I've been tracking overunders in the NHL since 2016, and scoring went way up after the 2016-17 season. It's totally caused a seismic shift in the overunder lines. Or is it a longer trend and it just took Vegas a whille to adjust to it?
Examples:
In 2016-17, there were 395 overunder lines of 5.0 from start of season through 2/11/17.
In the current season, there are ZERO overunder lines of 5.0 from start of season through 12/22/18.
In 2016-17, there were 3 overunder lines of 6.5 from start of season through 2/11/17.
In the current season, there are 93 overunder lines of 6.5 from start of season through 12/22/18.
I've been tracking overunders in the NHL since 2016, and scoring went way up after the 2016-17 season. It's totally caused a seismic shift in the overunder lines. Or is it a longer trend and it just took Vegas a whille to adjust to it?
Examples:
In 2016-17, there were 395 overunder lines of 5.0 from start of season through 2/11/17.
In the current season, there are ZERO overunder lines of 5.0 from start of season through 12/22/18.
In 2016-17, there were 3 overunder lines of 6.5 from start of season through 2/11/17.
In the current season, there are 93 overunder lines of 6.5 from start of season through 12/22/18.
As an over bettor I Hate the 6.5s and 3.5 TTS but have been picking my spots, 5.5s is the new 5 now
Me too. However, going back to 11/23 the 5.5s are 32/30, and the 6.5s are 38/22 (YIKES). The 6.0 during that timeframe is 38/46/7. I think I'm going to start heavily taking unders on the 6.0s that originally started at 5.5.
As an over bettor I Hate the 6.5s and 3.5 TTS but have been picking my spots, 5.5s is the new 5 now
Me too. However, going back to 11/23 the 5.5s are 32/30, and the 6.5s are 38/22 (YIKES). The 6.0 during that timeframe is 38/46/7. I think I'm going to start heavily taking unders on the 6.0s that originally started at 5.5.
I hate it since most of the time I’m an Over better... this season I’ve been under betting more often then none
My original ruleset was if its' a 5.0 line, bet the over. If it's a 5.5 line or higher, bet the under. That's all in the garbage this season after overs took the league by storm in 2017-18.
It really seems like:
2016-17 was the year to bet unders for those higher lines.
2017-18 was a year of unprecedented overs, regardless of line.
2018-19?
My theory right now is: Apparently the high scorers are going off, but for 6.0 and under, the unders still have value. Need to think about it some more.
I hate it since most of the time I’m an Over better... this season I’ve been under betting more often then none
My original ruleset was if its' a 5.0 line, bet the over. If it's a 5.5 line or higher, bet the under. That's all in the garbage this season after overs took the league by storm in 2017-18.
It really seems like:
2016-17 was the year to bet unders for those higher lines.
2017-18 was a year of unprecedented overs, regardless of line.
2018-19?
My theory right now is: Apparently the high scorers are going off, but for 6.0 and under, the unders still have value. Need to think about it some more.
Refs call everything esp with the stick aka it's harder to play defense
Yep, slash and hook (obstruction) last year and this year it feels like they ramped up on the interference calls too. So much "easier" for the scorers.
And then the goalie eq adjustment now fully implemented, it really is significantly smaller.
Refs call everything esp with the stick aka it's harder to play defense
Yep, slash and hook (obstruction) last year and this year it feels like they ramped up on the interference calls too. So much "easier" for the scorers.
And then the goalie eq adjustment now fully implemented, it really is significantly smaller.
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