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Heres something to consider as well, Frank Gore hasnt rushed for over 100 yards since Kap took over as the starter. I dont know the official record of the niners when Gore runs for less than 100 yards but, I would say its far below 50% right off the top of my head?? I know they are outstanding when he does get over the 100 yard mark. Seems like Frank Gore may be the biggest single factor in this game. Can he get over 100 against GB? In the first meeting he had 112 on only 16 carries for a average of 7.0, now get this...his long was only 23 yards. He was still gashing them for 5.9 WITHOUT his longest run.
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Covers | 106 |
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Okay guys initially this game seemed as a no brainer, Pats and Pats big but, I come across a nugget that I cant hardly believe, The Pats are 0-6 in the playoffs when facing teams that they previously beat in the regular season. WHAT?? Is that even true? I have no way of verifying this aside from tracing back the previous 6 playoff losses and the teams faced that year, far too much work for a team I'm already locked into, but for those still undecided its a molly whooper of a trend!!
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Covers | 87 |
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Ahhh good stuff BreakaBookie, I had totally spaced Smith not playing in that game, and agree he plays a pivotal role on the d-line and for that entire defense as well. Very good point.(as well as hellahigh pointing out it was back to back road games both played in tough environments late in the season) The real question is how effective will J. Smith be injured? I dont think pain will factor much into his effort, its a matter of how much the injury will physically hinder him imo. Even a healthy Smith will have his hands full with AR. Idk I deff cant spot AR any points thats for sure. This game at a pick'em??(which it should be!) Still to close for me, I would take the niners getting...hell any points. No way I can give points vs GB with a untested QB in Kap, to risky in my eyes.
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Covers | 106 |
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I got a angle that hasnt been discussed on here yet, its sticking in my mind when I think of this game. Its possibly simplified too much but here goes it, The "high power" Seattle offense put up a 40 burger on this defense....The Seattle Seahawks put up a 40 burger on this defense in primetime, in a game the 9ers needed to clinch...That worries me substantially, I dont think I'm going out on a limb by saying GB has a better offense then Seattle.Some would say it was because Seattle was at home with the 12th man...okay that might be enough to get a win...but to win by 30?? I dont see this as a close game, I see GB scoring on 4 of their first 5 possessions and the 9ers playing catch up the whole game. Packers win this game easily and the QB controversy begins, could Alex have won that game? will it be a open competition? and so on.
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Covers | 106 |
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Good point JinnRikki, I agree AP is the heart and soul of that team.If any one players preformance effects the outcome of this game then its him, even more so than Rodgers. That being said Rodgers is that guy for his team, what if he gets blindside blasted by Allen and leaves the game? Imo Minn still has a good d-line and o-line and would be in good shape regardless(so long as its not too early when he is injured haha) GB loses Rodgers its over for sure, even with a lead in the game. I'm going to lean on Allen and the d-line as much as I do on AP in picking this game. Idk, call me crazy but I think GB is very very overrated and will crumble at the slightest sign of adversity. The Vikings just want it more. GB expects it and the Vikings WANT it. This may be the game I lose though looking back I got all road teams winning this weekend haha That cant be right...right?
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Covers | 90 |
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Hello all! I suppose its time to throw my hat in this "handicapping"
arena. I have been lurking in the shadows throughout the season reading
these comments trying to determine who knows their garbage and have come to
the conclusion that I can guess too! So here it goes....
This game is the toughest to pick of this weekends playoff games imo, even giving some of the crazy lines on the others. This spread seems to be right on the money and that worries me a bit. Seahawks D is very good, but RG3 can break them down fundamentally if he has a good game. I have to side on the better defense given Wilsons play at QB I'd call it a push at the QB position. Although Wilson hasnt been as flashy as RG3. Both have solid run games as well. I simply think the Seahawk D gets the best of the Redskins offense and that is the difference in a low scoring game. I'll take Seattle and give the 3 for my money. |
Covers | 143 |
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Hello all! I suppose its time to throw my hat in this "handicapping"
arena. I have been lurking in the shadows throughout the season reading
these comments trying to determine who knows their garbage and have come to
the conclusion that I can guess too! So here it goes....
Okay this game is tricky if the spread is around 3-5, at 7 now its a no brainer in my mind. Ray Lewis's last second attempt at "inspiring" his team is a display of weakness and doubt. He knows they are in trouble. Ravens played outright horrible down the stretch and like the Texans wont be able to just turn it on when needed. I'll take the colts with anything over 3 points, 7 is just ridiculous...and perplexing? I'll stick with my gut though and say Indy covers. |
Covers | 105 |
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Hello all! I suppose its time to throw my hat in this "handicapping"
arena. I have been lurking in the shadows throughout the season reading
these comments trying to determine who knows their garbage and have come to
the conclusion that I can guess too! So here it goes....
In this game I will side with momentum. Cincy is playing good inspired football, and they have a very underrated d-line/pass rush. Houston seems to be barely hanging on to their image of being a good team. Its not that they lost late in the season...again. Its more how they lost, they got their mojo taken from them plain and simple. Thats not something you can turn back on when you want to. A.J Green has a career day maybe even a playoff record performance WITH them keying on him every play. Green Ellis gashes them for 100+ to boot. I say Cincy wins this game outright, 4.5 is just gravy on top to cover a possible last second field goal from Houston. |
Covers | 76 |
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Hello all! I suppose its time to throw my hat in this "handicapping" arena. I have been lurking in the shadows throughout the season reading these comments trying to determine who knows their garbage and have come to the conclusion that I can guess too! So here it goes....
In this game I dont see how the Packers can hold AP in check, he is averaging what, 200 yards a game against them this year? Vikings clearly have the advantage on both sides of the ball in overall line play. I feel that will be the deciding factor in this game when it comes to the spread. Will the Packers win?? Yeah probably. Will they cover a 7-10 point spread? Highly unlikely. This game comes down to a field goal imo. A lot is said of R Lewis coming back and how his team will play for him, what about Jared Allen? He has been a great player on a shitty team for a long time. I think he comes up HUGE for them this weekend, and his teammates rally around him for 3-5 sacks as a whole. I'm putting my money on Minnesota to cover anything over 7, hell they might sneak outa there with a outright win! |
Covers | 90 |
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