work today, while Rutgers' horrible offense tries to make this a game. Rutgers offense was pathetic this year, so we dont see how they will be ready with a limited amount of time. These guys are ecstatic just to get a bowl bid.
Guys, this game is played at 8am PST on Friday, NYE. The West Coast is not going to even tune in for this shit.This game is all about not losing money for the NCAA and all those invested, traveled, and for the paid commercials for TV time. The only people who will watch this shit are Wake and Rutgers fans. With that said, with the limited amount of viewers, we dont see this being an entertaining explosive affair. We are going to take an UNDER in a game where Wake just doesnt give a shit. Lets go! Good Luck!
9:00am PST Sun Bowl Washington State vs Central Michigan Over 57 -110 <1 unit>
Here we go! Another game where two teams were going to play different teams and now end up playing each other. This makes it all for the OVER here. Both teams have limited amount of time to prepare for each other, which will catch both teams on their heels. LETS GO!
WE LOVE LOVE LOVE this OVER guys. Central Michigan is about to make HISTORY today. This will be the most HIGH PROFILE BOWL GAME in program history! This is the first time a MAC team has played in the Sun Bowl since 1962! You heard that right! You know how this works guys….this game WILL NOT DISAPPOINT! Points Points Points!
Wazzu lost their starting RB as he has opted out. With that said, Wazzu will focus more on the pass today. Central Michigan ranks 125th out of 130 teams in the nation against the pass. They give up 285.5 pass yards per game. If Jayden de Laura cant get things going today, they do NOT deserve to be here. Wazzu had a top 10 offensive line this year and none of their starting guys opted out, so this should only help the passing game today.
On the other side, CMU has a RB that will be able to run against this defense today. Wazzu’s weakness is against the run and CMU will do its best to exploit it. The thing is, time and time again, we have seen MAC teams lose in these bowl games, but we believe this is the best opportunity for their conference to represent their strength (which isnt much) on NYE. We love the limited prep both teams have against each other, and we believe this will go into the 30s for both sides. Take the OVER. LETS GO!
9:00am PST Sun Bowl Washington State vs Central Michigan Over 57 -110 <1 unit>
Here we go! Another game where two teams were going to play different teams and now end up playing each other. This makes it all for the OVER here. Both teams have limited amount of time to prepare for each other, which will catch both teams on their heels. LETS GO!
WE LOVE LOVE LOVE this OVER guys. Central Michigan is about to make HISTORY today. This will be the most HIGH PROFILE BOWL GAME in program history! This is the first time a MAC team has played in the Sun Bowl since 1962! You heard that right! You know how this works guys….this game WILL NOT DISAPPOINT! Points Points Points!
Wazzu lost their starting RB as he has opted out. With that said, Wazzu will focus more on the pass today. Central Michigan ranks 125th out of 130 teams in the nation against the pass. They give up 285.5 pass yards per game. If Jayden de Laura cant get things going today, they do NOT deserve to be here. Wazzu had a top 10 offensive line this year and none of their starting guys opted out, so this should only help the passing game today.
On the other side, CMU has a RB that will be able to run against this defense today. Wazzu’s weakness is against the run and CMU will do its best to exploit it. The thing is, time and time again, we have seen MAC teams lose in these bowl games, but we believe this is the best opportunity for their conference to represent their strength (which isnt much) on NYE. We love the limited prep both teams have against each other, and we believe this will go into the 30s for both sides. Take the OVER. LETS GO!
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