2-2 in Week 8, but hit both of the early week $200 plays...so it's a successful week once again. Started the year off with a $2,500 bank and already up 33%...so that's always a good thing. Discipline and doing the same damn thing every damn week has been huge for me...so let's keep it rolling~
As usual, I have NO KNOWLEDGE of what the lines are when I do the projections...I just go on ESPN and look at the schedule for the week.
2-2 in Week 8, but hit both of the early week $200 plays...so it's a successful week once again. Started the year off with a $2,500 bank and already up 33%...so that's always a good thing. Discipline and doing the same damn thing every damn week has been huge for me...so let's keep it rolling~
As usual, I have NO KNOWLEDGE of what the lines are when I do the projections...I just go on ESPN and look at the schedule for the week.
Dallas vs Cleveland Projected O/U (43.5) Actual O/U (48.5)
I get the point that Dallas' offense is clicking right now, but it's still a shorter week for them and the Browns offense is weak at best...27-20 seems high to me, and that would be an under.
Philiadelphia vs NY Giants Projected O/U (48) Actual O/U (43)
Will certainly be dependent on the weather, but it's no secret that the Eagles defense on the road declines severely. The Giants defense isn't as great as it looks on paper...and this is one of those games where both teams should get into the 20's without a big issue...depending on the weather.
Carolina vs LA Rams Projected (-7) Actual (-3)
Interesting line here. Should be a ton of early money on the Panthers...might have to take a 2nd and 3rd look myself. It's a QB mis-match with Cam Newton and his whining against Case Keenum and his inability to throw to his own team. I think the bye week came at the perfect time for the Panthers, and they might be going on a nice streak here. Rams defense is the wild card.
Dallas vs Cleveland Projected O/U (43.5) Actual O/U (48.5)
I get the point that Dallas' offense is clicking right now, but it's still a shorter week for them and the Browns offense is weak at best...27-20 seems high to me, and that would be an under.
Philiadelphia vs NY Giants Projected O/U (48) Actual O/U (43)
Will certainly be dependent on the weather, but it's no secret that the Eagles defense on the road declines severely. The Giants defense isn't as great as it looks on paper...and this is one of those games where both teams should get into the 20's without a big issue...depending on the weather.
Carolina vs LA Rams Projected (-7) Actual (-3)
Interesting line here. Should be a ton of early money on the Panthers...might have to take a 2nd and 3rd look myself. It's a QB mis-match with Cam Newton and his whining against Case Keenum and his inability to throw to his own team. I think the bye week came at the perfect time for the Panthers, and they might be going on a nice streak here. Rams defense is the wild card.
This line is very fishy to me...but I'll bite. The Panthers needed their bye week more than anyone else so far, and came out last week and got their groove back. Newton continues to be a distraction for all the wrong reasons...but as long as he shows up on the field healthy, he's a force.
This line is very fishy to me...but I'll bite. The Panthers needed their bye week more than anyone else so far, and came out last week and got their groove back. Newton continues to be a distraction for all the wrong reasons...but as long as he shows up on the field healthy, he's a force.
Philadelphia vs NY Giants OVER 42.5 ($220 to win $200)
Going with the bigger bet on this one. The Eagles have made it to 20 points in every game so far this season, and the Giants offense should be a lot healthier after their trip to London and bye week. This one should be similar to the Eagles/Cowboys game of last week...both teams get into the 20's, and it comes down to the end.
Philadelphia vs NY Giants OVER 42.5 ($220 to win $200)
Going with the bigger bet on this one. The Eagles have made it to 20 points in every game so far this season, and the Giants offense should be a lot healthier after their trip to London and bye week. This one should be similar to the Eagles/Cowboys game of last week...both teams get into the 20's, and it comes down to the end.
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore OVER 46 ($110 to win $100)
Baltimore Ravens +3.5 ($110 to win $100)
Too tasty of a line here, even with Roethlisberger starting. This is a divisional game, and a matchup that has been overwhelmingly decided by a field goal over the past 5 years. Ravens play close games, the Steelers struggle against teams that are below .500 as well. I fully expect this to be a field goal game either way, and I just had to jump at the 3.5. Took the over because the Steelers force the issue a lot more with Big Ben behind the center. Ravens will have to keep up, and it's about time for Flacco to get some TD passes under his belt.
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore OVER 46 ($110 to win $100)
Baltimore Ravens +3.5 ($110 to win $100)
Too tasty of a line here, even with Roethlisberger starting. This is a divisional game, and a matchup that has been overwhelmingly decided by a field goal over the past 5 years. Ravens play close games, the Steelers struggle against teams that are below .500 as well. I fully expect this to be a field goal game either way, and I just had to jump at the 3.5. Took the over because the Steelers force the issue a lot more with Big Ben behind the center. Ravens will have to keep up, and it's about time for Flacco to get some TD passes under his belt.
New Orleans vs San Francisco OVER 53 ($110 to win $100)
Since the opening night shocker where the Niners shut out the Rams...they have allowed a league worst 36.5 points per game. The Saints will enjoy feasting on this depleted defense. The only worry for me was how many points the Niners could put up...and looking at their schedule, they have scored 17 points or more on a regular basis. 36 and 17 gives us 53...and I'll bump it up a point or two for each.
New Orleans vs San Francisco OVER 53 ($110 to win $100)
Since the opening night shocker where the Niners shut out the Rams...they have allowed a league worst 36.5 points per game. The Saints will enjoy feasting on this depleted defense. The only worry for me was how many points the Niners could put up...and looking at their schedule, they have scored 17 points or more on a regular basis. 36 and 17 gives us 53...and I'll bump it up a point or two for each.
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