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REC 9-6, +1.19
Previous: HOU -1.5 NYY CLE -1.5
A whiff yesterday. All plays to win 2.29 units. I am also limiting all system chases to 1 round. Win or lose.
Today's Plays: CHW -105 ARI even LAA -106
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Steadyeddie | 14 |
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Lakers |
insatiable | 5 |
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Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:
Posted: 11 minutes ago "Quote" If they can't stop the pick and roll with taj Gibson it's gonna be a long night.....
yep |
FD30 | 37 |
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I mean, c'mon already |
Steadyeddie | 1 |
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I am down with this thread
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dannylhuynh | 3 |
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Props Dutch, Not everyone knows that formula. Thx
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LuckysDad713 | 4 |
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Diggin your thread, man. BOL |
JoeMahirap | 7 |
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I like the idea of dog chases but not sure this would fly. dogs can run, but they run outta gas.
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Chrisb96744 | 184 |
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Bizarre night, Woodie
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ProfitMachine | 107 |
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I like it Chaser. GL |
chaser15 | 92 |
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Quote Originally Posted by mike7002:
Posted: 9 minutes ago "Quote" Nice handicapping; good luck. |
Steadyeddie | 14 |
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REC 9-3, +5.06
Previous: COL PIT CHC
3-0 yesterday, all plays to win 1 unit each.
Today's plays: HOU -1.5 -130 NYY -157 CLE -1.5 even |
Steadyeddie | 14 |
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REC 6-3, +2.06
Previous: COL NYY -1.5 LAD
2-1 yesterday, so all plays are to win 1 unit each.
Today's plays: COL -113 PIT -135 CHC -123 |
Steadyeddie | 14 |
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REC 4-2, +1.28
Previous: NYY MIL LAD
2-1 yesterday, so all plays are to win 1 unit each.
Today's plays: COL -118 NYY -1.5 -125 LAD -122 |
Steadyeddie | 14 |
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CHC Rained out. Replacing that pick with LAD -165 to win 1 unit |
Steadyeddie | 14 |
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REC: 2-1, +.93 CLE OAK LAD Units +.93
2-1 yesterday, so all plays are to win 1 unit each.
Today’s plays: NYY -133 to win 1 unit CHC -165 to win 1 unit MIL -134 to win 1 unit |
Steadyeddie | 14 |
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Hi Danrules24, Appreciate the notes and feedback. You are absolutely right. I thought I explained it the same way, but apologies for any confusion. The scenario you laid out will likely occur, and when it does, the system simply takes the loss. The overall goal is for the successful rounds absorb the unsuccessful rounds. In regards to how the picks are made, there is no formula there - the system is more about the framework than the actual picks.
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Steadyeddie | 14 |
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Breaking out this new system I've been working on. Feel free to follow along with the plays or just track with me, but it should profit with just a 50% win rate, and the lab clears after a winning night. The rules are as follows: #1 - There are 3 plays, each to win a single unit. So, for example, if the spread on one game is -120, the risk for that one game is $12 to win $10 (for a $10 unit) #2 - If the results are 2-1 or 3-0, bank the profit and the next day's games will all risk to win a single unit again. #3 - If the results are 1-2 or 0-3, calculate the day's loss, divide by 3, and add that to the next day's single unit risk. EXAMPLE: If you have 3 plays (1.2 units each) and the plays go 1-2, and you are down 1.2 units for the night. Divide the 1.2 loss for the night by 3 and add that to a unit for the next plays. Next day, risk to win 1.4 units on each play. Repeat until the plays go 2-1 or 3-0.
Tonight's plays: LAD -107 Risk 1.07 to win 1 OAK -150 Risk 1.50 to win 1 CLE -113 Risk 1.13 to win 1
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Steadyeddie | 14 |
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REC 2-1, +.59 Previous: NY HOU Today's plays:
LAD -109 Could be a battle of the bullpens, in which case the Dodgers have a significant advantage. They also have the bats, scoring 14 runs against SF in the last 2 games. Dbacks are also 0-5 in Walker's last 5 starts, and 1-5 in his last 6 home starts. Go blue.
TOR -158 Juice sucks, but then again, so do the Sox on the road. Garcia (Tor) posted good numbers during and the spring and the Jays have been hitting the ball. |
Steadyeddie | 7 |
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HOU -1.5 -120
Defending champs vs the worst team coming out of spring training. The Astros pounded Doug Fister last year (6 ER, 9 hits, 2 BB in 6.2 innings over two games) and the Texas bullpen has major issues. Add to that the fact that Keuchel owned the Rangers last year (2 ER in 18+ innings and 22 SO). Hou can also hit the ball. Take Stros. |
Steadyeddie | 7 |
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