SF 7.0 o47.0
LA -7.0 u47.0
MIN -3.5 o36.0
CLE 3.5 u36.0
DAL -2.5 o46.5
NYJ 2.5 u46.5
DEN 3.5 o43.5
PHI -3.5 u43.5
HOU -1.0 o40.0
BAL 1.0 u40.0
NYG 2.5 o42.0
NO -2.5 u42.0
LV 7.0 o48.5
IND -7.0 u48.5
MIA -1.0 o44.5
CAR 1.0 u44.5
TB 3.5 o44.5
SEA -3.5 u44.5
TEN 7.5 o41.5
ARI -7.5 u41.5
WAS 3.0 o48.0
LAC -3.0 u48.0
DET -10.5 o49.5
CIN 10.5 u49.5
NE 8.0 o49.5
BUF -8.0 u49.5
KC -3.5 o45.5
JAC 3.5 u45.5
Minnesota 3rd NFC North2-2
Cleveland 4th AFC North1-3

Minnesota @ Cleveland Picks & Props

MIN vs CLE Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Minnesota Vikings logo MIN -3.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

With the Browns turning to rookie Dillon Gabriel for his first career start against a solid Minnesota defense, I’m happy to plug my nose with the Vikings in what projects as a low-scoring game. Of course this is also the middle of a tough highway run in the schedule for Cleveland. The Browns lost 34-10 on the road to the Detroit Lions on Sunday and now head to London before also visiting the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 6. Of course, the Vikings have been waiting in Europe following their own Week 4 loss in Dublin.

Score a Touchdown
QJ Quinshon Judkins Score a Touchdown (Yes: +170)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This is a strong number for a running back who saw all four Cleveland red-zone carries last week, found the end zone, and now gets a rookie QB making his NFL debut—likely leading to more conservative play-calling near the goal line. Last week, Kenneth Gainwell torched this defense for over 130 total yards and two touchdowns. Even Pittsburgh’s RB2 cashed in on two of his three inside-the-5 carries. Over the past two weeks, no other Browns RB besides Judkins has seen a red-zone touch. I make the fair price here around +130 to +135—this current number offers clear value.

Total
Minnesota Vikings logo Cleveland Browns logo u41.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Vikings play their second straight international game, this time jumping the Irish Sea to play the Cleveland Browns at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Cleveland’s QB rotation is a puzzle box, but we do know the Browns defense will be OK, with Myles Garrett riding a new contract. Minnesota also brings a top-tier stop unit to the UK, so this could be a defensive grinder.

Passing Yards
Carson Wentz logo
Carson Wentz u210.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 199.21 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to run the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.2 per game on average).. In this game, Carson Wentz is expected by our trusted projection set to have the 9th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.4. . Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
Receiving Yards
Jerry Jeudy logo
Jerry Jeudy o44.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 51.79 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Browns.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.1% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.. The predictive model expects Jerry Jeudy to earn 7.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
Receiving Yards
JM
Jordan Mason u11.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Projection 9.75 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to run the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.2 per game on average).. Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.. Jordan Mason has posted quite a few less air yards this year (-6.0 per game) than he did last year (4.0 per game).
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MIN vs CLE Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus page to see all Consensus picks.

MIN vs CLE Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jordan Mason Score a Touchdown Props • Minnesota

Jordan Mason
J. Mason
running back RB • Minnesota
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.41
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.41
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Minnesota Vikings may lean on the pass less this week (and call more carries) given that they be forced to use backup QB Carson Wentz. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings. Our trusted projections expect Jordan Mason to be a more important option in his team's air attack near the end zone in this week's game (6.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played). The Vikings O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board. Jordan Mason's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 79.4% to 100.0%.

Jordan Mason

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.41
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.41

The Minnesota Vikings may lean on the pass less this week (and call more carries) given that they be forced to use backup QB Carson Wentz. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings. Our trusted projections expect Jordan Mason to be a more important option in his team's air attack near the end zone in this week's game (6.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played). The Vikings O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board. Jordan Mason's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 79.4% to 100.0%.

Jamari Thrash Score a Touchdown Props • Cleveland

Jamari Thrash
J. Thrash
wide receiver WR • Cleveland
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

Jordan Addison Score a Touchdown Props • Minnesota

Jordan Addison
J. Addison
wide receiver WR • Minnesota
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

T.J. Hockenson Score a Touchdown Props • Minnesota

T.J. Hockenson
T. Hockenson
tight end TE • Minnesota
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.25
Best Odds

Jalen Nailor Score a Touchdown Props • Minnesota

Jalen Nailor
J. Nailor
wide receiver WR • Minnesota
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.25
Best Odds

Gage Larvadain Score a Touchdown Props • Cleveland

Gage Larvadain
G. Larvadain
wide receiver WR • Cleveland
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

Carson Wentz Score a Touchdown Props • Minnesota

Carson Wentz
C. Wentz
quarterback QB • Minnesota
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

Quinshon Judkins Score a Touchdown Props • Cleveland

Quinshon Judkins
Q. Judkins
running back RB • Cleveland
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.50
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.50
Best Odds

Cam Akers Score a Touchdown Props • Minnesota

Cam Akers
C. Akers
running back RB • Minnesota
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

Justin Jefferson Score a Touchdown Props • Minnesota

Justin Jefferson
J. Jefferson
wide receiver WR • Minnesota
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.25
Best Odds

Harold Fannin Jr. Score a Touchdown Props • Cleveland

Harold Fannin Jr.
H. Fannin Jr.
tight end TE • Cleveland
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

DeAndre Carter Score a Touchdown Props • Cleveland

DeAndre Carter
D. Carter
wide receiver WR • Cleveland
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

MIN vs CLE Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Total

'livelywee55' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Over (36.5)

livelywee55 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'nit2win' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under (36.5)

nit2win is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Spread

'nit2win' is picking Minnesota to cover (-3.5)

nit2win is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

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'mrsc328' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Over (36.5)

mrsc328 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'london79' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Over (36.5)

london79 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'london79' is picking Minnesota to cover (-3.5)

london79 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'bigsmoke21169' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Over (38.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Spread

'bigsmoke21169' is picking Cleveland to cover (+5.0)

bigsmoke21169 is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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CLE
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'typeone' is picking Cleveland to cover (+5.0)

typeone is #6 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'typeone' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Over (38.5)

typeone is #6 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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Under
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'deebo7348' is picking Cleveland to cover (+4.0)

deebo7348 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'deebo7348' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under (36.5)

deebo7348 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'tolro234' is picking Cleveland to cover (+5.0)

tolro234 is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'tolro234' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Over (38.5)

tolro234 is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Spread

'Gary64' is picking Cleveland to cover (+3.5)

Gary64 is #8 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'Gary64' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Over (36.5)

Gary64 is #8 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'DogKick' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under (36.5)

DogKick is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under

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