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hey mellowman last week it was colder raining and windier and the over crushed in buffalo, dont let the weather play a factor in your over/under decision....everytime i post in here about buffalo im right...check my history...the bills r exactly this, they beat who they are suppose to and lose to who they r suppose to with 1 exception this year,(tennessee), with the weather conditions which buffalo plays in and stl doesnt the obvious choice is buffalo, stl is overachieving and are coming off way too much of an emotional win, look for big let down by stl...
buffalo-31 st.louis-20 |
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well i must say i follow my own personal trends, and for this 1 its....A) monday night hits overs 75%...B) 2nd meetings of divisional team goes toward the team who didnt cover the 1st time, 85%....therefore nyg and over tonight
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well im pretty good at these things guys, look at some good hard facts, 1st off the under hits 70% of the time on thursday night excluding thanksgiving games, neither team has had a game go 56 pts either...lean way towards the under....as far as the spread goes, when 2 teams in a division play each other who r playoffs teams usually they split, atl won the 1st one...atl clinches a playoff spot with a win this week, teams who can clinch a playoff spot early tend to drop an egg that game, saints r in a must win situation to keep playoff hopes alive...all this being said i go:
saints 31 falcons 20 |
Covers | 109 |
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[Quote: Originally Posted by Coloneljim]
Buffalo - 35 Indianapolis - 28 Bills +3 Over Who cares if the Bills are only getting 3 on the road from a .600 opponent??? I still think the boys from upstate ny get it done in the Hoosier State. Upset Alert. Bills - Over Well 1st off the bills arent from upstate ny so please dont disgrace us again, we are from western ny....and the bills suck on the road big time, only reason we stopped miami pass game last week is cuz miami has no pass game, we have no big weapons vs indys very good pass d and also u will notice something today, cj spiller is not a number 1 back in the nfl and he will have an average at best day today....take colts |
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[Quote: Originally Posted by vue21849]
Akron has NEVER COVERED a spread this high on the road in the last 9 years. The Zips season was over a long ,long time ago! The Rocket fans expect them to clobber Akron, and Fluellen or not, they'll make out just fine. TOLEDO -18.5 r u dumb, they covered 4 times this year at 18.5 or worse...do some research b4 inserting foot into mouth |
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Quote Originally Posted by Sammy_Ace: the bills do usually sell out games your 100% wrong on that one, almost every game is a sell out, just maybe not in time for a blackout, but usually its a late december game when it means nothing to them, thrust me i live in buffalo i know these thingsI don't think the public is going to be "all over" the Bills. And correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't the Colts cover on Thursday night last week? It doesn't get more public than that! After careful consideration, I am circling the wagon with the Buffalo Bills tonight. I just don't like the rookie quarterback going on the road with a short work week, especially after that abysmal performance vs the Titans. Andrew Luck was able to pull it off last week against a hopeless Jacksonville team, but I think the Bills will be more up to the task tonight. I am backing the Bills even though there are 2 strong trends in place that says I shouldn't. First, Miami is 8-0-3 ATS in their last 11 road games when an underdog of 3 points or less. Second, Miami has been 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when facing an AFC East opponent. Well as they say in Wall Street, "past performance is not indicative of future returns". If there were ever a time for this trend to end, it would be tonight. Buffalo is on a 3 game bender, losing a heartbreaker at home to Tennessee (they played them much tougher than Miami did), and then losing on the road to two of the best teams in the AFC, the Texans and the Patriots. After playing back-to-back road games against two of the AFC's finest, Buffalo will finally get some home cooking and return to the comfy confines of Ralph Wilson Stadium. Buffalo doesn't normally support a strong home field advantage. In fact, they actually have a lousy home field advantage with their one straight up win and cover coming against the Kansas City Chiefs all the way back in week 2. That's right Buffalo hasn't won a home game since week 2. Well, with Buffalo sporting a lousy home field advantage and Miami being quite the opposite, you are probably wondering why I am on the Bills bandwagon? Well, tonight things will be a little different, and I expect the home field advantage to be much stronger for 2 main reasons. First, this is the first prime time home game in Orchard Park since 2008. And this may shock some people, but the Buffalo Bills website has recently reported that the game has been sold out!! Buffalo normally doens't sellout any games, as Ralph Wilson Stadium is usually running at about 85% capacity. The temperature is also supposed to be in the low 30s at kickoff, and we all know that the boys from South Florida aren't used to playing in those conditions. Unless you guys could talk me out of it, I'm taking the Bills tonight. |
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Ok, im from buffalo so i know my bills all to well, 1st off they r the worse team in the league in prime time games, (look it up) 2nd they were able to stay with new england because new england has no defense at all, bills scored more then 20pts vs teams who rank in the bottom half in defense, vs the top half teams they average 9pts a game, miami is 8th in defense and they will shut down the bills offense, fred jackson is out and trust me spiller is no feature back, he gets all his yards on stretch plays, stevie johnson is hurt as well but playing, with both teams coming off a short week ...my picks r under and miamiand im very confident in that...
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