SNY, Bally Sports Network

New York @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Brendan Donovan will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Brendan Donovan will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Brendan Donovan grades out in the 94th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .370.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Brendan Donovan will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Brendan Donovan will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Brendan Donovan grades out in the 94th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .370.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

D. Carlson
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Carlson in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jose Quintana. Dylan Carlson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Carlson has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .284 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Carlson in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jose Quintana. Dylan Carlson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Carlson has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .284 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Alec Burleson is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Alec Burleson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Alec Burleson is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Alec Burleson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the game. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. By putting up a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Pete Alonso finds himself in the 76th percentile for offensive skills. Since the start of last season, Pete Alonso's 14.6% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the game. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. By putting up a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Pete Alonso finds himself in the 76th percentile for offensive skills. Since the start of last season, Pete Alonso's 14.6% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, Brandon Nimmo is in the 89th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .358.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, Brandon Nimmo is in the 89th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .358.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. In terms of his batting average, Brett Baty has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .223 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260. Brett Baty's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 113.7 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. In terms of his batting average, Brett Baty has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .223 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260. Brett Baty's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 113.7 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage today. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. As it relates to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 88th percentile.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage today. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. As it relates to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 88th percentile.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Lars Nootbaar will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Lars Nootbaar will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

Starling Marte's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.423) provides evidence that Starling Marte has had bad variance on his side this year with his .308 actual wOBA. Starling Marte has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), checking in at the 80th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Starling Marte's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.423) provides evidence that Starling Marte has had bad variance on his side this year with his .308 actual wOBA. Starling Marte has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), checking in at the 80th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Masyn Winn has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .301 rate is quite a bit higher than his .265 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Masyn Winn has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .301 rate is quite a bit higher than his .265 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Martinez
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. J.D. Martinez has posted a .270 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. J.D. Martinez's 17.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.

J.D. Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. J.D. Martinez has posted a .270 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. J.D. Martinez's 17.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.

Jose Fermin Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Fermin
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Jose Fermin is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jose Fermin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today. Jose Fermin will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Jose Fermin has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .292 mark is deflated compared to his .335 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jose Fermin is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jose Fermin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today. Jose Fermin will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Jose Fermin has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .292 mark is deflated compared to his .335 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Nolan Arenado will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Nolan Arenado has had some very good luck this year. His .325 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Nolan Arenado will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Nolan Arenado has had some very good luck this year. His .325 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.

Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

I. Herrera
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Ivan Herrera has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Ivan Herrera will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Ivan Herrera has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 26.72 ft/sec to 27.55 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Ivan Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ivan Herrera has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Ivan Herrera will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Ivan Herrera has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 26.72 ft/sec to 27.55 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Paul Goldschmidt will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Paul Goldschmidt will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Francisco Lindor has been unlucky this year, putting up a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .048 deviation. Based on Statcast data, Francisco Lindor is in the 85th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Francisco Lindor has been unlucky this year, putting up a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .048 deviation. Based on Statcast data, Francisco Lindor is in the 85th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets

H. Bader
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

Tyrone Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Tyrone Taylor's 17.8° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the game: 85th percentile. Ranking in the 86th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.54 ft/sec this year, Tyrone Taylor is notably quick.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Tyrone Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Tyrone Taylor's 17.8° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the game: 85th percentile. Ranking in the 86th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.54 ft/sec this year, Tyrone Taylor is notably quick.

Omar Narváez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narváez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Omar Narvaez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.305) provides evidence that Omar Narvaez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .247 actual wOBA. Omar Narvaez ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (27.9% rate since the start of last season).

Omar Narváez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Omar Narvaez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.305) provides evidence that Omar Narvaez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .247 actual wOBA. Omar Narvaez ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (27.9% rate since the start of last season).

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Wendle
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Joey Wendle will have the upper hand in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Joey Wendle has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .216 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Joey Wendle will have the upper hand in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Joey Wendle has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .216 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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