New England is so dominant off a loss so it's expected that they'll be a popular play this week, but this is a bad spot for my Pats here and I expect them to lose this game SU.
In 3 home games this year, the Pats have trailed by 15 in the fourth quarter to the Chiefs, by 4 in the fourth quarter to the Texans, and by 14 in the fourth quarter to the Panthers. Now we are asking them to have an entire new game plan than they have had in the first four weeks and take it on the road as 6 point favorites, with just 3 days rest.
This will be just the 2nd time hosting a primetime game in the last 5 years for the Bucs, so expect an extremely loud crowd as they host the defending Super Bowl champs in a game where their star running back Doug Martin will be making his season debut. The Bucs have some injuries on D currently, but they have played well so far this season nonetheless and should be able to move the ball at will against this Pats D, especially with an offensive line that is #5th in the league in sacks allowed. Their passing attack has been solid because of it, but their rushing attack is only #26th in the league currently. That'll definitely improve after tonight against this defense and with Doug Martin returning.
Additionally, it looks like Gronkowski is nursing a hamstring injury and is questionable to play. He'll most definitely suit up, but it doesn't look like he'll be 100%. I expect the Pats to annihilate the Jets next week after this 10 days of rest coming up where they can actually have time to put together a new game plan and fix some things. But expecting them to change how they've performed over the first 4 weeks in just 3 days is irrational.
New England is so dominant off a loss so it's expected that they'll be a popular play this week, but this is a bad spot for my Pats here and I expect them to lose this game SU.
In 3 home games this year, the Pats have trailed by 15 in the fourth quarter to the Chiefs, by 4 in the fourth quarter to the Texans, and by 14 in the fourth quarter to the Panthers. Now we are asking them to have an entire new game plan than they have had in the first four weeks and take it on the road as 6 point favorites, with just 3 days rest.
This will be just the 2nd time hosting a primetime game in the last 5 years for the Bucs, so expect an extremely loud crowd as they host the defending Super Bowl champs in a game where their star running back Doug Martin will be making his season debut. The Bucs have some injuries on D currently, but they have played well so far this season nonetheless and should be able to move the ball at will against this Pats D, especially with an offensive line that is #5th in the league in sacks allowed. Their passing attack has been solid because of it, but their rushing attack is only #26th in the league currently. That'll definitely improve after tonight against this defense and with Doug Martin returning.
Additionally, it looks like Gronkowski is nursing a hamstring injury and is questionable to play. He'll most definitely suit up, but it doesn't look like he'll be 100%. I expect the Pats to annihilate the Jets next week after this 10 days of rest coming up where they can actually have time to put together a new game plan and fix some things. But expecting them to change how they've performed over the first 4 weeks in just 3 days is irrational.
I rarely consider betting over a number like 54.5 on principle but I did here. NE problems are primarily on defense. Brady will get his points versus a porous TB secondary and so will Tampa Bay.
So that is another angle to consider for those fearing going up against Brady/NE's incredible record after losses.
I rarely consider betting over a number like 54.5 on principle but I did here. NE problems are primarily on defense. Brady will get his points versus a porous TB secondary and so will Tampa Bay.
So that is another angle to consider for those fearing going up against Brady/NE's incredible record after losses.
Although Pats are an over team, they are have gone under 9 of the last 11 games playing on grass. Add in some rain, a hobbled Gronkowski, and Doug Martin returning and Bucs wanting to run the ball - I would probably have a hard time betting the over
Although Pats are an over team, they are have gone under 9 of the last 11 games playing on grass. Add in some rain, a hobbled Gronkowski, and Doug Martin returning and Bucs wanting to run the ball - I would probably have a hard time betting the over
Although Pats are an over team, they are have gone under 9 of the last 11 games playing on grass. Add in some rain, a hobbled Gronkowski, and Doug Martin returning and Bucs wanting to run the ball - I would probably have a hard time betting the over
I agree, but as bad as NE's defense has been, I would not be shocked if this is a 34-27 type game
Although Pats are an over team, they are have gone under 9 of the last 11 games playing on grass. Add in some rain, a hobbled Gronkowski, and Doug Martin returning and Bucs wanting to run the ball - I would probably have a hard time betting the over
I agree, but as bad as NE's defense has been, I would not be shocked if this is a 34-27 type game
I rarely consider betting over a number like 54.5 on principle but I did here. NE problems are primarily on defense. Brady will get his points versus a porous TB secondary and so will Tampa Bay.
So that is another angle to consider for those fearing going up against Brady/NE's incredible record after losses.
BOL and GLTA.
Completely agree with you that NE problems are on defense. The only caution is they have some talent on that side of the ball and the issues are not one on one match up problems, rather blown coverages and communication. NE will fix their issues one of these weeks. Once they do, their defense is going to be much better. Is it on the short week? Maybe not, but I wouldn't be surprised if NE goes to more man coverage to simplify the thought process..GL on your play..
I rarely consider betting over a number like 54.5 on principle but I did here. NE problems are primarily on defense. Brady will get his points versus a porous TB secondary and so will Tampa Bay.
So that is another angle to consider for those fearing going up against Brady/NE's incredible record after losses.
BOL and GLTA.
Completely agree with you that NE problems are on defense. The only caution is they have some talent on that side of the ball and the issues are not one on one match up problems, rather blown coverages and communication. NE will fix their issues one of these weeks. Once they do, their defense is going to be much better. Is it on the short week? Maybe not, but I wouldn't be surprised if NE goes to more man coverage to simplify the thought process..GL on your play..
No points needed in this one Tampa wins straight up.
Agree to this idea at least. The points DO NOT come into play. The Pats win and cover or the Bucs win, maybe easily. If you like the Bucs play the moneyline.
No points needed in this one Tampa wins straight up.
Agree to this idea at least. The points DO NOT come into play. The Pats win and cover or the Bucs win, maybe easily. If you like the Bucs play the moneyline.
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