Dallas @ New York Picks & Props

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in football. This year, the porous Cowboys defense has surrendered a massive 81.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the worst rate in the NFL. The Dallas Cowboys defense has given up the most TDs through the air in the NFL: 2.50 per game this year.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week. The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 63.5 plays per game. Javonte Williams's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 78.0% to 94.1%. This year, the porous New York Jets defense has yielded a massive 0.25 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's DT corps has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in football. When it comes to air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the lofty 98th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a massive 10.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards). Breece Hall's 28.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 21.8. Breece Hall's 80.3% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a substantial improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 76.6% mark. This year, Breece Hall has not scored a single TD on the ground.