NBCSP, SNY, MLBN

New York @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Omar Narváez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narváez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+1500
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+1500
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Omar Narvaez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Omar Narvaez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .241 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .305 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Omar Narvaez grades out in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (27.9% rate since the start of last season).

Omar Narváez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Omar Narvaez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Omar Narvaez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .241 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .305 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Omar Narvaez grades out in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (27.9% rate since the start of last season).

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+550
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+550
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker today. When it comes to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.35 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 91st percentile.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker today. When it comes to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.35 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 91st percentile.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+550
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+550
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-strongest out of every team today. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-strongest out of every team today. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Martinez
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+340
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+340
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Based on Statcast metrics, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 76th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .270.

J.D. Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Based on Statcast metrics, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 76th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .270.

Cristian Pache Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

C. Pache
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+450
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+450
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Cristian Pache will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-strongest out of every team today. Cristian Pache will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Cristian Pache

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Cristian Pache will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-strongest out of every team today. Cristian Pache will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets

H. Bader
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+350
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+350
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+320
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+320
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an advantage today.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an advantage today.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+300
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+300
Projection Rating

Tyrone Taylor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Tyrone Taylor pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tyrone Taylor ranks in the 85th percentile with a 17.8° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB. Tyrone Taylor is notably quick, grading out in the 84th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.45 ft/sec this year.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tyrone Taylor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Tyrone Taylor pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tyrone Taylor ranks in the 85th percentile with a 17.8° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB. Tyrone Taylor is notably quick, grading out in the 84th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.45 ft/sec this year.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Francisco Lindor's true offensive skill to be a .339, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .055 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .284 wOBA.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Francisco Lindor's true offensive skill to be a .339, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .055 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .284 wOBA.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge in today's game. Edmundo Sosa pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-strongest out of every team today.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge in today's game. Edmundo Sosa pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-strongest out of every team today.

DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Stewart
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+236
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+236
Projection Rating

D.J. Stewart is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. D.J. Stewart will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. D.J. Stewart's 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

DJ Stewart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

D.J. Stewart is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. D.J. Stewart will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. D.J. Stewart's 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+159
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-strongest out of every team today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-strongest out of every team today.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+112
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+112
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+123
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+123
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Bryce Harper has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-strongest out of every team today.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Bryce Harper has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-strongest out of every team today.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. By putting up a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Pete Alonso is positioned in the 76th percentile for hitting ability.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. By putting up a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Pete Alonso is positioned in the 76th percentile for hitting ability.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Bryson Stott has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Bryson Stott has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Starling Marte has experienced some negative variance this year. His .294 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .432. Grading out in the 80th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Starling Marte demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core ability for achieving a high batting average.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Starling Marte has experienced some negative variance this year. His .294 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .432. Grading out in the 80th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Starling Marte demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core ability for achieving a high batting average.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Johan Rojas will have the upper hand in today's game. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Johan Rojas will have the upper hand in today's game. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

W. Merrifield
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Whit Merrifield will have the upper hand today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-strongest out of every team today.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Whit Merrifield will have the upper hand today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-strongest out of every team today.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Brett Baty has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Placing in the 80th percentile, the hardest ball Brett Baty has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Brett Baty has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Placing in the 80th percentile, the hardest ball Brett Baty has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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