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Arizona St
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FRANKtheBANKss | 10 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Dodgy: no, what I am saying is that if the Fav has a lower rating 5 points lower, then is its 90%. most of the time, the higher rating is the fav. Point speads are made using these ratings, then adjusted from that point in accordance the situation.(injury, practice time, coaching, weather, ect)
So, you are saying that when there is at least a 5 point delta between Sagarin and Vegas the FAVORITE is ATS 90%??? |
MEGALOCKS | 416 |
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Mega, got a situation on Middle Tenn and Marshall.About 3 weeks ago we discussed Sagarin ratings. We both use it. We had Navy as fav playing AF at 11. Navy's rating was lower. I use a 5 point difference. Navy won ATS. Then we had South Fl at home vs Syracuse. South Fl rating was at least 5 lower as Fav. South Fl win ATS. Tou liked Syracuse in that one . We discussed that game. We have had a few more like this year and many over the years. There is a bout a 90% accuracy rate on taking the lower rating in these situations. Now we have Marshall as dawg with the higher rating at Middle Tenn. System says to take Middle Tenn. I'm trying to get to the 100% accuracy rate for my parlay and this is one of my picks. Only been studying college football since 1983 but never have hit my 10 team parlay. Hit plenty of nine and eight team parlay. Could I please have your opinion on this game. As mush as you write , I know you put in a lot of ours studying games and Thank you. I'm asking you because you are a better capper than me right as I am learning more from your discussions. Thanks again
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MEGALOCKS | 416 |
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MEGA What is your take on the Syracuse 70/ S Florida 63 Sargin ratings. & point diff but S. Florida is -3. Last week we had Navy/Air Force in this situation. Ive found that anything of a 5 pt difference is good indicator. the diff id 10 here. **Find the illusion, you find the winner** . What your take. |
MEGALOCKS | 251 |
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North Carolina may be the best pick on the card this week.
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WISEGUY36 | 39 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:
Lets put it together and get ready to roll! San Diego St +7 Texas +7.5 Georgia -12 Rutgers -4.5 Wake Forest +7 Baylor +9.5 Michigan St -1.5 Alabama -25.5 Wyoming -10.5 Wisconsin -39.5 Ohio St +4 Kansas St +3.5 Oklahoma -35 Hope you're not against too many of these. BOL!
Please take Rutgers of the list. They will not outscopre Navy |
BigUnit | 38 |
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