Lay points and win has been the theme as chalk/favorites are now 26-13-1 ATS by my count before closing line ATS as couple favorites were bet up to pushes like Pacers game #3 for sure ended -2 & Sixers game #4 ended -4
Crazy how few teams have covered as dogs when catching points, meaning they lost but covered... It's been T'Wolves game #1, Spurs game #5, Wizards pushed game #1, but closed +7.5, Celtics game #4, & Pacers games #2 & #5 so 5 games mattered with catching points. So maybe 5 games...
Chalk has gone 32-8 SU as only following dogs won SU: Pelicans won twice as dogs vs Blazers Heat once vs Sixers Sixers once vs Heat T'Wolves once vs Rockets Jazz once vs Thunder Pacers once Cavaliers Spurs once vs Warriors.
So I am guessing this trend won't continue were chalk just dominates, but guess we'll see what happens.
Posted this thread on another site and figured I would share fwiw!
I will also say I decided betting dogs blindly past couple nights and it's been really painful.
Not sure it will change either as only 5 out of 40 times did catching points allow you to cover. Has to change a little, but that is absurd as typically it's 77-80% of time you cover, but don't win in NBA playoffs based on a little research.
Lay points and win has been the theme as chalk/favorites are now 26-13-1 ATS by my count before closing line ATS as couple favorites were bet up to pushes like Pacers game #3 for sure ended -2 & Sixers game #4 ended -4
Crazy how few teams have covered as dogs when catching points, meaning they lost but covered... It's been T'Wolves game #1, Spurs game #5, Wizards pushed game #1, but closed +7.5, Celtics game #4, & Pacers games #2 & #5 so 5 games mattered with catching points. So maybe 5 games...
Chalk has gone 32-8 SU as only following dogs won SU: Pelicans won twice as dogs vs Blazers Heat once vs Sixers Sixers once vs Heat T'Wolves once vs Rockets Jazz once vs Thunder Pacers once Cavaliers Spurs once vs Warriors.
So I am guessing this trend won't continue were chalk just dominates, but guess we'll see what happens.
Posted this thread on another site and figured I would share fwiw!
I will also say I decided betting dogs blindly past couple nights and it's been really painful.
Not sure it will change either as only 5 out of 40 times did catching points allow you to cover. Has to change a little, but that is absurd as typically it's 77-80% of time you cover, but don't win in NBA playoffs based on a little research.
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