#1 San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets > Pick: OVER 186
I think this game could go over the normal line too, but I'm feeling better with a teased one. Since 2009 the line was never under 192 and the points total was never under 190. Both teams are in the top 10 of offensive efficiency and bottom 10 in defensive efficiency. Over is the play here.
Detroit Pistons is the worst team in the NBA hands down. There is no trap in any line for this team. Yesterday Memphis smoked them. Portland is an awful math up for the Pistons, as they have a good offensive flow, are deeper, and... the Trail Blazers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 trips to the Palace. I mean, can you see a pattern here? Portland is 14th in offensive efficiency and 8th in defensive efficiency, while Detroit is 29th in both.
Final odds: -110
Stake: 1 unit
Sorry for the short write-up, but you get the point. Thanks for all the nice posts in the last few days.
Best of luck!
---------------------------------
Record: 99-52 (65.56%) > +34.62 units
NFL: 31-21 > +4.43 units NCAAF: 17-8 > +6.73 units MLB: 16-8-1 > +4.57 units Soccer: 6-3 > +1.6 units NHL: 6-4-1 > +2.14 units NCAAB: 1-0 > +0.91 units
#1 San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets > Pick: OVER 186
I think this game could go over the normal line too, but I'm feeling better with a teased one. Since 2009 the line was never under 192 and the points total was never under 190. Both teams are in the top 10 of offensive efficiency and bottom 10 in defensive efficiency. Over is the play here.
Detroit Pistons is the worst team in the NBA hands down. There is no trap in any line for this team. Yesterday Memphis smoked them. Portland is an awful math up for the Pistons, as they have a good offensive flow, are deeper, and... the Trail Blazers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 trips to the Palace. I mean, can you see a pattern here? Portland is 14th in offensive efficiency and 8th in defensive efficiency, while Detroit is 29th in both.
Final odds: -110
Stake: 1 unit
Sorry for the short write-up, but you get the point. Thanks for all the nice posts in the last few days.
Best of luck!
---------------------------------
Record: 99-52 (65.56%) > +34.62 units
NFL: 31-21 > +4.43 units NCAAF: 17-8 > +6.73 units MLB: 16-8-1 > +4.57 units Soccer: 6-3 > +1.6 units NHL: 6-4-1 > +2.14 units NCAAB: 1-0 > +0.91 units
I like Portland. I think they can blow them out tonight. But NBA can f**k you exactly when you are not prepared. Detroit is in my book the worst team in the league so they should lose this by 10+.
At this moment I have no play that I really like expect this teaser. If by any chance I'll find one more, I'll post it here.
I like Portland. I think they can blow them out tonight. But NBA can f**k you exactly when you are not prepared. Detroit is in my book the worst team in the league so they should lose this by 10+.
At this moment I have no play that I really like expect this teaser. If by any chance I'll find one more, I'll post it here.
I agree with you NF, it's better to stay away from Knicks, at least until they get back on track, ofcourse if they ever do that... now seems a very unpredictable team
I agree with you NF, it's better to stay away from Knicks, at least until they get back on track, ofcourse if they ever do that... now seems a very unpredictable team
Offensive Efficiency: Portland 14th (100.2) / Detroit 29th (92.8)
Defensive Efficiency: Portland 8th (97) / Detroit 29th (106.7)
True shooting %: Portland 20th (51.5) / Detroit 26th (49.8)
Effective FG%: Portland 21st (47) / Detroit 26th (45.6)
Turnover ratio: Portland 3rd (22.7) / Detroit 30th (28.9)
Portland has an average of 94 possessions per game, while Detroit has 87. Also, Portland is a better team to reach the FT line: 24.3 attempts/game, while Detroit has 18.2.
When Detroit is struggling to find a good shot, in the last 3 seconds off the shot clock, they are shooting 37.7% and allowing a whopping 50% on defense in the last 3 seconds off the shot clock. Portland is a good shooting team in their first 10 seconds of the possession, and will have a nice game against this pistons team that is allowing 56.9% in the first 10 seconds when on defense.
Portland is scoring 48.6 ppg when attempting jump shots, while Detroit is scoring just 38.5.
And there are more stats, but you get the point. Going on Portland here but I feel that laying 7.5 points will make me nervous when game time.
@Makaveli: I like it, but not that much to bet on it. It depends what LeBron is feeling about the 76ers. He was clearly on turbo-mode against Kobe. Now he will dominate against who? Iggy? Dunno really.
Offensive Efficiency: Portland 14th (100.2) / Detroit 29th (92.8)
Defensive Efficiency: Portland 8th (97) / Detroit 29th (106.7)
True shooting %: Portland 20th (51.5) / Detroit 26th (49.8)
Effective FG%: Portland 21st (47) / Detroit 26th (45.6)
Turnover ratio: Portland 3rd (22.7) / Detroit 30th (28.9)
Portland has an average of 94 possessions per game, while Detroit has 87. Also, Portland is a better team to reach the FT line: 24.3 attempts/game, while Detroit has 18.2.
When Detroit is struggling to find a good shot, in the last 3 seconds off the shot clock, they are shooting 37.7% and allowing a whopping 50% on defense in the last 3 seconds off the shot clock. Portland is a good shooting team in their first 10 seconds of the possession, and will have a nice game against this pistons team that is allowing 56.9% in the first 10 seconds when on defense.
Portland is scoring 48.6 ppg when attempting jump shots, while Detroit is scoring just 38.5.
And there are more stats, but you get the point. Going on Portland here but I feel that laying 7.5 points will make me nervous when game time.
@Makaveli: I like it, but not that much to bet on it. It depends what LeBron is feeling about the 76ers. He was clearly on turbo-mode against Kobe. Now he will dominate against who? Iggy? Dunno really.
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