The OVER has hit in five consecutive Nathan Eovaldi starts
dating back to last season. He has allowed nine earned runs on 12 hits
over 10 innings pitched in his first two starts. Four of his 12 hits
allowed have been home runs and he’s sporting an 8.10 ERA and 1.8 WHIP.
Aaron
Sanchez has a 1.64 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through his first two starts this
season. The Red Sox roster has a career .234 batting average and .666
OPS vs Sanchez. Those numbers include just five home runs in 201
at-bats. Sanchez has a career .212 opponents’ batting average in 19
games vs Boston.
The Blue Jays are scoring just three runs per
game. Only Detroit and Miami are worse offensively to start the season.
Boston’s starting rotation has the worst ERA in MLB at 8.78.
The Red Sox are scoring 4.25 runs per game on 8.2 hits per game. Jays’ pitching is allowing 3.25 runs per game on 6.3 hits.
Nathan Eovaldi allowed just seven earned runs in 31 innings pitched at Fenway last season.
Only
two starting rotations have opponents’ batting averages above .300 –
Boston (.327) and Chicago Cubs (.320). Boston’s starters have an
opponent OPS of 1.011. Meanwhile, Toronto’s starting rotation has a 2.51
ERA, No. 4 in MLB.
Toronto is 7-2 ATS in its last nine
divisional road games. Paying -110 at +1.5 tonight is pretty good value
for the Blue Birds considering the state of these two franchises right
now.
Toronto is striking out 10 times per game, ranking them
fifth-worst in the entire MLB. Eovaldi only struck out three guys in
each of his first two starts while the bullpen is averaging 4.1 Ks per
game. Eovaldi’s strikeout O/U is set at 4.5 for tonight – he averaged
4.8 K/start last season.
The OVER has hit in five consecutive Nathan Eovaldi starts
dating back to last season. He has allowed nine earned runs on 12 hits
over 10 innings pitched in his first two starts. Four of his 12 hits
allowed have been home runs and he’s sporting an 8.10 ERA and 1.8 WHIP.
Aaron
Sanchez has a 1.64 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through his first two starts this
season. The Red Sox roster has a career .234 batting average and .666
OPS vs Sanchez. Those numbers include just five home runs in 201
at-bats. Sanchez has a career .212 opponents’ batting average in 19
games vs Boston.
The Blue Jays are scoring just three runs per
game. Only Detroit and Miami are worse offensively to start the season.
Boston’s starting rotation has the worst ERA in MLB at 8.78.
The Red Sox are scoring 4.25 runs per game on 8.2 hits per game. Jays’ pitching is allowing 3.25 runs per game on 6.3 hits.
Nathan Eovaldi allowed just seven earned runs in 31 innings pitched at Fenway last season.
Only
two starting rotations have opponents’ batting averages above .300 –
Boston (.327) and Chicago Cubs (.320). Boston’s starters have an
opponent OPS of 1.011. Meanwhile, Toronto’s starting rotation has a 2.51
ERA, No. 4 in MLB.
Toronto is 7-2 ATS in its last nine
divisional road games. Paying -110 at +1.5 tonight is pretty good value
for the Blue Birds considering the state of these two franchises right
now.
Toronto is striking out 10 times per game, ranking them
fifth-worst in the entire MLB. Eovaldi only struck out three guys in
each of his first two starts while the bullpen is averaging 4.1 Ks per
game. Eovaldi’s strikeout O/U is set at 4.5 for tonight – he averaged
4.8 K/start last season.
Mariners (12-2) @ Royals (2-9)
Leake is 2-0, 2.92 in his first two starts; he is Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 2-0
Lopez is 0-2, 4.91 in his first two starts. Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 2-0
Mariners won 12 of their first 14 games (over 12-2). They’re first team
in MLB history to score 6+ runs in 12 of first 14 games. Over/under 1st 5
innings: over 10-1 last 11
Kansas City lost its last nine games; over is 8-1-1 in their last ten
games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-0 last five at home
Blue Jays (4-8) @ Red Sox (3-9)
Sanchez is 1-1, 1.64 in his first two starts; he is 4-4, 4.06 in 19 games (11 starts) vs Boston. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 0-2
Eovaldi is 0-0, 9.00 in his first two starts; he is 1-1, 2.78 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Toronto. Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 1-1
Blue Jays lost seven of their last nine games (under 9-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-9
Boston lost nine of its first 12 games (over 9-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 8-5
Mariners (12-2) @ Royals (2-9)
Leake is 2-0, 2.92 in his first two starts; he is Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 2-0
Lopez is 0-2, 4.91 in his first two starts. Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 2-0
Mariners won 12 of their first 14 games (over 12-2). They’re first team
in MLB history to score 6+ runs in 12 of first 14 games. Over/under 1st 5
innings: over 10-1 last 11
Kansas City lost its last nine games; over is 8-1-1 in their last ten
games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-0 last five at home
Blue Jays (4-8) @ Red Sox (3-9)
Sanchez is 1-1, 1.64 in his first two starts; he is 4-4, 4.06 in 19 games (11 starts) vs Boston. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 0-2
Eovaldi is 0-0, 9.00 in his first two starts; he is 1-1, 2.78 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Toronto. Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 1-1
Blue Jays lost seven of their last nine games (under 9-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-9
Boston lost nine of its first 12 games (over 9-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 8-5
A’s (8-8) @ Orioles (5-7)
Brooks is 1-1, 4.09 in his first two starts. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 0-2
Bundy is 0-0, 7.36 in his first two starts; he is 2-0, 3.60 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 2-0
A’s are 2-6 away from Oakland this season, but won last two games,
scoring 23 runs. Over is 4-0 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5
innings: Over 5-1-1 in last seven.
Orioles lost six of their last seven games, allowing 42 runs in last
four games; their last six games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings:
over 4-1-1 last six
Indians (7-4) @ Tigers (8-4)
Bieber allowed two runs in six IP in his first ’19 start. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1
Turnbull is 0-1, 4.91 in his first two starts. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 0-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 1-1
Indians won five of their last six games; four of those six games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six
Detroit won six of its last seven games (under 9-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 10-2
A’s (8-8) @ Orioles (5-7)
Brooks is 1-1, 4.09 in his first two starts. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 0-2
Bundy is 0-0, 7.36 in his first two starts; he is 2-0, 3.60 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 2-0
A’s are 2-6 away from Oakland this season, but won last two games,
scoring 23 runs. Over is 4-0 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5
innings: Over 5-1-1 in last seven.
Orioles lost six of their last seven games, allowing 42 runs in last
four games; their last six games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings:
over 4-1-1 last six
Indians (7-4) @ Tigers (8-4)
Bieber allowed two runs in six IP in his first ’19 start. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1
Turnbull is 0-1, 4.91 in his first two starts. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 0-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 1-1
Indians won five of their last six games; four of those six games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six
Detroit won six of its last seven games (under 9-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 10-2
National League
Marlins (3-9) @ Reds (3-8)
Lopez is 1-1, 6.10 in his first two starts. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1
Gray is 0-2, 3.86 in his first two starts; Reds were blanked in both
starts. Gray is 1-0, 4.50 in two starts vs Miami. Team in his starts:
0-2
5-inning record: 0-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 0-2
Marlins lost their last three games, scoring four runs; four of their
last five games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 4-5-3
Cincinnati won its last two games after losing previous eight; under is
5-1-1 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-7-1
Dodgers (8-5) @ Cardinals (7-5)
Buehler is 1-0, 6.75 in two starts this season; he’s thrown 15 scoreless
innings in two starts vs St Louis. Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1
Wacha is 0-0, 1.59 in his first two starts (over 2-0). Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-2 Over/under: 2-0
Dodgers lost their last three games, scoring five runs (under 3-2 last five). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 8-5
St Louis won its last four games, allowing six runs (under 3-1 last four). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 in last eight.
National League
Marlins (3-9) @ Reds (3-8)
Lopez is 1-1, 6.10 in his first two starts. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1
Gray is 0-2, 3.86 in his first two starts; Reds were blanked in both
starts. Gray is 1-0, 4.50 in two starts vs Miami. Team in his starts:
0-2
5-inning record: 0-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 0-2
Marlins lost their last three games, scoring four runs; four of their
last five games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 4-5-3
Cincinnati won its last two games after losing previous eight; under is
5-1-1 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-7-1
Dodgers (8-5) @ Cardinals (7-5)
Buehler is 1-0, 6.75 in two starts this season; he’s thrown 15 scoreless
innings in two starts vs St Louis. Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1
Wacha is 0-0, 1.59 in his first two starts (over 2-0). Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-2 Over/under: 2-0
Dodgers lost their last three games, scoring five runs (under 3-2 last five). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 8-5
St Louis won its last four games, allowing six runs (under 3-1 last four). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 in last eight.
Mets (7-4) @ Braves (7-4)
Matz is 0-0, 2.61 in his first two starts; he is 4-0, 2.75 in seven starts vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 1-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 2-0
Gausman blanked Miami for seven IP in his first ’19 start; he is 0-2,
4.50 in 3 games (2 starts) against the Mets. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1
Mets won seven of their first 11 games (over 9-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 6-4-1
Braves won seven of their last eight games; under is 4-1 in their last five. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-0-2 in last six
Mets (7-4) @ Braves (7-4)
Matz is 0-0, 2.61 in his first two starts; he is 4-0, 2.75 in seven starts vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 1-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 2-0
Gausman blanked Miami for seven IP in his first ’19 start; he is 0-2,
4.50 in 3 games (2 starts) against the Mets. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1
Mets won seven of their first 11 games (over 9-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 6-4-1
Braves won seven of their last eight games; under is 4-1 in their last five. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-0-2 in last six
Pirates (6-4) @ Cubs (3-8)
Musgrove threw seven shutout innings in his first ’19 start; he is 2-1, 1.80 in three starts vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1
Quintana allowed eight runs in three IP in his first ’19 start; he is
1-1, 2.89 in five starts vs Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 0-1
5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 1-0
Pittsburgh won five of its last six games; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-0 in last four
Cubs lost eight of their first 11 games (over 8-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 8-3
Pirates (6-4) @ Cubs (3-8)
Musgrove threw seven shutout innings in his first ’19 start; he is 2-1, 1.80 in three starts vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1
Quintana allowed eight runs in three IP in his first ’19 start; he is
1-1, 2.89 in five starts vs Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 0-1
5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 1-0
Pittsburgh won five of its last six games; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-0 in last four
Cubs lost eight of their first 11 games (over 8-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 8-3
Padres (8-5) @ Diamondbacks (6-6)
Avila is making his MLB debut; he made one start in AA, his only game above A ball in his career. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0
Godley is 1-1, 8.10 in his first two starts; he is 4-4, 5.32 in 15 games (11 starts) vs San Diego. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 2-0
Padres won five of their last seven games; six of their last nine games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 5-7-1
Arizona is 5-3 in its last eight games (over 9-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 8-4
Padres (8-5) @ Diamondbacks (6-6)
Avila is making his MLB debut; he made one start in AA, his only game above A ball in his career. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0
Godley is 1-1, 8.10 in his first two starts; he is 4-4, 5.32 in 15 games (11 starts) vs San Diego. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 2-0
Padres won five of their last seven games; six of their last nine games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 5-7-1
Arizona is 5-3 in its last eight games (over 9-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 8-4
Rockies (3-9) @ Giants (4-9)
Gray is 0-2, 5.68 in his first two starts; he is 0-2, 6.15 in six starts vs SF. Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 0-2
Samardzija is 0-0, 3.72 in his first two starts; he is 4-6, 4.00 in 17 games (13 starts) vs Colorado. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 0-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 1-1
Rockies lost nine of their last ten games; under is 6-3 in their last nine. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 in last five.
San Francisco lost six of its last eight games (over 5-2-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 in last eight
Rockies (3-9) @ Giants (4-9)
Gray is 0-2, 5.68 in his first two starts; he is 0-2, 6.15 in six starts vs SF. Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 0-2
Samardzija is 0-0, 3.72 in his first two starts; he is 4-6, 4.00 in 17 games (13 starts) vs Colorado. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 0-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 1-1
Rockies lost nine of their last ten games; under is 6-3 in their last nine. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 in last five.
San Francisco lost six of its last eight games (over 5-2-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 in last eight
MLB: Cincy UNDER home 20-3-1 (6-1 this year). ATL home vs division
30-10. Gausman UNDER 29-12. SD GM1 road 12-2. Colo UNDER road 19-6-3.
Sea 12-2. Sea OVER 11-1-2. KC 0-9. KC OVER 8-1-1.
MLB: Cincy UNDER home 20-3-1 (6-1 this year). ATL home vs division
30-10. Gausman UNDER 29-12. SD GM1 road 12-2. Colo UNDER road 19-6-3.
Sea 12-2. Sea OVER 11-1-2. KC 0-9. KC OVER 8-1-1.
Atlanta starting pitching has allowed just 22 runs through 58.2
innings, good for the No. 3 mark in the National League. Mets starters
are No. 8 with just 32 runs allowed through 61 innings. Looking at
first-five stats, the Braves are No. 4 with 24 runs allowed while the
Mets are No. 6 at 26.
New York and Atlanta are both in the top
10 in MLB in runs per game. The Mets are No. 5 at 6.3 runs per game
while the Braves are No. 9 at 5.4 runs per game. However, the UNDER has
hit in seven of the last 10 games between these clubs.
The Mets
are 4-0 SU in their last four games with Steven Matz as the starting
pitcher, including 2-0 through two starts this season. Matz pitched just
three innings vs Atlanta last year but in two career starts at SunTrust
Park, he’s kept the Braves to a .456 OPS and a .171 batting average.
The
Braves are hitting .292 with five home runs in 111 at-bats vs
left-handed pitching this season. The average falls to .252 in the first
five innings of games, indicating that they’ve been much better against
left-handed relievers than starters.
Kevin Gausman has made
just one start this season but was dominant over seven innings vs Miami
last week. He threw only 88 pitches and gave up two hits, striking out
seven and walking just two.
Gausman made just one start vs the
Mets last year, pitching five innings and getting tagged for three runs
and a loss. He’s only made three appearances vs New York in his previous
six MLB seasons.
Robinson Cano is 6-for-15 with a triple and
two RBIs vs Gausman. They played in the same division briefly when Cano
was with the Yankees and Gausman was with the Orioles.
Atlanta starting pitching has allowed just 22 runs through 58.2
innings, good for the No. 3 mark in the National League. Mets starters
are No. 8 with just 32 runs allowed through 61 innings. Looking at
first-five stats, the Braves are No. 4 with 24 runs allowed while the
Mets are No. 6 at 26.
New York and Atlanta are both in the top
10 in MLB in runs per game. The Mets are No. 5 at 6.3 runs per game
while the Braves are No. 9 at 5.4 runs per game. However, the UNDER has
hit in seven of the last 10 games between these clubs.
The Mets
are 4-0 SU in their last four games with Steven Matz as the starting
pitcher, including 2-0 through two starts this season. Matz pitched just
three innings vs Atlanta last year but in two career starts at SunTrust
Park, he’s kept the Braves to a .456 OPS and a .171 batting average.
The
Braves are hitting .292 with five home runs in 111 at-bats vs
left-handed pitching this season. The average falls to .252 in the first
five innings of games, indicating that they’ve been much better against
left-handed relievers than starters.
Kevin Gausman has made
just one start this season but was dominant over seven innings vs Miami
last week. He threw only 88 pitches and gave up two hits, striking out
seven and walking just two.
Gausman made just one start vs the
Mets last year, pitching five innings and getting tagged for three runs
and a loss. He’s only made three appearances vs New York in his previous
six MLB seasons.
Robinson Cano is 6-for-15 with a triple and
two RBIs vs Gausman. They played in the same division briefly when Cano
was with the Yankees and Gausman was with the Orioles.
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