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combined system responsibility:(c-l+3e-3)=7wins
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sports_Network | 2244 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network: MLB system releases Friday 05/15/09: "Cut" version....
Royals-105 RL
Tigers-144
Giants-165
Twins vs Yankees UNDER 10.5
Reds vs Padres OVER 8
Brewers vs Cardinals UNDER 9
reference:six "cut" from the top / 15 ....... I read lot, I'm trying, working really hard and thing I can finally see some progress. There is still big potential in the final cut every day. I'd like see the results for all that games playing only for 5 inn. I also don't like play home favorite OVER because of potentially losing bottom of the 9th inn. Almost everywhere I founded similar note to: "To calculate individual BaseRuns, one must calculate team BaseRuns with and without the player's statistics included in team totals; the difference between the two will be the number of BaseRuns that the individual player has contributed to the team." ...and it seems like big TRUE. Simply use the formula for individual calculation? Not sure. BaseRuns look more like created for strictly team calculation, but I'm definitely not the right person to say this or this or this way Anyway, thank you again for this great idea and big motivation for the whole baseball season |
sports_Network | 2244 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BillWag27: Also, maybe even factoring in the umpires over/under ats ...and the weather, time, lunch before the game |
sports_Network | 2244 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BillWag27: More info and education: https://www.tangotiger.net/markov.html https://css.answerbag.com/articles/How-to-Calculate-Runs-Created-in-Baseball/a1e320b4-8bd2-c8db-8524-1b046219a874 https://philliesblog.blogspot.com/2006/05/baseruns-battingruns-runs-created.html https://ownersedge.fanball.com/article/2009/1/Runs-Created-2008-Review https://ownersedge.fanball.com/article/2009/1/Runs-Created-Per-Game-2008-Review Very helpful! Especially the one from philliesblog! Thank you |
sports_Network | 2244 |
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Quote Originally Posted by rman1049: Once we can figure out the exact formula through trial and error, then we will need somebody with the computer skills to put it in an excel format so it does not take hours to compute each day...
Any computer software experts out there have any suggestions???
I will send a few friend requests out so we can try to develop this further...
Great work so far guys, I have been tied up with work to get deep into this, trying to start reading the book first...
Then onto calculations, sounds like you guys are making some progress!!!
Continued success!!!
I'm ready. I've got time enough, computer skills and good friends, who can create excel file or program to calculate fast and simple. I strongly believe in math and stats, but I'm former pro basketball coach from EU and don't understand baseball enough for successfully using this formula :( And its also very difficult for me to read all that articles and books about baseball, because of the very specific English terms :( |
sports_Network | 2244 |
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I'm ready. I've got time enough, computer skills and good friends, who can create excel file or program to calculate fast and simple. I strongly believe in math and stats, but I'm former pro basketball coach from EU and don't understand baseball enough for successfully using this formula :(
And its also very difficult for me to read all that articles and books about baseball, because of the very specific English terms :( |
sports_Network | 2244 |
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wow!
100 more plays with the same winning ratio and you can start serious and very successful business as the sports adviser . I'd be the first subscriber! great job! thank you |
sports_Network | 2244 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network: 04/30/09:MLB, Base_Runs sabermetric system/formula
Assessment on consistency, for the record, their have been 42 instances/plays 30 advantages/wins 71%.......
Phase I A's+120
Phase II Pirates+120
A's+109
Phase III Nationals+155
Phase IV DevilRays+105
Phase V Cubs-120
Phase VI Nationals+166
As indicated above, each phase has produced it's strongest lean in the form of a "value" play(dog) with 100% consistency 7-0 . ooops. what's this???? this is too much for me. or I missed something? how the "phase" works??? gl to all! and be patient ;) |
sports_Network | 2244 |
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Anyway, basketball season is over and I'm looking for somebody, who can help me make the same money true the summer. I love baseball and football, bat I lived my whole life in Europe and need some advise :)
And this system looks..... no bad :) In MLB I believe strongly in stats, stats, stats. Sometimes is lot of work, but in this league makes sense! So good luck to all and I'll wait for the next posts. But remember. In this business, if something works, you can always get more money if you sell your pics :) And if it works permanently, stay home and don't tell anybody! Or... come visit me in Vegas and we can do business ;) |
sports_Network | 2244 |
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Quote Originally Posted by NewZealandPride: Sorry for being a nub, but I'm from New Zealand therefore we don't use the american system of betting.
So, I assume when you have Mets-174, it means, for every dollar you invest in that option, you will get $0.74 return? and when there is a plus like Washington+166, it means, for every dollar you invest, you will get $1.66 return? Hi there. I was the same, when I came to USA :) But it's pretty easy to explaine. -174 means you need bet 174 to win 100 (1.57 decimal odd) +166 means, that when you bet 100, you'll win 166 (netto) (2.66 decimal odd) I know, it's stupid like all that american system :) |
sports_Network | 2244 |
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