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Welcome back SNAP, enjoy your analysis and picks.
I question about the odds on your Totals. Do you look for a percentage on the odds before you decide. Example - on the Cin/Wsh U8, -110 does your model consider the -110 as being +ve to your line?
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SnapSports | 56 |
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Good start to MLB 2013, looking forward to your handicapping and betting strategy post. Totals is a tough log and you have shown some good insight.
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SnapSports | 983 |
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As noted by Weiss'r Si1ly has his own website Breakdownsheets.com and won't be posting sheets until May because he needs a month's worth of data to validate his SBR metrics.
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needAbreak | 12 |
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[tucksnipez89] Being from Ontario as you are try both Pinnacle and Bodog.
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moho | 78 |
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OLG will never have NBA until the original government agreement with NBA is rescinded. One condition that Toronto got the franchise was no betting on NBA by provincially run lotteries, etc. Other provinces don't have the restriction.
If you follow the New Jersey legal gambling battle you will see the NBA against allowing one-game betting so I doubt the NBA would change their stance in Ontario.
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moho | 78 |
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Leave your money in your wallet until the hitters get some warm weather.
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jster | 3 |
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Iowa St. (-3.5) @ home over Okst. (PF-PA L5) Okst 73.2-63.2, Iwst 84.2-65.7 (15-1 @ home) Minn -7.5 rolls @ Nbrk. Minn playing quality D and scoring lately. |
neilirwinhodge | 30 |
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smuv14u,
Si1ly is the master at MLB - check his record on other threads. Many of his followers have enjoyed the riches from his spreadsheets, including yours truly. He usually posts his record at the beginning of a thread.
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si1ly | 305 |
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Hope the Si1ly returns after a regrouping. His analysis is excellent.
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TheSource2Win | 5 |
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Thanks for the data sheets today. You have many supporters and I hope you can put yesterday's nuisance behind you. True sports betting people understand the daily grind and the peaks and valleys that the journey takes us on. Continued success in your endeavours and keep the faith - good days will return. |
si1ly | 36 |
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First time poster but have followed this space for a couple of months and wish to add my compliments for your great informational data and analysis.
One question about situation analysis in your win probability. In the CLE/DET game today Pinnacle has DET (-205) and your P= -204 (67.1%). Since DET has lost the first two @ home, does your model account for the non-sweep situation? I believe that the Pinnacle line would incorporate this into their thinking.
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si1ly | 30 |
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