Phoenix 6th Western Conference49-33
Denver 2nd Western Conference57-25
ESPN, Altitude Sports

Phoenix @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Under
-125

The matchup against Phoenix is a difficult one; when the Suns are the visiting squad, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (12.2). The 4th-slowest pace offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the league this year with a mere 20.1 free throw attempts per game. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Suns, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

The matchup against Phoenix is a difficult one; when the Suns are the visiting squad, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (12.2). The 4th-slowest pace offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the league this year with a mere 20.1 free throw attempts per game. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Suns, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Under
-118

The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing away from home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7). The Phoenix Suns are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Kevin Durant has successfully made a measly 5.1 free throws per game this year, significantly less than his 6.8 rate last year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

Kevin Durant

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing away from home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7). The Phoenix Suns are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Kevin Durant has successfully made a measly 5.1 free throws per game this year, significantly less than his 6.8 rate last year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.7
Best Odds
Under
-110

The 4th-slowest pace offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the league this year with a mere 20.1 free throw attempts per game. The faceoff with Jusuf Nurkic in regard to getting to the free-throw line ranks in the 13th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting only 2.7 free throws per game this year.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.7
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.7

The 4th-slowest pace offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the league this year with a mere 20.1 free throw attempts per game. The faceoff with Jusuf Nurkic in regard to getting to the free-throw line ranks in the 13th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting only 2.7 free throws per game this year.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-105

Bradley Beal has made 7.1 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Bradley Beal has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have notched 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a favorable matchup for offensive production. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Bradley Beal

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Bradley Beal has made 7.1 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Bradley Beal has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have notched 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a favorable matchup for offensive production. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
-105

The matchup against Phoenix is a difficult one; when the Suns are the visiting squad, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (12.2). The 4th-slowest pace offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the league this year with a mere 20.1 free throw attempts per game. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Suns, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

The matchup against Phoenix is a difficult one; when the Suns are the visiting squad, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (12.2). The 4th-slowest pace offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the league this year with a mere 20.1 free throw attempts per game. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Suns, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has made 65.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 21.7% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Christian Braun has sunk 51.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 17.8% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Christian Braun has averaged a whopping 19.4 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 15.0 minutes per game last year. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Christian Braun

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Christian Braun has made 65.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 21.7% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Christian Braun has sunk 51.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 17.8% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Christian Braun has averaged a whopping 19.4 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 15.0 minutes per game last year. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Grayson Allen has successfully made 57.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.4% higher than he's made overall this year while playing away from home. Grayson Allen has converted 3.7 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Grayson Allen has averaged 32.7 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Grayson Allen has successfully made 57.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.4% higher than he's made overall this year while playing away from home. Grayson Allen has converted 3.7 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Grayson Allen has averaged 32.7 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Drew Eubanks Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Eubanks
power forward PF • Phoenix
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Drew Eubanks has converted 79.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season without the home court advantage. Drew Eubanks has made a whopping 100.0% of his treys this season, significantly higher than his 35.4 rate last season. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a favorable one for shots from the field; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 11.9 shots made from the field per game (93rd percentile). The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Drew Eubanks

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Drew Eubanks has converted 79.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season without the home court advantage. Drew Eubanks has made a whopping 100.0% of his treys this season, significantly higher than his 35.4 rate last season. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a favorable one for shots from the field; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 11.9 shots made from the field per game (93rd percentile). The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
-112

Compared to last season's 31.5% rate, Jusuf Nurkic's 3-point performance has fallen this season to 21.3%. Out of all players in the league, Jusuf Nurkic lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 3.2 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing away from home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Phoenix Suns are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Jusuf Nurkic ought to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Compared to last season's 31.5% rate, Jusuf Nurkic's 3-point performance has fallen this season to 21.3%. Out of all players in the league, Jusuf Nurkic lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 3.2 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing away from home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Phoenix Suns are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Jusuf Nurkic ought to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

Devin Booker has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing away from home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on three-pointers (2nd-worst in the league) against the Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup. The Phoenix Suns are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Devin Booker stands to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Devin Booker

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

Devin Booker has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing away from home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on three-pointers (2nd-worst in the league) against the Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup. The Phoenix Suns are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Devin Booker stands to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-108

Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 80th percentile for 3-point ability with an outstanding 38.5% rate this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 7.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 80th percentile for 3-point ability with an outstanding 38.5% rate this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 7.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-112

Aaron Gordon has sunk 65.2% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.4% more than he's sunk overall this year. Aaron Gordon has averaged 30.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup against Phoenix is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 8th-highest three rate in the league this year (41.1%). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Aaron Gordon has sunk 65.2% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.4% more than he's sunk overall this year. Aaron Gordon has averaged 30.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup against Phoenix is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 8th-highest three rate in the league this year (41.1%). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-111
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-111
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 6.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 31.4 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.5% more than he's made over the course of the year playing at home.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 6.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 31.4 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.5% more than he's made over the course of the year playing at home.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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