Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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#freeboykin |
Covers | 29 |
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Buffalo have quietly covered 3 spreads, by significant margins
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Covers | 5 |
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is Martin Jones a go for tonight?
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Covers | 5 |
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Regression was bound to hit Darcy, just didn't expect it all in one period.
Anyone think they sit him for this one before the 3 game home stretch?
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Covers | 5 |
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Quote Originally Posted by maidenryche: calling the first upset of the tournament-- Harvard +2 1/2 and ML with all respect if Harvard wins, its not really that extreme of upset, nor should they be considered a Cinderella The players on Harvard were higher profile recruits coming out of high school. Cincy mostly 3 stars I believe, while Saunders has a 4star guy I would give Amaker a slight edge over Cronin (although he's a good coach) Should be a good game though, Harvard deserved a higher seed and easier opponent
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Covers | 7 |
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Perhaps one of the best matches (and not over yet) I've seen this year.
You won't really get a player as enjoyable to watch on tactical level like Radwanska in ATP. Not as strong as the other girls but very smart in her approach She will take points off to pace herself
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kiki182 | 6 |
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Quote Originally Posted by bakemcbride: Vegas doesn't set soccer lines... above is correct vegas doesn't really set anything except hotel discounts
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TipsForYou | 16 |
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I could be wrong
but the last time we had a 20 point spread was in 2008 Heat on back to backs w/o wade
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Covers | 15 |
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lol books catching on to the Sunday T.O. hangover angle
Use to be a solid angle, (Toronto and Atlanta) being two of the more popular road places for NBA players.
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Covers | 6 |
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big Pep Guardiola homer, but have to admit that Carlo's side in the spanish capital has the tactical know how to stop this machine
Don't count out awful Chelsea or even Atletico over two legs. They incorporate catenaccio at its very best and this was what beat previous Pep Squads. And as we know in the later stages of the CL, its often not the best teams that advance and that 50% of goals come down to chance or luck Pep is dealing with much better talent here than at Barca though cheers
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ksb | 5 |
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by post christmas, I'm talking about those two games for Liverpool at the end of DEC
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totallypsycho | 74 |
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good plays, think teams have slowly adjusted to Pochettino after their crazy start
too bad about their post xmas schedule or they might be top of the table, but thats the BPL for you, more about money and marketing than actual quality of play
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totallypsycho | 74 |
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Quote Originally Posted by composite: Does anyone know why the line is moving toward Troyes? Angers is in 2nd place in Ligue 2. Troyes is in 9th. The match is at Angers. Over 2 days or so, the line moved from Troyes ML +325 to Troyes +150. Troyes on the PK (or DNB) line is now -130. Troyes has won 2 out of 12 away matches. Now people expect them to beat the #2 team? On the road? Angers had a couple injuries on D in Ligue 2 (and Serie B) the majority of sharp action is usually on the draw or under, any move on the dog to win is usually correlated with significant money on the draw Leagues like this and Serie B (and I'll even put Segunda in the same realm) you have to be really careful as there are a lot of fixes or guys simply not caring. Also even if the match is 100% clean, the tactics used in Ligue 2 are meant to avoid losing as opposed to going for the win rate of draws is currently 31.9% cheers
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composite | 2 |
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Quote Originally Posted by nowitsover: its a great site...but i dont see where the betting public is putting their money...is it on here? any site that has that info wouldn't be 100% accurate and I don't think any of the sites above do what you were asking the closest you are going to to an accurate read on %s of money on games is to use Betfair's Market Activity graph Select any particular market and it will give you the volume for each side. Then you can just work out the %s there ie) I'll use a current low volume match Mallorca v Barcelona B 1x2 market $126 on Mallorca to win $274 on the Draw $129 on Barca B to win So you can just do the math and see that 51% of the action is on the draw cheers
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nowitsover | 9 |
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and just as i talk it bounces back up to -7, maybe he is playing
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Covers | 9 |
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ewing theory on this one?
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Covers | 9 |
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And there is your line drop -7.5 to -5.5, indicating Dragic probably out
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Covers | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by HellHook33: The basis of your fade is analogies with completely unrelated sports? they are unrelated sports, but not unrelated situations
but I'm thinking in terms of price and hype (regardless of sports) All examples above, provided ridiculous value, and what did all 3 have in common ( bad or inexperienced coach, big name signings, no chemistry) 12/13 Lakers (Howard, Nash, Mike Brown) 13/14 Brooklyn Nets (team that would've won the NBA 2008 title) 2013 Blue Jays (Reyes, Dickey) 2014 (Defoe, Bradley, Julio Cesar) |
realvalentin | 6 |
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I'm not saying they won't be good. I completely agree they will fight for a playoff spot (well every team will, thats the way the league is structured)
but I'm seeing similarities to 12/13 Lakers 13/14 Brooklyn Nets 2013 Blue Jays and also I'm looking at it through what their market price will be during the first two months. If the MLS were more popular I could see hyper inflation on TFC to win, but most books understand that the majority of MLS bettors aren't recreational anyways 0-0 today, but team did look better. |
realvalentin | 6 |
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if you are new to soccer/ futbol wager, I would recommend taking a strategy of backing the draw for 1 year, even if you end up with a losing season and don't follow a similar strategy in the future
Why? - You'll learn more about probabilities more than any other market - When looking for draws, you'll learn tactical parts about the game that aren't talked about as much in the press - you will pick up on coaching philosophies - you will learn the art of dealing with long losing streaks, but understand to look at thing long term trust me its fun being the only person in the bar going insane after a 0-0 result
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RandallArthur | 10 |
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