With four good defensive teams left in the playoffs and although Green Bay can score, Chicago will be at home outdoors in the elements and New York has already shown ability to win playoff games on the road, even at New England.
So would a 2-Team Teaser of +10.5 CHI / +10.5 NYJ be near automatic ticket and be a fun way to watch just hoping for two close playoff games?
With four good defensive teams left in the playoffs and although Green Bay can score, Chicago will be at home outdoors in the elements and New York has already shown ability to win playoff games on the road, even at New England.
So would a 2-Team Teaser of +10.5 CHI / +10.5 NYJ be near automatic ticket and be a fun way to watch just hoping for two close playoff games?
People were still giving away points with NWE last week, I'm talking about teasing the underdog up to +10.5 in both, which is what bettors did last week with NYJ getting +16 points.
People were still giving away points with NWE last week, I'm talking about teasing the underdog up to +10.5 in both, which is what bettors did last week with NYJ getting +16 points.
Guarantee way more people teased down the Pats to under a field goal.
Didn't say that most people teased the NYJ.
Bottom line is that in playoff games, especially with 4 good defensive teams remaining, teasing the underdog to over double digits seems like a near automatic cover system.
We could all easily agree any of these 4 teams can win this weekend, but I could see the NYJ winning something like 26-21, which kills anyone who teased PITT +4.
Guarantee way more people teased down the Pats to under a field goal.
Didn't say that most people teased the NYJ.
Bottom line is that in playoff games, especially with 4 good defensive teams remaining, teasing the underdog to over double digits seems like a near automatic cover system.
We could all easily agree any of these 4 teams can win this weekend, but I could see the NYJ winning something like 26-21, which kills anyone who teased PITT +4.
I don't think teasing Chicago is a good idea at all. Their QB is still Jay Cutler who is prone to massive mistakes. In addition Green Bay has some big-time players on defense. While I think this game will be close, I could definitely see Green Bay winning in a blow-out. I'm not really partial to teasers at all, but if I was going to tease a team in that game it would probably be Green Bay to +3.5. I can't see Green Bay losing by more than 3.
I don't think teasing Chicago is a good idea at all. Their QB is still Jay Cutler who is prone to massive mistakes. In addition Green Bay has some big-time players on defense. While I think this game will be close, I could definitely see Green Bay winning in a blow-out. I'm not really partial to teasers at all, but if I was going to tease a team in that game it would probably be Green Bay to +3.5. I can't see Green Bay losing by more than 3.
NYJ vs Steelers: Steelers are all banged up at OT and Jets defense is on a roll stopping Manning and Brady. Steelers are 16-4 with Troy Polamolu in the lineup and 6-7 with him out. Thus, I see a defensive struggle and like a FG game 17-14, 20-17 or 13-10. JETS AND UNDER
Packers vs Bears: Aaron Rodgers doesn't light it up vs. the Bears and only has a 80 something passer rating the last 5 games against them. Both defenses can shut the other down and if it's windy with snow I think this goes right down to the wire as well. The edge goes to play makers on offense and defense, the Packers win easily in this category. Driver, Jennings, Jones, Rodgers on one side of the ball and Woodson, Mathews back to back defensive MVP's on the other side. And who do you trust with your money? Rodgers or Cutler? Packers 27-17 or 24-20
NYJ vs Steelers: Steelers are all banged up at OT and Jets defense is on a roll stopping Manning and Brady. Steelers are 16-4 with Troy Polamolu in the lineup and 6-7 with him out. Thus, I see a defensive struggle and like a FG game 17-14, 20-17 or 13-10. JETS AND UNDER
Packers vs Bears: Aaron Rodgers doesn't light it up vs. the Bears and only has a 80 something passer rating the last 5 games against them. Both defenses can shut the other down and if it's windy with snow I think this goes right down to the wire as well. The edge goes to play makers on offense and defense, the Packers win easily in this category. Driver, Jennings, Jones, Rodgers on one side of the ball and Woodson, Mathews back to back defensive MVP's on the other side. And who do you trust with your money? Rodgers or Cutler? Packers 27-17 or 24-20
In the Conf Finals in last 10 years there have been 7 games where the line was 3.5 or less. The actual # of points the dogs lost ( - ) or won ( + ) by
+ 7 -25 - 4 -20 +17 -14 +41
Only 4 of those 7 small dogs would have covered the 10.5 in the teaser you suggested. I'm pretty sure most of those pups were pretty good defensive teams, too. I know it's a small sample size, just pointing out the teaser may not be as "near automatic" as you might think.
In the Conf Finals in last 10 years there have been 7 games where the line was 3.5 or less. The actual # of points the dogs lost ( - ) or won ( + ) by
+ 7 -25 - 4 -20 +17 -14 +41
Only 4 of those 7 small dogs would have covered the 10.5 in the teaser you suggested. I'm pretty sure most of those pups were pretty good defensive teams, too. I know it's a small sample size, just pointing out the teaser may not be as "near automatic" as you might think.
Bottom line is that in playoff games, especially with 4 good defensive teams remaining, teasing the underdog to over double digits seems like a near automatic cover system.
We could all easily agree any of these 4 teams can win this weekend, but I could see the NYJ winning something like 26-21, which kills anyone who teased PITT +4.
Bottom line is that in playoff games, especially with 4 good defensive teams remaining, teasing the underdog to over double digits seems like a near automatic cover system.
We could all easily agree any of these 4 teams can win this weekend, but I could see the NYJ winning something like 26-21, which kills anyone who teased PITT +4.
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