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Many investors worry about which direction a stock price will take when they should worry about the size of the move. That's where volatility comes in Has anybody gotten a chance to read : " Odds, the key to 90% winners " by Don Fishback, an investment strategy which consists of initiating a neutral position by a simultaneous purchase of call and put options ? Strongly recommended to option traders The math may be a little heavy to some but it is possible to write a program using Excel to figure out volatility and play the game
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Nabil | 1 |
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Quote Originally Posted by GrandMasterAL:
FLA: 100.6 R Sanchez (2-2, 3.83 ERA) 1.42 1.38 3.60 W1 7-3 STL: 101.4 L Garcia (4-2, 1.42 ERA) 1.06 1.19 2.55 W2 4-6 +0.8 <5 mph winds E/ NE DET: 98.8 R Verlander (4-2, 3.88 ERA) 1.21 1.28 2.56 L1 6-4 OAK: 102.0 L Braden (4-3, 3.50 ERA) 0.96 1.36 4.31 W2 5-5 +3.2 <10 mph winds W/ SW, 20%-30% rain TOR: 103.4 L Cecil (2-2, 5.46 ERA) 1.29 1.24 3.72 W1 6-4 +5.2 SEA: 98.2 R Fister (3-1, 1.72 ERA) 0.94 1.36 3.74 L4 3-7 10-20 mph winds S/ SW, 90% rain SFO: 101.8 R Wellemeyer (2-3, 5.25 ERA) 1.42 1.38 2.89 W1 5-5 +4.5 ARI: 97.3 R Kennedy (2-2, 3.58 ERA) 1.15 1.64 6.94 L1 2-8 10-5 mph winds W SDG: 102.6 R Garland (4-2, 1.88 ERA) 1.27 1.08 2.83 L1 5-5 +1.9 LAD: 100.7 R Ortiz (1-1, 5.40 ERA) 1.50 1.29 3.89 W9 9-1 <10 mph winds W I've noticed that the website i'm using to get my hour to hour wind info changes every 10 mins.... Earlier the info on texas game said winds blowing south/ southeastish... now i look again and it just says south... Isn't a big deal, but just letting you guys know... when i type 10-5 mph winds, that means the game starts off more windy than the end of the game... and obviously when i say <10 that means less than 10mph winds.
There is one important piece of info you may want to consider adding : number of innings played so far An ERA of 2.00 when a pitcher has pitched only 12 innings can be quite misleading. It is only when the pitcher has pitched 40 or more that the ERA has any meaning.
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Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by GrandMasterAL:
I've been fortunate enough to meet everyone on this site and help me make well informed picks to help pay my rent ... I'm more than happy to post this info everyday. Let me know if you guys would like me to add additional stats to my regular post. I'm thinking about posting teams BAA vs lefties or righties and also key injury reports... i'm definitely no pro at this handicapping stuff which is why i make the extra effort to post all this info and hope someone more knowledgable than myself puts in their 2 cents and POD. PARLAY (6 TEAMS) [910] TOTAL u7½EV (COL ROCKIES vrs CHI CUBS) [914] TOTAL u6½-125 (SFO GIANTS vrs SDG PADRES) [924] NY YANKEES -190( ACTION ) [924] TOTAL u9-105 (BOS RED SOX vrs NY YANKEES) [502] LA LAKERS -310 [505] TOTAL o188-105 (BOS CELTICS vrs ORL MAGIC) 50/1335 [924] NY YANKEES -190( ACTION ) [502] LA LAKERS -310 100/101 [930] OAK ATHLETICS -155(ACTION) 155/100
The format you are using right now is just fine. More than that would be overwhelming. Thanks for the effort |
Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:
Yeah... I'm doing such a horrible job thus far this season Am up 16 units and a system I am tracking is down a huge amount.... -.14 units. What an awful capper I am.... And whether you or anyone else follows... I really don't care
You are up 16 units ??? Oh my ! What an achievement ! You bet on a gazillion games to win 16 units and you are sooo proud about it Talk about a skinny ROI (Return on Investment), so skinny a starving Somalian would look morbidly obese by comparison You are a joke, man. Really |
sparty444 | 13 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:
Bash me all you want ... I take it your tout empire isn't going well? Eccentric system: 4-1 -.14 units This exactly why nobody should be betting this
Tout empire ? Have I sold you picks to accuse me of that ? The time you waste pucking on other people's thread in search of attention (since you can't get it any other way) is a time you could spend improving your silly capping, amateur Once an idiot. Always an idiot |
sparty444 | 13 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:
Eccentric System play: Mariners +138 Rays -1.5 (+159) This is just for record keeping...NOBODY should be playing this
Yeah nobody should be playing this unless you are the United States Congress You enjoy puking on my thread ??? My turn to puke on yours Let me give you a taste of your own medicine |
sparty444 | 13 |
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Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:
Dont flatter your self....your blaming me to not show a system...are you old enough to post on here... let me call your intermediate kidnegarten teacher so she can give hold you back so you dont hurt yourself ... blah blah blah... Your first system didnt come through what makes you think I would use your second system after your ammend it a hundred times... blah blah blah.. Are you afraid that if you post your "system" it wont deliver again and you will have to deal with real haters Ditto.. done talkin about it... Look forward to your future "wonder systems"
When I stopped discussing baseball in this thread like I said I would for reasons you know, my record was 5-2 which is above the 70% range like I predicted. I delivered just like I said I would You are an idiot and you will always be an idiot It takes an idiot to believe that " a team winning the first game of a series stands a pretty good chance to win the series " is actually a trend and not silly logic
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Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:
20 visits to what? Are you on crack?
Come on now. Be a good boy and take a hike Let the guys in here focus on capping Aren't you supposed to call Congress ? They are waiting for your picks of the day |
Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:
Good luck with your tout empire I'm sure your the best in the business
I am the best at kicking your butt and reminding you what a pathetic poster you are 20 visits ! Keep it up. With a little chance, you will get 25 visits by 2012 right about the time the Mayan calendar expires |
Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:
Yeah...am only up 18 units...how terrible
Up 18 units in your dreams |
Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:
I couldn't care less actually....unlike you I actually play my picks. Maybe you should try it sometime...instead of trying to con others
Playing your picks ??? LOL I am suspecting Congress to be doing just that which would explain the huuuge budget deficit |
Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:
I suspect that anyone who disagrees with you is silly. And anyone who questions is a hater. Go start your cult following somewhere else... because nobody is drinking the kool-aid here
Go start my cult somewhere else ? This isn't a cult. This is sharing ideas. Something you know nothing about. Which would explain why the threads you start are sooo pathetic and don't get more than 20 or 30 visits |
Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:
Why don't you get a website and call it Nabiltown? Am sure you can get everyone to drink the kool-aid that is your b.s. system
Hey dude ! I just visited your page and I looked at all the threads you started and see how successful they were Oh nooooo ! You poor thing I couldn't find a thread that received 200 or 300 visits Most of them receive 20 or 30 visits It looks like nobody finds you interesting. In other words, nobody cares. Nobody gives a rat's ass about you have to say You poor, poor thing |
Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:
You were just attacking somebody who had been posting and helping this b.s. stuff for weeks Your not related to Jim Jones are you Nabil?
I am not attacking anybody. I am cleaning the thread Silly trends have no place here Silly people like you either BS stuff for weeks ? lol Tell that to the 40,000 people who visited this thread since it was posted a month ago. |
Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:
Nabil having his tout meltdown Was just a matter of time before he started to turn on other posters
Haters like you and glefkb01 are the reason why so many good cappers have left Covers to seek refuge somewhere else where men still act like men
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Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:
Nabil having his tout meltdown Was just a matter of time before he started to turn on other posters
A meltdown ??? Where ? I am not turning on other posters. I am disciplining the morons like you who, unable to pick winners, hate instead Hate ! That's something you know a lot about.
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Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:
Quote Originally Posted by Nabil:
Dude ! Since you seem to like idiotic trends, here is one for you : " Anybody who takes a shower stands a 100% chance of getting wet" DUDE... What is your problem? You are twisting what I am saying, PLEASE tell me where I claimed that the Team to win game 1 will win the series. I have never claimed that. Idiot, you are the idiot if you want to keep arguing about something that you claimed i said that I didnt. This thread which you stopped contributing too, talks about RANKINGS. I am claiming that a ranking team that wins game 1 goes on to win 1 of the next 2 games... YES its that simple. Much similar to your claim, if you trend it, the a TEAM with the highest point differential will go on to win the series 70% of the time... which doesnt happen. YOU DID SAY THAT... ITS IN THE TITLE OF THE FRIEKEN THREAD, and this statement I found to be inaccurate... That means wrong incorrect and will cost you money if you follow it. Then you added to your claim by adding rules and adding rules and then you wont share any rules cause you got the boot. IF ANYTHING I HAVE SAID SO FAR IN WRONG, Please tell me. Your adding of rules around page 8 or so stated to selectively pick games... so what is wrong with passin game 1 and poounding game 2 or 3.. based on what I am saying and have proof of it...works 80% of the time. Much like what I claim, I have backed up. Everyone in here is looking up ranks everyday now and discussing. Theres only 5-7 people following this trend and contributing and YOU are the only one bashing me... I remember back when you began this there were more that thought you were a HUGE IDIOT and let you know and left this thread. I only stick around to credit you for the ranking website, but that it.
I got the boot ? Really ? When did that happen ? Am I not talking to you, clown ? Am I not here expressing myself ? When I tell you that you are a certifiable idiot, take my word for it
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Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:
Quote Originally Posted by Nabil:
Dude ! Since you seem to like idiotic trends, here is one for you : " Anybody who takes a shower stands a 100% chance of getting wet" DUDE... What is your problem? You are twisting what I am saying, PLEASE tell me where I claimed that the Team to win game 1 will win the series. I have never claimed that. Idiot, you are the idiot if you want to keep arguing about something that you claimed i said that I didnt. This thread which you stopped contributing too, talks about RANKINGS. I am claiming that a ranking team that wins game 1 goes on to win 1 of the next 2 games... YES its that simple. Much similar to your claim, if you trend it, the a TEAM with the highest point differential will go on to win the series 70% of the time... which doesnt happen. YOU DID SAY THAT... ITS IN THE TITLE OF THE FRIEKEN THREAD, and this statement I found to be inaccurate... That means wrong incorrect and will cost you money if you follow it. Then you added to your claim by adding rules and adding rules and then you wont share any rules cause you got the boot. IF ANYTHING I HAVE SAID SO FAR IN WRONG, Please tell me. Your adding of rules around page 8 or so stated to selectively pick games... so what is wrong with passin game 1 and poounding game 2 or 3.. based on what I am saying and have proof of it...works 80% of the time. Much like what I claim, I have backed up. Everyone in here is looking up ranks everyday now and discussing. Theres only 5-7 people following this trend and contributing and YOU are the only one bashing me... I remember back when you began this there were more that thought you were a HUGE IDIOT and let you know and left this thread. I only stick around to credit you for the ranking website, but that it.
And by the way, don't hold your breath I am not going to disclose my total system Thanks to you Do you honestly think I am going to describe that system so that haters like you can use it ? I am not that stupid
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Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:
Quote Originally Posted by Nabil:
Dude ! Since you seem to like idiotic trends, here is one for you : " Anybody who takes a shower stands a 100% chance of getting wet" DUDE... What is your problem? You are twisting what I am saying, PLEASE tell me where I claimed that the Team to win game 1 will win the series. I have never claimed that. Idiot, you are the idiot if you want to keep arguing about something that you claimed i said that I didnt. This thread which you stopped contributing too, talks about RANKINGS. I am claiming that a ranking team that wins game 1 goes on to win 1 of the next 2 games... YES its that simple. Much similar to your claim, if you trend it, the a TEAM with the highest point differential will go on to win the series 70% of the time... which doesnt happen. YOU DID SAY THAT... ITS IN THE TITLE OF THE FRIEKEN THREAD, and this statement I found to be inaccurate... That means wrong incorrect and will cost you money if you follow it. Then you added to your claim by adding rules and adding rules and then you wont share any rules cause you got the boot. IF ANYTHING I HAVE SAID SO FAR IN WRONG, Please tell me. Your adding of rules around page 8 or so stated to selectively pick games... so what is wrong with passin game 1 and poounding game 2 or 3.. based on what I am saying and have proof of it...works 80% of the time. Much like what I claim, I have backed up. Everyone in here is looking up ranks everyday now and discussing. Theres only 5-7 people following this trend and contributing and YOU are the only one bashing me... I remember back when you began this there were more that thought you were a HUGE IDIOT and let you know and left this thread. I only stick around to credit you for the ranking website, but that it.
Take a hike, man Get lost Start your own thread and puke over there with your silly trends : " A team winning the first game of the series stands a pretty good chance to win the Series " You're a certifiable idiot. Really Start your own thread to keep track of your idiotic trend and so that I can laugh at your sorry ass when it falls apart. What a clown |
Nabil | 1625 |
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Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:
EXACTLY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! All i am doing is posting info on rankings.. I have not fabricated anything... When Nabil started here... I followed. He singled out games and stated you could predict series with ranking differentials... Although he didnt do very well when I trended his series predictions... he picked a couple winners and got booted off. He started the hating when I said his series prediction wasnt working. People seemed to appreciate my trending so I continue to find value in following SIXTEN and peeps like that. I dont hate Nabil... I just am not going to sit here and take crap from him twisting what I am saying. Arguing back and forth is diverting from this thread.
Dude ! Since you seem to like idiotic trends, here is one for you : " Anybody who takes a shower stands a 100% chance of getting wet" Try to make a few pennies betting on that one
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Nabil | 1625 |
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