Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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Around May 2. The Hat will let us know when it's time to go. Here's to May 2!
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JEFFTHEHAT | 283 |
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Live betting.
Check the line prior to start. Wait for a run. A big run, 10 pts or so. Bet either the fav or dog. Don't bet on sub .500 teams (they may not come back as a fav or cover as a dog). Ex: Tor line -7.5, other team big run, live line Tor +3.5 take Tor +3.5. The bookies know. Tor win by 7. Don't bet too late in the game. Don't bet on a 4pt run. Why take a fav at -4 when you can get them live in the Second quarter at +3 because of an unlikely and lucky run (that can't be held?) Can't tell you how often great teams have given me much better odds in game because of an unlikely run by the dog. Can't tell you how often crappy teams have given me much better odds because they have been run on. Why take a team at +9 when I can get them in game at +19. The bookies know. Check the line first and bet against it in game with live betting. But only with big unlikely runs. And don't bet on a crappy team to come back in the fourth. Sometimes they don't have the mustard to come back. Bet on a winner, like Tor. |
Cjbrig2012 | 6 |
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Hey Hat, just out of curiosity, how is the system playing out so far prior to the May launch. Granted you don't have the stats yet for the system to bear fruit, but just curious to how it's been playing out so far (considering your other ridiculous 10 game winning streak, thanks by the way). Been nice building the roll for the launch. Still can't believe it's been only one (B) game required.
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JEFFTHEHAT | 283 |
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They don't always come back. Ind +3.5
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dd_1_pl_4_u_ | 37 |
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First time caller.
Had to reiterate the live betting opportunities that crop up. NBA last night Toronto was -7.5 to start the game, Mil goes on a run, spread drops to -2.5. The spread did get to +2.5 but there is a delay with my book so I couldn't get it as a bucket was scored. No waiting for commercials here. The ML on that game moved substantially as well during that run by Mil. Doesn't happen all the time - having good teams run on where you and the bookies know they have a good chance to come back. Why bet a game at -7.5 when you can get it at -2.5 or even +2.5? Live betting adds more excitement and action to the game. Certainly isn't a system though. Sometimes they don't come back. - Steve |
dd_1_pl_4_u_ | 37 |
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