One week after Chris Buescher lost by just .001 seconds at Kansas, Brad Keselowski was able to get RFK Racing and Ford on the board with a victory at Darlington. However, it's still Kyle Larson and Denny Hamlin duking it out atop the NASCAR Cup Series odds board halfway through the regular season, with William Byron hot on their heels.
There's still 23 races to go in the battle for the Bill France Cup, but here is our latest NASCAR Cup Series odds update.
NASCAR Cup Series odds
| Driver |  |
 |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | +400 | +425 | +400 | +375 |
| Denny Hamlin | +450 | +400 | +500 | +400 |
| William Byron | +500 | +525 | +500 | +450 |
| Christopher Bell | +900 | +800 | +900 | +900 |
| Chase Elliott | +900 | +800 | +900 | +900 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +1,200 | +1,200 | +1,200 | +1,000 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1,200 | +1,400 | +1,200 | +1,200 |
| Tyler Reddick | +1,400 | +1,600 | +1,200 | +1,200 |
| Joey Logano | +1,600 | +2,200 | +1,600 | +2,500 |
| Brad Keselowski | +1,800 | +1,600 | +1,600 | +2,000 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1,800 | +1,800 | +1,800 | +1,800 |
| Ross Chastain | +2,000 | +2,500 | +1,800 | +1,600 |
| Kyle Busch | +2,200 | +3,500 | +2,000 | +4,000 |
| Chris Buescher | +2,800 | +3,000 | +2,500 | +3,000 |
| Alex Bowman | +3,500 | +4,000 | +3,500 | +5,000 |
| Bubba Wallace | +4,000 | +5,000 | +4,000 | +6,000 |
Odds as of 5-15-2024.
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NASCAR Cup Series favorites
Kyle Larson (+375 to +425)
In addition to his second win, Kyle Larson picked up his Cup Series-best sixth Top 5 of the year at Kansas. He was running well at Darlington last week before wrecking in Stage 3.
Larson also dominated proceedings at Las Vegas — one of the staple 1 1/2-mile ovals on the NASCAR circuit and also a playoff venue — earlier this year. The No. 5 Chevrolet pilot is tops in laps led (633) at this stage of the season.
Denny Hamlin (+400 to +500)
Hamlin fell to as low as +400 following his third victory of 2024 at Dover, though he had a mirror full of Larson at the wire. His odds didn't move much after a fifth-place finish at Kansas, though he did fall back to second-choice status in this market before taking fourth at Darlington.
Hamlin produced another solid season in 2023 with three wins and 14 Top 5s with 998 laps led, but time is running out for the 43-year-old driver to capture that elusive championship.
William Byron (+450 to +525)
Byron was able to snap a rare cold streak at Darlington with a sixth-place finish following a 33rd at Dover and a 23rd at Kansas.
Byron's versatility has been on full display in 2024 with wins at Daytona, COTA, and Martinsville. Though he's only sixth in laps led to this point, he was second in laps led in 2023 while ranking first in wins, Top 5s, Top 10s, and average rating.
Brad Keselowski Cup Series odds update
Brad Keselowski, who hadn't won in 110 races, snapped the longest losing streak of his Cup Series career at Darlington last Sunday.
Keselowski was being dangled as high as +4,000 to win the Bill France Cup this year, but that price has evaporated. The 2012 Cup Series champion is now floating in the +1,600 to +2,000 range, still below most of the main contenders but well clear of some of the fringe players in this market.
NASCAR Cup Series recent winners
| Season | Driver | Race wins |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Ryan Blaney | 3 |
| 2022 | Joey Logano (2) | 4 |
| 2021 | Kyle Larson | 10 |
| 2020 | Chase Elliott | 5 |
| 2019 | Kyle Busch (2) | 5 |
| 2018 | Joey Logano | 3 |
| 2017 | Martin Truex Jr. | 8 |
| 2016 | Jimmie Johnson (7) | 5 |
| 2015 | Kyle Busch | 5 |
| 2014 | Kevin Harvick | 5 |
NASCAR Cup Series betting trends
- Repeat winners are quite common. Dating back to 1993, 16 of the past 30 winners have been previous Cup Series champions.
- Hendrick Motorsports has been the most prolific team recently, with a driver winning four times in the past decade, including both 2020 and 2021.
- Likewise, Chevrolet has been the best manufacturer, with its cars taking five of the last 10 Cup Series titles, including HMS' wins and Kevin Harvick's 2016 title for Stewart-Haas.
NASCAR Cup Series Odds FAQs
Kyle Larson is favored to win the NASCAR Cup Series.
Ryan Blaney won his first NASCAR Cup Series title in 2023.
Kyle Busch won the Cup Series in 2015 and 2019, and is +2,200 to win it in 2024.
