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@packersbackers Sounds like a good plan. Good luck to you! |
packersbackers | 28 |
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@packersbackers Are you still thinking Eagles will win? Do you think they will cover the spread? |
packersbackers | 28 |
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@packersbackers Eagles are the team! |
packersbackers | 33 |
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@kiwi4617
@packersbackers Yes!! Congratulations |
packersbackers | 33 |
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@packersbackers We won the first one! One more |
packersbackers | 33 |
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@packersbackers Good luck and thanks! |
packersbackers | 33 |
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@packersbackers Any opinion with the points? I always enjoy your posts. |
packersbackers | 33 |
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Actually, odds say bet the favorite and under or dog and over parlay.
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EastsideBangers | 14 |
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replied to
SAN JOSE STATE @ FRESNO STATE: They'll say "It's a coin flip! You're losin' it Scal!" I say
in College Football Hey, What do you think about the Wisconsin game?
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scalabrine | 157 |
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Thanks.... |
pucku27 | 23 |
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Are they playing Navy?
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pucku27 | 23 |
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What is C. Mich? If it's Central Michigan, they are getting +14 |
pucku27 | 23 |
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Look again...he parlayed SF RL, Atlanta and St. Louis
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pucku27 | 15 |
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Very windy in Chicago.....be careful!
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pucku27 | 25 |
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DARTMOUTH @ PRINCETON -19
Wow, Princeton's giving 19 points?! That is so many points, especially considering that this game will only play to 55 possessions a side or so. And the worst part is, I still lean Princeton (although I probably won't play it). Emotionally, Princeton had an interesting week last weekend. They had their hopes and dreams crushed last Friday night when they lost another close game to Cornell, ending their bid to win the league. I honestly didn't know how they would respond to that the next night against Columbia, and while they came out real sluggish and trailed in the early minutes, they rebounded nicely to pull away for an easy win. I'd like to think that they have come to terms with it and want to finish the season strong, continuing to build what they started this year and take the positive momentum they created this year into the offseason, when they should be the Ivy favorite next year (Cornell is graduating its whole team basically). It's a young team that I was worried about last Saturday, but they surprised me by maintaining their focus, and with a whole week now to process things and move on, they should be in a good place coming into their final few home games. Dartmouth, meanwhile, seemed to play with no energy last weekend. Despite being at home for the last time all year and with their two best remaining chances at a win, they played with zero energy and intensity. I hate to say this about kids that obviously care a lot, but collectively they seem to have quit in the sense that they've been beaten down emotionally by this absolutely horrendous season, playing for one of the worst teams in D-1 and playing for the worst team in school history. Their hearts may be in the right place, but objectively I feel like the will to fight has been sucked out of them and that they just can't wait for this last road trip and the season to end. In their last game, you might recall that I made Dartmouth +11 one of my big plays. I was banking on Princeton being in a real bad letdown spot, Dartmouth playing hungry after a heartbreaker the night before, and Saturday night Ivy League road fatigue (especially from a team that had given so much the night before against Harvard). The game played out exactly like I thought it would for a half, with Princeton coming out extremely sluggish and Dartmouth fighting hard at home. I even think Dartmouth took a 2 point lead into the locker room at half. But in the second half, Princeton's defense really stepped up for them and held Dartmouth to some ridiculous (15 or 17 points for the half- something like that), allowing them to pull away for the win and cover, and handing me my only loss on a big play in the league all season. The story of this game will likely be much like the story of that second half. Princeton's defense has been so good and so consistent all year. It forces turnovers, it defends the interior, and it forces its opponent to take tough, low-percentage shots from the outside. This is especially problematic for Dartmouth, which almost never shoots from the outside and can't make shots at all when they do. The over/under on Dartmouth points tonight is realistically probably around 40. So the question becomes can Princeton hit 60 points in 54ish possessions. Dartmouth's defense isn't actually terrible (it's merely really bad), so it'll be close. Princeton will be playing loose, and if they shoot well from the outside they should get there (since they'll definitely get a few easy buckets inside against Dartmouth's terrible interior defense). I dunno. I lean Princeton and couldn't possibly play Dartmouth. But that's a few points too many for me probably backing a team that's not really playing for anything. I doubt I make a play here. |
Dmon826 | 53 |
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COLUMBIA @ YALE -6
Well this game is really hard to figure. It features the two (by far) most inconsistent Ivy teams, so let me say right up front that this is gonna be a no-play for me. There's too many aspects of this matchup I'm having a tough time figuring out. So instead I'm going to spout some random facts and thoughts, and you can do with them what you'd like: -Columbia's coach and Yale's coach are brothers. They both talk up the sibling rivalry and both care a lot about this matchup, so even though their seasons only have two days left, both coaches at least will have done their best to try to get their teams ready for this one. -Yale broke for Spring Break today, so while they normally have a decent home court edge, the students probably won't be a huge contributing factor today. -Yale's home court is really strange. It looks like a cathedral, and from what I hear it's a somewhat difficult shooting background. Road teams tend to irrationally struggle there. I've seen plenty of good Ivy League teams struggle in that place over the years, and this Columbia team isn't good at all. -In their first matchup in Columbia, Yale won the game 79-64. On offense, they killed Columbia by getting to the free throw line and hitting the offensive glass. Columbia really struggled with Yale's aggressive style. On defense, Columbia shot like crap and couldn't get anything going. If I had to go entirely off my gut feeling, I'd say that Yale probably wins at home against a team it's better than. But given the wide range of possible outcomes and these teams' inconsistency in general, I'm personally not going anywhere near it. |
Dmon826 | 53 |
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HARVARD @ PENN +8
Well in my totally biased opinion, this is the most interesting matchup of the night. Penn's not playing for anything but pride (although I mean that in a positive way with this team), but Harvard has a decent bit more on the line. This is Harvard's best team in school history, and all the talk surrounding the program this week has been about the chance that it could make the NIT if it sweeps this weekend. While it may not sound like much, the team seems very excited about the possibility of postseason play at the second-highest level and it has very much set that as a goal. Penn comes into this one off a road sweep at the hands of Columbia and Cornell, and their mid-season revival seems over as they come limping to the finish line. The heart is still there and they're still really playing hard for Coach Allen, but the bodies and talent just isn't there right now. Their starters are being worked extensively because there's really nobody backing them up because of all the injuries, and it's at the point where some of the bench minutes are coming from a guy who was on JV a few weeks ago and two of the three healthy big men are playing through injuries. And I don't think they'll get much of a boost from the home crowd tonight, as the student section will be nearly absent (Spring Break starts today) and it's been a sad atmosphere at home all year. Harvard has regained its swagger and is also starting to get its big men healthy. Last weekend they had an impressive home sweep over Brown and Yale in which they routed both teams, giving them 4 blowout wins in their last 5 (with a loss to Cornell as the only other game). They responded extremely well to the Cornell loss and being eliminated from Big Dance contention, and have refocused their energies on the NIT. Harvard poses all sorts of matchup problems for Penn. The way they attack the basket offensively will give this Penn team all sorts of trouble, as Penn struggles to defend against penetration and has nobody to defend the rim. Penn really has problems defensively against this kind of aggressiveness. And on the other end, Harvard does a real nice job of taking away the three point line, where many of Penn's points come from. The one Harvard defensive weakness that Penn could take advantage of its Harvard's foul-proneness (since Penn is such a good FT shooting team), but with nobody other than Rosen capable of penetrating or creating off the dribble, it shouldn't be too big of an issue. Harvard will come marching into the Palestra tonight seeking its first season sweep of Penn since 1942, and personally I think they'll get it. The lean is Harvard even laying the points. A perhaps more interesting possibility that I'm seriously considering is a Harvard-Cornell teaser. We'll see. |
Dmon826 | 53 |
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CORNELL @ BROWN +13.5
Let's start today off with the matchup that matters the most. With Cornell two games ahead of the pack with two games to play, tonight is Clinch Night. Win and they're in (the Big Dance). In the coming days, we're all going to see that "Punched Their Ticket" graphic on ESPN showing which teams have locked up an automatic bid over and over again, and tonight Cornell has the chance to be the first to put themselves on that list. By now we all know that Cornell is really, really good (I hope) and they're back to playing near the top of their game after a little bit of a swoon in the middle of the Ivy season. But, Brown has been quietly been playing really good ball (especially offensively) the past few weeks and has been my primary money-maker over that span, going 3-0 for me when I've played them including last Saturday night at Dartmouth. They're definitely the most under-valued team by Vegas at the moment. In the first matchup of these two teams at Cornell, Brown gave this team all sorts of problems for some reason. Well, the main reason was that Cornell had its worst shooting game of its Ivy League season if you exclude the two Princeton games. Brown was right there the entire first half, actually leading most of it, and Cornell wasn't able to pull away until late. That game was actually something of a turning point for this Brown team, who started playing much better with that game and has been pretty good ever since (getting healthy around that time is a factor too, I'm sure). But despite that first game, Cornell matches up nicely with Brown. Brown's offense largely goes through Mullery in the center spot, and Cornell's Jeff Foote can take away much of his scoring (although Mullery is a great passer too). And Cornell does a decent job of preventing teams from shooting a lot of threes, which Brown loves to do. And when Cornell's on offense, their excellent outside game ought to be much better this time around against Brown, as their shooting has been much better of late. As much as I like this Brown team right now, I don't think they can stop Cornell from clinching tonight. I also doubt this game will still be undecided in the final minutes, but I could see it landing anywhere between a 7 point game and a 25 point game. I think I lean Cornell here. |
Dmon826 | 53 |
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From Dmon:
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Dmon826 | 53 |
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Sorry for the double post.
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kiwi4617 | 18 |
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