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I'm curious, with so many people on here that seem to do so well at picking games... has anybody locked in a method of tailing in real life? I'm not suggesting ripping their contest picks - I'm talking outside of here. And if so, when do you tail - and when do you stop?
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coljesep | 2 |
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NHL ML picks have been a disaster in 2016....has he peaked?
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coljesep | 1 |
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Wondering if there are any apps out there that send you alerts when lines are taking a serious hit one way or the other?
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coljesep | 2 |
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the site doesn't post their previous picks right? Or do they if you are a member?
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jrami | 175 |
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Just to clarify, I mean NHL OU.
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coljesep | 2 |
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Why are over/under's treated as -110 across the board? I've always wondered why this is - if a moneyline pick has true odds then why doesn't OU?
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coljesep | 2 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jrami: I haven't no. I play all their A rated games to win $10 each game Well I guess an easy way to answer that is, since you started and played every A game for $10 - are you returning a profit? I believe it's $10 a month to join right? Looks like you're only playing lines or OU's right? I don't see any NHL's so I assume you're skipping those? |
jrami | 175 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jredmond: What is +0?? may be a dumb question sorry. I noticed you had that with Florida yesterday and counted it as a tie Probably meaning straight up, rather than +1.5 goals
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Kipper | 19 |
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Have you done any sort of analysis on ROI for these picks just on a basic to win $100 budget?
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jrami | 175 |
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Bump....nothing?
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coljesep | 3 |
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I noticed something and I'm not sure if it's just a glitch in the results page or if it's truly impacting the overall standings for contests? I'm also not sure if this is since the new "design" or not. If you go to my profile: https://contests.covers.com/KingOfCovers/Contestant/b654a2cd-c213-41eb-af18-a5330178987d Click on the 10/23 Detail. You'll notice I picked the Under (5) in the Detroit Game. The final was 3-2... should be a push. But if you notice it says I "won." This happens in a bunch of games that should be a push. It's not just me though... it's several users. Just picking mayer7, who leads right now... looks like they picked the same result. I thought maybe that total was not impacting my "overall" total... but it is My total as listed in the contest is +2,570. That includes +500 for a correct O/U pick in the above mentioned game Am I missing something?
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coljesep | 3 |
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Been looking at some sports handicapping sites and I know, the general consensus is probably negative.
Was wondering if anybody ever used/tried documentedhandicappers.com and your thoughts?
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coljesep | 1 |
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thanks.
I hear ya, I actually found myself struggling to post the pics to the forum because I tend to take games close to puck drop. So I am gonna try to make the picks in the NHL contest and then post daily results instead. This way if people want to tail - they can through my pending picks. But, just easier to do I think that constantly posting to the forum. Here are my final test #s - all plays are to win $50 I ran all tests prior to examining the outcomes of any games. Auto Eliminated Games: -The first four weeks of the 2012-2013 season to let things settle -all of October 2013-2014 and 2014-2015 to let the seasons get settled. -No playoffs used Total Game Processed: 1,109 Games - This means 1,109 games met my initial requirement Total Games Played: 523
- This is how many games I would have laid $ down on. Every bet is to win $50 Total Wins: 323 Total Losses: 200 Win %: 61.7% Net Result: $3,059 February 2013: 17-19 -$415.00 March 2013: 56-22 +1,463.00 April 2013: 29-20 +173.00 November 2013: 38-21 +$473.00 December 2013: 38-22 +$493.50 January 2014: 29-26 -$224.50 February 2014: 14-6 +$286.00 March 2014: 34-18 +$390.50 April 2014: 14-18 -$412.50 November 2014: 29-18 +$162.00 December 2014: 25-10 +$579.00 (Thru 12-17) |
coljesep | 7 |
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So I have been working on a "system" (aren't we all) for NHL picks. One of my questions for the group here is what kind of sample size do you prefer?
Do you look at a lot of games or a small month to month type format? I've developed something based on the 2012, 2013 and current 2014 season - processing 1,109 games with plays on 523 with a 62% win rate. Is that a big enough sample size? The reason I ask is of course the first week I put the "system" into play, I play 13 games and go 7-8 with 6 L in OT, and 5 of them in SO. Would you keep pounding away at the system or would you look at 523 games as something that still needs tweaking? My THOUGHT is I just had some bad, bad luck
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coljesep | 7 |
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Thru 12-18
4-4 $-77.5 |
coljesep | 11 |
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Pens -220 $110 to win $50
Flyers -140 $70 to win $50 |
coljesep | 11 |
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Tempted by Ottawa, but only one team I trust tonight...
Vancouver -185 $92.50 to win $50
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coljesep | 11 |
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Tuesday 12-16: 3-2 (+35)
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coljesep | 11 |
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Arizona -155 $78 to win $50
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coljesep | 11 |
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Just to clarify
Detroit -190 $95 for $50 St Louis -140 $70 for $50 Chicago -175 $88 for $50 Detroit pl -1.5 +140 to win $20 -- I said to win $20, meant lay $20 to win $28 |
coljesep | 11 |
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